Tonight's slate presents Friday WNBA player props bettors with a four-pack, including a rematch between the top two teams in the West.
I dig into a busy board of WNBA player prop markets for my best WNBA picks and predictions for August 23.
WNBA player prop bets for August 23
- Courtney Williams Under 5.5 assists (+120 at FanDuel)
- Dewanna Bonner Over 6.5 rebounds (+110 at FanDuel)
- Rhyne Howard Over 2.5 threes made (+100 at bet365)
Today's best WNBA player props bets
Prop bet #1: Courtney Williams Under 5.5 assists
The Minnesota Lynx picked up a statement road win over the Las Vegas Aces earlier this week and now host the defending champs in the final of a home-and-home set.
The Lynx scored 98 points on 59% shooting, fueled by the efforts of Courtney Williams. She scored a season-high 22 points on 10-for-16 shooting from the field and also dished out 10 assists for Minnesota.
The loss didn’t sit well with Aces head coach Beck Hammon, who called out her stars for their lack of urgency on defense. The message wasn’t lost on Vegas starters like Kelsey Plum, who singled out Williams’ effort and her mistakes guarding the Lynx’s veteran guard.
Williams, who averages 5.5 assists per game in 2023, has an Over/Under of 5.5 assists versus Las Vegas tonight, with the Over as pricey as -150. However, player projections come up short of that total, ranging from 4.9 to 5.2 dimes.
Minnesota has been able to slow down the Aces’ up-tempo style with its more methodical pace and given Las Vegas’ commitment to tightening up on defense — specifically guarding Williams — I don’t see the Lynx shooting anywhere near 60% again.
Given Williams’ forecast and the Aces approach to this rematch, I can’t ignore the Under 5.5 assists at +120.
Prop bet #2: Dewanna Bonner Over 6.5 rebounds
The Connecticut Sun are playing musical chairs to start the second half of the schedule, with coach Stephanie White tinkering with her starting lineup.
Most recently, we saw the Sun slide veteran Dewanna Bonner to the bench as the team attempts to find a fit for recently acquired forward Marina Mabrey. Bonner has played just 26 minutes in each of the past two games, including Tuesday’s win over Los Angeles in which she scored only seven points and grabbed two rebounds.
That has Bonner’s player props and projections in flux, but considering the competition coming to the Mohegan Sun Arena tonight, Connecticut needs Bonner to be big on the boards.
Chicago throws a young and athletic frontcourt at the Sun, entering Friday as the best offensive-rebounding team in the league. Bonner has hauled down eight rebounds in both matchups with Chicago this season. While she logged only two rebounds Tuesday in 26 minutes, Bonner still snatched 10 off the glass in 26 minutes versus Atlanta last weekend.
Her rebounding prop for tonight is at 6.5 Over/Under, with the Over six boards paying out as high as +110. Projections are mixed due to the lineup shuffles, with some models calling for less than five rebounds while others are higher than seven.
The 5-foot-11 Mabrey is coming off a bad game against L.A., and while she is facing her former club, I do expect White to use the 6-foot-4 Bonner more to defend the Sky’s interior threats. And for what it’s worth, the 15-year veteran is just five rebounds short of 3,000 career boards.
Prop bet #3: Rhyne Howard Over 2.5 threes made
The Atlanta Dream have exploded to start the second half of the schedule, winning three straight since returning from the Olympic break. A big reason for that success is Rhyne Howard.
She tipped things off with a 30-point performance in the win over Seattle last week and recently dropped 19 points on the Phoenix Mercury on Wednesday — the same opponent on tonight’s docket.
Howard went 6-for-19 from the floor, including 4-for-13 from beyond the arc — a season high in 3-point attempts. She’s seen her 3-point shots spike in the three games back, shooting a combined 30 attempts from distance after averaging only 6.4 in the first half of the season.
Her player props for Friday’s rematch with the Mercury have Howard’s 3-pointers made total at 2.5 Over/Under. Projections sit above that total, with some models calling for 3.1 makes from long range.
Given she’s been letting it fly from outside and the fact Phoenix is the worst defense at guarding the arc (allowing 8.7 3-pointers per game), there’s reason to believe Atlanta’s star keeps chucking.
This 3-pointer total did open as low as 1.5 O/U, but the market quickly corrected to 2.5 O/U, with the Over dropping from +130 to +100. Early smart money is jumping on the Over and there’s still even money value available.
Today’s WNBA games
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