The red-hot Minnesota Lynx head East to face the Connecticut Sun with major playoff implications on the line. Minnesota is surging, but the Sun have had their number in recent head-to-head matchups.
Connecticut’s offense has been spurred by Marina Mabrey’s outstanding play off the bench, and my Lynx vs Sun predictions expect another strong outing from the sharpshooter at home.
Read on for my full WNBA picks in this pivotal contest on Tuesday, September 17.
Lynx vs Sun predictions
My best bet
Marina Mabrey Over 14.5 points (+100 at bet365)
My analysis
Marina Mabrey has made a major impact since she was dealt from the Chicago Sky to the Connecticut Sun at the trade deadline. Mabrey is playing fewer minutes, but her efficiency and points are up as she leads Connecticut in the scoring department.
Mabrey is tied with DeWanna Bonner for team lead in points per game (15.3), but Mabrey is hot, and Bonner is slumping. Since the All-Star break, Bonner is averaging just 12.9 points on 38.1% shooting, and she’s scored fewer than 10 points in two of her last three. Mabrey has picked up the slack, and I expect her to do so again tonight.
Mabrey has come off the Sun’s bench in 11 straight and posted averages of 16.5 points and 2.8 triples while shooting 50% from the floor and 44.9% from beyond the arc. Mabrey scored at least 15 points in nine of those contests, and she’s reached that milestone in 22 of 38 games. The Minnesota Lynx have been the best perimeter defense in the WNBA (29.9% opponent three-point shooting), but have been middle-of-the-pack over their last 12 (33.8%).
Despite Mabrey’s strong play as of late, this points prop is available at Even money at bet365, and I’m all too happy to take full advantage of the mispriced line
Lynx vs Sun same-game parlay (SGP)
Marina Mabrey Over 14.5 points
Sun moneyline
Under 155.5
The Lynx are the hottest team in the WNBA after winning 13 of 14 and their last six in a row. Connecticut can snap that winning streak tonight. The Sun won both head-to-head matchups this season, and Connecticut is 10-2 straight up against Minnesota in 12 regular-season matchups since 2021. The Sun went 3-1 on their recent road trip and should be highly motivated after losing by 13 to the Aces in their last game. Connecticut’s rock-solid defense can give it the edge against the surging Lynx.
All signs point to the Under in this matchup between two strong defensive units. Over the last 12 games, no team has allowed fewer points than the Sun (74.1 per game). The Lynx have averaged the third-fewest points allowed in that span at a paltry 78. On the season, the Sun (93.4) and Lynx (94.9) own the slowest paces, and both teams are 16-22 to the Under. I expect Connecticut to limit Minnesota’s blossoming offense at home, and I’m confidently taking the Under as these teams jockey for playoff positioning atop the WNBA standings.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Lynx vs Sun odds
Lynx vs Sun live odds
Get the latest Lynx vs Sun WNBA odds for tonight.
Lynx vs Sun opening odds
- Spread: Minnesota -1.5 (-110) | Connecticut +1.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Minnesota -130 | Connecticut +110
- Over/Under: Over 154.5 (-110) | Under 154.5 (-110)
Lynx vs Sun spread and Over/Under analysis
- The Lynx are 9-1 straight up across their last 10, and the team has covered in seven of those matchups.
- The Sun are 6-4 straight up and ATS across their last 10 outings.
- Minnesota has hit the Under in three of its last four and five of its last seven, and Connecticut has hit the Under in five of its last six.
- Both teams are 16-22-0 to the Under on the season, and both teams rank in the Top 3 in the fewest points allowed across their last 12 appearances.
Lynx vs Sun trend
The Under has hit in four of the last six head-to-head matchups between these teams. The Lynx and Sun are 1-1 this season, but it took an Overtime game to reach the Over. Find more WNBA betting trends for Lynx vs. Sun.
Lynx vs Sun game info
| Location: | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date: | Tuesday, 9-17-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | Bally Sports North Extra, NBC Sports Boston |
Lynx vs Sun latest injuries
Lynx: None.
Sun: Tiffany Mitchell G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
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