The Indiana Fever and Seattle Storm clash for the second time in nine days when Seattle rolls into Gainbridge Fieldhouse to take on Caitlin Clark & Co. tonight.
These non-conference combatants played in the Emerald City on May 22, with Seattle holding off Indiana for an 85-83 win while failing to cover as 5-point home chalk. This time around, the WNBA odds have the Storm laying -4.5 in their second road game in three nights.
Find out why I think Skylar Diggins-Smith will shine as I size up the spread and Over/Under total for this East-versus-West matchup and give my best WNBA picks and Storm vs. Fever predictions.
Storm vs Fever predictions
My best bet
Skylar Diggins-Smith Over 15.5 points (+100 at BetRivers)
My analysis
Skylar Diggins-Smith has worked off the rust of a 20-month hiatus from basketball, shooting a collective 13-for-21 the past two games and putting up efforts of 16 and 21 points, respectively.
Diggins-Smith, who joined the Seattle Storm this offseason after having two children, shot just 30% in the opening five games of the season, including a dismal 1-for-10 showing against the Indiana Fever on May 22 in which she tallied just two points.
Since that game, Diggins-Smith and the rest of a revamped Seattle roster seem to be coming together, bringing a three-game winning streak to Indiana tonight.
The Storm face a short Fever roster missing two key contributors in Temi Fagbenle and Erica Wheeler, and a team struggling to contain foes on defense. Indiana sits dead-last in defensive rating and is allowing a WNBA-worst 88.8 points per game.
Seattle plays one of the fastest tempos in the league (fourth in pace) and will put the shorthanded Fever on their heels, with Indiana giving up a league-high 13.4 fastbreak points per contest.
WNBA player projections are tough to wrangle on Diggins-Smith due to erratic floor time, with foul trouble, blowouts, and conditioning/struggles seeing her usage drop in some outings. However, in close contests she’s getting 30-plus and put in 35 minutes of work in the win over Chicago on Tuesday.
Given this spread is close (Storm -4.5), I’m expecting similar floor time from Diggins-Smith tonight, which would put her forecast around 17.5 points against Indiana. That gives us plenty of pop to top her scoring total of 15.5 O/U on Thursday.
Caitlin Clark odds, prop for tonight
My best bet
Caitlin Clark Over 20.5 points (-110 at DraftKings)
My analysis
Caitlin Clark is coming off a career-high 30 points in the home loss to the L.A. Sparks on Tuesday.
It was one of her most aggressive offensive efforts of the season, shooting 16 field goals with 10 of them from beyond the arc in 34 minutes. What’s more, Clark got to the foul line 15 times, knocking down 13 of those freebies.
Indiana enters tonight down center Temi Fagbenle as well as reserve guard Erica Wheeler, which means the Fever will be going small and leaning on Clark to log a lot of floor time. With Seattle in town, the pace of the game will pick up as will the number of shots from both teams.
Clark finished with 21 points in the first meeting with Seattle last week, shooting 6-for-16 from the floor, including 2-for-8 from beyond the arc and 7-for-8 from the stripe. Should she continue that more aggressive approach, she can take advantage of a Storm defense sitting tied for second in personal fouls against.
Player projections for Clark teeter on 20 points, which is right on her scoring total for tonight. Her 3-point prop has been bet up to 3.5 and this game total has jumped to 168.5 O/U, but her points prop hasn’t moved much since opening.
Overs on Clark’s scoring total will always be live, especially if she continues to take the wheel of this Indiana offense.
Storm vs Fever same-game parlay (SGP)
Skylar Diggins-Smith 15+ points
Caitlin Clark 20+ points
Storm moneyline
Diggins-Smith has shaken off the rust and is finding her place in this revamped Seattle attack. I have her projected for 17-plus points.
Clark played a much more aggressive game in her 30-point effort and with the Fever shorthanded, it will be on her to keep it close.
My power ratings produced a spread of Seattle -4 before adjusting for Indiana’s missing pieces. I’ll go with the outright knowing bet365 will offer an early payout should they go up by 18 points.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
Storm vs Fever odds
Storm vs Fever live odds
Get the latest Storm vs Fever WNBA odds for tonight.
Storm vs Fever opening odds
- Spread: Seattle -4 | Indiana +4
- Moneyline: Seattle -179 | Indiana +155
- Over/Under: Over 167 | Under 167
Storm vs Fever spread and Over/Under analysis
- Early odds for this non-conference contest varied, with some books opening Seattle as a 1.5-point road favorite while others led with a higher number at -2.5. However, injuries to the Fever have bumped this line up to -4.5 as of Thursday morning.
- My WNBA power ratings produced an unadjusted spread of Storm -4. But with Indiana missing Wheeler and Fagbenle, that leaves only seven healthy players for Thursday.
- The Over/Under opened at 167.5 points and is now up to 168.5 O/U. The Fever enter this game with a 5-3 O/U record while the Storm are 3-4 O/U – the only WNBA team leaning to the Under in a start to the season with 59% Overs.
- The first meeting between these teams finished with a collective 168 points, narrowly topping the closing total of 167 O/U.
Get WNBA League Pass Free with FanDuel
Opt-in and place a wager of $1 or more on any WNBA market between now and June 16 and get a FREE month of WNBA League Pass!
See FanDuel T&Cs
Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Hope is here. GamblingHelpLineMA.org or call (800) 327-5050 for 24/7 support (MA). Call 1-877-8HOPE-NY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY).
21+ and present in select states. FanDuel is offering online sports wagering in Kansas under an agreement with Kansas Star Casino, LLC. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER or visit FanDuel.com/RG (CO, IA, KY, MI, NJ, OH, PA, IL, TN, VA, VT), 1-800-NEXT-STEP or text NEXTSTEP to 53342 (AZ), 1-888-789-7777 or visit ccpg.org/chat (CT), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 or visit ksgamblinghelp.com (KS), 1-877-770-STOP (LA), visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD), 1-800-522-4700 (WY), or visit www.1800gambler.net (WV).
Storm vs Fever trend
The Seattle Storm are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall, with that lone ATS loss coming at home to Indiana. Find more WNBA betting trends for Storm vs. Fever.
Storm vs Fever game info
| Location: | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN |
| Date: | Thursday, 5-30, 2024 |
| Tip-off: | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV: | PRIME |
Storm vs Fever latest injuries
Storm: None.
Fever: Temi Fagbenle C (Out), Erica Wheeler G (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site.
