Wings vs Storm Predictions, Picks, & Odds for Tonight’s WNBA Game

The Storm throttled the Wings on Saturday, winning by 21 points in a statement victory. While we expect Seattle to come away with another W, both defenses should tighten up tonight, making the Under a solid play on the total.

Phil Naessens - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Jul 1, 2024 • 10:25 ET • 4 min read
Skylar Diggins-Smith Seattle Storm WNBA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Seattle Storm have won seven consecutive games at Climate Pledge Arena and will also look for their third straight victory over its Western Conference rival Dallas Wings. 

Neither head coach was happy with how their respective defenses performed in Seattle's 21-point victory on Saturday night, and my Wings vs. Storm prediction expects each defense to step up tonight. 

Read on for my full WNBA picks for Monday, July 1. 

Wings vs Storm predictions

My best bet
Under 169 (-110 at DraftKings)

My analysis

The Dallas Wings and Seattle Storm meet tonight for the second time in three days and the third battle this season.

The first two meetings have gone Seattle’s way, handily winning both encounters. The Storm are favored by the same -11.5 points tonight they were on Saturday. Seattle won that tilt by 21 points and the first meeting in Dallas by a dozen, so it's not hard to envision them winning tonight’s clash as well.

As is its custom, Dallas surrendered too many points from turnovers (23) and couldn’t defend inside the paint (48) during Saturday's blowout loss. Those numbers were well above its 12th-best stats in both categories and, sadly for the Wings, those two key statistical issues are exactly what fuel the Storm.

Based on each coach's post-game presser, I expect defense and better ballhandling to be each team's focal point. We should anticipate both sides to handle the rock better after combining for 34 miscues on Saturday. Better ballhandling by Dallas will limit the Storm's elite transition game, which should slow down their scoring production.

Stingier defense will be at the fore for both groups tonight, and Seattle won’t make it easier for Arike Ogunbowale to drain 6 of 10 from downtown like she did Saturday. I see each defense responding to its coach's post-game pleas, and this game ends Under the number as a result.

Wings vs Storm same-game parlay (SGP)

Under 169

Wings TT Under 78.5

Storm -11

The Under is my best bet because I expect the Seattle defense to stymie Dallas and that will also lead to an Under for the Wings team total and allow the Storm to cover.

According to Saturday’s post-game presser, Seattle head coach Noelle Quinn hopes the Storm focuses on slowing down Ogunbowale and if they do, it will be Seattle’s fourth consecutive game holding opponents to fewer than 79 points.

Seattle is 5-0-0 ATS across its last five home games and while it may not win by 20+, it should be able to cover against a Dallas side with a 1-4-0 ATS mark and double-digit losses across four of its last five away battles. 

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Wings vs Storm odds

Wings vs Storm live odds

Get the latest Wings vs Storm WNBA odds for tonight.

Wings vs Storm opening odds

  • Spread: Dallas +12 (-110) | Seattle -12 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Dallas +550 | Seattle -800
  • Over/Under: Over 169 (-110) | Under 169 (-110)

Wings vs Storm spread and Over/Under analysis

  • Dallas opened as much as +12 (-110) underdogs, but Wings markets are now trading +11 (-108) and +11.5 markets are trading odds from -108 to -115.
  • Seattle is 5-2 ATS at home this season but the number is moving against them. You’ll find Storm -11 (-110) as the best number while you’ll pay juice from -105 to -112 for the hook (11.5).
  • Over/Under markets opened as low as 168.5 (-110) and it remains the best number and price for Over bettors. Under bettors will find Under 169 with odds ranging from –110 to –112.

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Wings vs Storm trend

The Under is 3-2-0 across the Storm’s last five home games. Find more WNBA betting trends for Wings vs. Storm.

Wings vs Storm game info

Location: Climate Pledge Arena, Seattle, WA
Date: Monday, 7-1-2024
Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: Amazon Prime Seattle, Bally Sports SW

Wings vs Storm latest injuries

Wings: Satou Sabally F (Out), Awak Kuier F (Out), Jaelyn Brown G (Out), Maddy Siegrist F (Out).
Storm: Mackenzie Holmes F (Out).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.

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