The Indiana Fever may be on a four-game winning streak, but they're underdogs against the Chicago Sky on June 23. WNBA odds doubting Caitlin Clark and the Fever is mildly surprising, given they beat these same Sky by eight just a week ago.
My Fever vs Sky predictions agree with that doubt, simply enough, which I explain in further detail in the WNBA picks ahead.
Fever vs Sky predictions
My best bet
Sky -2 (-108 at FanDuel)
My analysis
Even if the Chicago Sky are favored by a bucket, this may be a “sell high” opportunity on the Indiana Fever. Indy has won four straight, both outright and against the spread, the closest victories coming by seven points. Thanks to this surge, Indiana is currently in playoff position.
There is a long ways to go between now and the postseason, but the Fever are two wins ahead of the Sky for that final playoff spot.
Meanwhile, Chicago lost four straight before topping the flailing Wings this week. The Sky even lost to the last place Washington Mystics. This may be a “buy low” opportunity on Chicago, despite being a favorite.
The Sky rank No. 6 in the WNBA in net rating, leaps and bounds ahead of the Fever’s league-worst net rating. Even with this four-game winning streak, Indiana still boasts the worst defense in the WNBA — 4.3 points worse per 100 possessions than Dallas'.
Until the Fever find some defense, habit will be to doubt them.
Is there any reason to doubt that habit today? This spread is within the mark it should be. A week ago, with Indiana at home, the Fever were 2.5-point favorites against the Sky. That number jumping the fence by a bucket today makes sense, simply given home-court advantages.
Should Indiana be given more credit for that win and the two that followed? Beating the Dream and the Mystics is nothing to be too proud of. The dredges of the WNBA are the dredges for a reason.
Caitlin Clark odds, prop for tonight
My best bet
Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 threes (+140 at DraftKings)
My analysis
Caitlin Clark went 3-for-7 from deep a week ago against the Sky, surprising considering Chicago gives up the fewest looks from deep in the WNBA (20.4 per game).
Yes, during this four-game winning streak, Clark has gone 10-for-27 from deep, but she still fell short of this prop twice. To continue seeing these Caitlin Clark odds at plus odds is a mistake by the oddsmakers.
The Sky should chase Clark off the perimeter more today, partly because that is Chicago’s usual and partly as an overreaction to Clark’s offensive display a week ago.
Fever vs Sky same-game parlay (SGP)
Sky -2
Caitlin Clark Under 2.5 threes
Over 171
Combining the Under on Caitin Clark’s made threes with the game’s Over 171 points creates a counterintuitive same-game parlay with an escalated payout. But that is another mistake by the oddsmakers.
Clark does more than shoot from deep. She's given out at least six assists in each of her last four games while shooting 63.2% from inside the arc. If and when Chicago chases Clark from the arc, she'll still propel Indiana’s offense.
And don't forget, the Fever have the worst defensive rating in the WNBA by a lot.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Fever vs Sky odds
Fever vs Sky live odds
Get the latest Fever vs Sky WNBA odds for tonight.
Fever vs Sky opening odds
- Spread: Indiana +1 (-110) | Chicago -1 (-110)
- Moneyline: Indiana -105 | Chicago -115
- Over/Under: Over 169 (-110) | Under 169 (-110)
Fever vs Sky spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Sky opened as one-point favorites on Saturday morning. The number jumped across zero for a moment on Saturday night before correcting to favor Chicago by two points on Sunday morning.
- This total opened at 169 before spending Sunday morning climbing to 170.5 or 171, depending on the sportsbook.
- Four of Chicago’s last five games all went Over their totals, while Indiana’s last seven games have all gone Over their respective totals.
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Fever vs Sky trend
To further the “sell high” thought on the Fever, realize they were 5-8 ATS before their surge of the last 10 days. Find more WNBA betting trends for Fever vs. Sky.
Fever vs Sky game info
| Location: | Wintrust Arena, Chicago, IL |
| Date: | Sunday, 6-23-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 4:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | ESPN |
Fever vs Sky latest injuries
Fever: Damiris Dantas F (Questionable), Temi Fagbenle C (Out).
Sky: Elizabeth Williams (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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