The Minnesota Lynx are playing for postseason seeding, while the Atlanta Dream are fighting for their playoff lives.
That gap in motivation may be enough to bet on the underdog tonight, but that comes with risk. If worrying about such risk, let’s use these Lynx vs. Dream predictions to focus on a more reliable player prop in my WNBA picks for Tuesday, September 10.
Lynx vs Dream predictions
My best bet
Napheesa Collier Under 20.5 points (-110 at DraftKings)
My analysis
Napheesa Collier came back from the Olympics and heard the Minnesota Lynx coaching staff loudly asking for more points. She responded, scoring 23 or more in four of her first five games back and averaging 25.6 points per game in those first two weeks back.
The presumptive MVP runner-up has since cooled off, cracking 20 points in just one of five games and, more concerningly, shooting a woeful 39.5% from the field in the last two weeks. Minnesota has still won four of those five games, but Collier’s offensive production has dipped.
It should slow further tonight against the No. 5 defensive rating of the last two months, effectively a month of games when accounting for the Olympics break. More pertinently, the Atlanta Dream also rank fifth in defensive rating since returning from that midseason pause.
The strongest argument for Collier to pour in points would be her chasing the MVP award, but at this point, Las Vegas Aces’ superstar A’ja Wilson could miss the rest of the season and still be assured that trophy.
Scoring has never been the primary piece of Phee’s game, that two-week surge back from the Olympics aside. The best part of that surge, at least now, is the value it created in this prop market.
Lynx vs Dream same-game parlay (SGP)
Napheesa Collier Under 20.5 points
Napheesa Collier Over 8.5 rebounds
Dream moneyline
Collier has averaged nine rebounds in her last five games, the five starts in which her scoring has fallen off. Since returning from the Olympics, she has cleared this rebounding prop in five of 10 games, including three of her last four.
Even if not scoring, Collier plays all aspects of the game. It's what makes her the star she is, and it's why the Lynx are such a foreboding threat for the WNBA title.
She will need to play all aspects of the game against a motivated Atlanta. Getting a home underdog with this clear edge in motivation provides too much value to ignore outright.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Lynx vs Dream odds
Lynx vs Dream live odds
Get the latest Lynx vs Dream WNBA odds for tonight.
Lynx vs Dream opening odds
- Spread: Minnesota -5.5 | Atlanta +5.5
- Moneyline: Minnesota -225 | Atlanta +180
- Over/Under: Over 160.5 | Under 160.5
Lynx vs Dream spread and Over/Under analysis
- This spread opened with Minnesota favored by 5.5 late on Sunday, before valleying at -4.5 on Monday night and much of Tuesday. Some books returned to -5 in Tuesday’s early afternoon.
- The total hit the market at 160.5 and has done nothing but fall, reaching 158.5 by Monday’s end and 156.5 early on Tuesday.
- Though both these teams are more driven by their defenses, such a move in the total should always inspire more confidence in Minnesota's stronger defense.
Lynx vs Dream trend
Atlanta is 5-1-1 against the spread in its last seven home games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Lynx vs. Dream.
Lynx vs Dream game info
| Location: | Gateway Center Arena, Atlanta, GA |
| Date: | Tuesday, 9-10-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV: | NBA TV |
Lynx vs Dream latest injuries
Lynx: No injuries to report.
Dream: Aerial Powers G (Out), Cheyenne Parker F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
