Mystics vs Wings Predictions, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

The battle of mediocrity takes center stage in the WNBA tonight, but Washington will continue to find success against the lowly Wings.

Ed Scimia - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst
Sep 3, 2024 • 13:34 ET • 4 min read
Ariel Atkins Washington Mystics WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Two teams that badly need wins to stay in the postseason race will face off tonight as the Dallas Wings host the Washington Mystics.

Washington won the first two meetings between these teams, and my Mystics vs. Wings predictions are expecting them to give Detroit fits again. Find out why in my WNBA picks for September 3.

Mystics vs Wings predictions

My best bet
Mystics +6 (-112 at FanDuel)

My analysis
The Washington Mystics and Dallas Wings have suffered through surprisingly similar seasons in 2024. They have identical records, and each have gone 4-6 in their last 10 as they try to make their respective playoff pushes. 

One thing separates these teams, however, and that's the outcome of the two meetings.

The Mystics came out on top in both games, winning both ends of a back-to-back in Washington in June by 28 and eight points, respectively. Playing into Dallas’ defensive weaknesses, the Mystics were able to score over 90 points each game.

What’s worrisome for Dallas is there’s not a single player it needs to stop in order to slow down this onslaught. The Mystics had four players who scored at least 13 points in the first game, followed by five scoring in double figures the next night.

It’s possible oddsmakers think the Mystics will be weakened somewhat tonight without Shakira Austin. The Washington big woman has been out since August 26 after suffering a left ankle injury, the latest injury for the young talent who has struggled to stay on the court as a professional.

Austin's 12.6 points and 7.3 rebounds per game aren't easy to replace. However, she's only played in 11 games this season, and she missed both games Washington played against Dallas — which didn’t seem to slow down the Mystics then. 

And it’s not as though the Mystics have been significantly better when Austin has been on the court, as they’ve gone just 2-9 in those 11 games.   

Despite Washington’s earlier success against Dallas, bookmakers have installed the Wings as the clear favorites tonight. While Dallas should have a better shot at hanging with the Mystics at home, I can’t see a reason why they should be giving this many points to a team that, at worst, is on equal footing with them, and might just have their number.

Mystics vs Wings same-game parlay (SGP)

Mystics +6

Under 175

Ariel Atkins Over 14.5 points

While the Over has hit in the first two matchups, sportsbooks have moved the total up significantly, and these teams don’t typically play to scores Over 175 points.

To round out the SGP, let’s place a bet on Ariel Atkins to score Over 14.5 points tonight. Atkins has hit this total in four of his last five games overall and is averaging 15.3 ppg on the year to lead the Mystics.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Mystics vs Wings odds

Mystics vs Wings live odds

Get the latest Mystics vs Wings WNBA odds for tonight.

Mystics vs Wings opening odds

  • Spread: Washington +4.5 (-105) | Dallas -4.5 (-115)
  • Moneyline: Washington +155 | Dallas -190
  • Over/Under: Over 172.5 (-105) | Under 172.5 (-115)

Mystics vs Wings spread and Over/Under analysis

  • The Mystics have a 20-11-1 record against the spread this year, while the Wings have gone just 11-20 ATS in 2024.
  • Washington is 2-0 straight up against Dallas this year and is also 2-0 ATS.
  • The Over holds a 19-11-1 advantage when the Wings have played this year. The Mystics have been dead even on the total, with both the Over and the Under going 16-16.
  • Dallas is playing to an average total of 174.4 ppg, with Washington averaging a total of 162.3 points.

Mystics vs Wings trend

The Mystics are 4-1 ATS in their last five. Find more WNBA betting trends for Mystics vs. Wings.

Mystics vs Wings game info

Location: College Park Center, Arlington, TX
Date: Tuesday, 9-3-2024
Tip-off: 8:00 p.m. ET
TV: Monumental Sports Network, Bally Sports Southwest Extra

Mystics vs Wings latest injuries

Mystics: Shakira Austin F (Out).
Wings: No injuries to report.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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