The Seattle Storm hit the free-agent market hard this season and came up with two gems in Skylar Diggins-Smith and Nneka Ogwumike.
The two All-Stars are blending in with their new teammates on both ends of the floor and meet a shorthanded Phoenix Mercury group playing their fifth game in eight nights. This budding chemistry factors into my Mercury vs. Storm predictions below.
My WNBA picks for tonight’s Commissioner’s Cup clash expect Seattle to continue excelling tonight.
Mercury vs Storm predictions
My best bet
Storm -7 (-110 at bet365)
My analysis
It’s a tale of two teams trending in the opposite direction when the Phoenix Mercury and Seattle Storm hit the hardwood tonight in a Commissioner’s Cup matchup.
Phoenix has a solid, veteran roster but has been hampered by injuries. Center Brittney Griner has missed the entire season while forward Rebecca Allen hasn't played since May 25 and may not suit up tonight.
Despite the injuries, the Mercury did snap a four-game losing streak Sunday at home over the LA Sparks. Phoenix averages 84 points a night on the most triple attempts but allows the second-most points per game (84.8) and without Griner is the worst defensive rebounding team in the W.
That’s going to make it hard for Phoenix to win this game. Seattle has won four straight because free agent acquisitions Skylar Diggins-Smith and Nneka Ogwumike are beginning to gel with leading scorer Jewell Loyd, and center Ezi Magbegor is throwing shots (3.0) and snagging rebounds (8.6).
The Storm are pushing the pace, scoring 100+ in two of their last five. Seattle’s free agents are starting to find some chemistry with Loyd, and Magbegor provides a solid offensive rebounding and scoring presence that the shorthanded and undersized Mercury won’t be able to deal with.
Seattle is riding a four-game winning streak and meets a Phoenix team playing its fifth game in eight nights. The Storm have had four extra days to rest and prepare, are at full strength, and meet the worst-scoring defense in the league. The Mercury rely too heavily on the triple and Seattle boasts strong perimeter defenders and should dominate the boards. The Storm are beginning to put it all together and should run a Mercury side allowing the second-most points per night right out of the Climate Pledge Arena gym.
Mercury vs Storm same-game parlay (SGP)
Storm alt spread -7.5
Over 159.5
Ezo Magbegor Over 13.5 points
Tonight’s tilt features two of the fastest teams in the W. Seattle has scored 90+ in half of their games and is 3-2-0 to the Over across their last five. The Storm have also allowed 80+ in two of their last four and Phoenix will score enough to get it there.
Magbegor has been a force for the Storm and has cleared her scoring prop number in three of her last five. Phoenix doesn’t box out well, and Magbegor should eat against a Mercury group allowing nine offensive rebounds and 11, second chance points per night.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Mercury vs Storm odds
Mercury vs Storm live odds
Get the latest Mercury vs Storm WNBA odds for tonight.
Mercury vs Storm opening odds
- Spread: Phoenix +7 (-110) | Seattle -7 (-110)
- Moneyline: Phoenix +265 | Seattle -330
- Over/Under: Over 167 (-110) | Under 167 (-110)
Mercury vs Storm spread and Over/Under analysis
- Phoenix opened +6.5 (+100) but after fierce trading that saw the number rise to +8.0, the Mercury are now trading +7.0 (-110) to +7.5 (-115).
- Traders smacked the Seattle -6.5 (-120) opener to -7.0 (-110), while -7.5 markets are priced at -105 to -110.
- Over markets opened 165.0 (-110) but were traded hard to Over 167.0 (-110) while Over 167.5 (-110) is also available.
- Under 167 markets are priced from -105 to -110 with one market reporting Under 167.5 (-110).
Get WNBA League Pass Free with FanDuel
Opt in and place a wager of $1 or more on any WNBA market between now and June 16 and get a FREE month of WNBA League Pass!
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
Mercury vs Storm trend
The Storm is 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mercury vs. Storm.
Mercury vs Storm game info
| Location: | Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA |
| Date: | Tuesday, 6-4-2024 |
| Tip-off: | 10:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | CBSSN |
Mercury vs Storm latest injuries
Mercury: Rebecca Allen F (Questionable), Brittney Griner C (Out).
Storm: None.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
