College football betting really heats up in Week 4 when the SEC season finally gets underway. One SEC program with National Championship aspirations are the Georgia Bulldogs who begin the year with what should be an easy task as they take on the Arkansas Razorbacks.
UGA went 12-2 in 2019 and was ranked fourth in the final 2019 polls. NCAA football odds have the Bulldogs installed as big 26-point favorites in their season opener with the Over/Under at 51.
We bring you our best free college football picks and predictions for Georgia vs Arkansas on Saturday, September 26 with kickoff set for 4 p.m. ET.
Georgia Bulldogs vs Arkansas Razorbacks betting preview
Weather
It's expected to be a hot and humid day at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium in Fayetteville, Arkansas, with temperatures reaching 80 degrees and a humidity of 83 percent. Breezes will be approximately 6 miles per hour. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Key Injuries
Georgia: JT Daniels QB (Questionable), Broderick Jones OL (Questionable), Tre McKitty TE (Questionable)
Arkansas: Jacquaylin Crawford WR (Out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Under is 9-1-1 in Georgia's last 11 conference games. Find more NCAA football betting trends for Georgia vs. Arkansas.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
The good news for Arkansas is that they return many of their players from last year. The bad news is that squad went 2-10, including 0-8 in conference play.
The Razorbacks had the worst defense and the second-worst offense in the SEC and ranked outside the Top 120 schools in the country in scoring margin at minus-17.5 ppg. While transfer quarterback Feleipe Franks should help upgrade the Arkansas attack, we have a feeling that his debut against Georgia will be one to forget.
Georgia, year in and year out, has one of the best stop-units in the nation. They allowed the second-fewest points and the fourth-fewest yards in the NCAA last season and are just as big, athletic, and talented this year despite losing a few players to graduation.
26 points is a lot to spot a program in a conference battle at home. But considering how badly the Razorbacks were blown out last year - and not just by the usual suspects like Alabama, LSU and Auburn but even schools like Mississippi State and Western Kentucky - this spread doesn't seem quite so daunting.
PREDICTION: Georgia -26 (-110)
Over/Under pick
We already discussed the UGA defense and how strong they should be, but their offense has been a work in progress for a few years. While their ground game is always great, with the Bulldogs practically building an assembly line of NFL running backs, their passing attack just can't click.
To turn things around, UGA brought in a new offensive coordinator in Todd Monkman and added transfer QB Jamie Newman who was expected to be a Heisman candidate. Unfortunately, Newman opted out a few weeks ago, which leaves the most important position on the field in the hands of either redshirt freshman D’Wan Mathis, or another transfer in JT Daniels who has yet to be fully cleared from an ACL tear he suffered at USC in 2019.
Oh, and did we mention that Georgia also has to replace four starters on their offensive line? A young quarterback plus an inexperienced group of blockers, plus a new OC equals early-season struggles for this Georgia offense.
PREDICTION: Under 51 (-110)
First Half Bet
It's always hard to swallow the massive betting lines when the top programs in college football take the field. Especially when there's a strong possibility that these elite schools will pull many of their starters once they've built a massive lead.
Case in point, last weekend when Clemson was a 50-point fave against The Citadel and had a 49-0 lead at half. They finished with that exact score which probably felt like a kick in the teeth to anyone that backed the Tigers. One way to get around bad beats like that is by wagering on the first half instead.
Last year UGA had a scoring margin of plus-8.9 points per game during the first half against FBS foes, while the Razorbacks had a brutal first-half scoring margin of minus-14.4 pp. We're even more comfortable backing UGA on the first-half than the full-game spread.
PREDICTION: First Half Georgia -14.5
Georgia vs Arkansas betting card
- Georgia -26 (-110)
- Under 51 (-110)
- First Half Georgia -14.5 (-105)
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Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.
Where can I bet on college football?
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