2023 Dutch Grand Prix 2023 Odds, Picks, and Predictions: Mad Max Seeking Historic Win

It's been smooth sailing for Red Bull superstar Max Verstappen in 2023, who enters Circuit Zandvoort on an insane streak of eight straight wins. Considering his -380 odds, all signs point to another straightforward weekend at the Dutch Grand Prix.

Shawn Wronka - Contributor at Covers.com
Shawn Wronka • Betting Analyst
Aug 26, 2023 • 14:21 ET • 4 min read
Max Verstappen Red Bull Formula 1
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

Unless you're a Red Bull fan, the 2023 Formula 1 season has been pretty anticlimactic, with all 12 wins going to RB drivers and 10 of those to Max Verstappen, specifically.

Either way, the season rolls on after an extended layoff with the Dutch Grand Prix at Circuit Zandvoort on Sunday.

To absolutely no one's surprise, Mad Max is once again the heavy favorite. We break it all down in our post-qualifying Formula 1 odds update for the Dutch Grand Prix below. 

Dutch Grand Prix 2023 odds

Driver Team DraftKings bet365
Max Verstappen Red Bull -525 -600
Lando Norris McLaren +800 +800
George Russell Mercedes +1,100 +1,200
Sergio Perez Red Bull +2,800 +2,200
Lewis Hamilton Mercedes +4,500 +5,000
Fernando Alonso Aston Martin +5,500 +5,000
Carlos Sainz Ferrari +5,500 +5,000
Oscar Piastri McLaren +6,500 +6,600
Alex Albon Williams +7,000 +5,000
Charles Leclerc Ferrari +9,000 +8,000

Odds as of August 26, 2023.

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Dutch Grand Prix 2023 post-qualifying picks

Race prediction: Max Verstappen to win (-430 at FanDuel)

It may not be original or daring, but there isn't a really good argument for any other driver in the field. Especially not after Verstappen put his literal foot down and cruised to a qualifying time 0.537s better than the field.

"Mad Max" brings a level of proven excellence with this grand prix in particular, having won the only two races at this track that have occurred since 1986. That includes wins last year by +4.071 and in 2021 (+20.932).

He also, of course, carries a historic eight-race win streak heading into Sunday — a streak during which he has only won one race by less than five seconds.

Lewis Hamilton was arguably his biggest threat, possessing the second-best odds prior to qualifying, but he ultimately finished 13th and is no longer a threat to Verstappen at this point.

Best bet: Lewis Hamilton to finish in the Top 6 (-118 at Unibet)

Despite his mishaps on Saturday, Hamilton still has the ability to climb the grid over the course of Sunday's race.

In last year's race, Sir Lewis converted his fourth position on the grid to a fourth-place finish, holding off the likes of Sergio Perez and Fernando Alonso and passing Carlos Sainz (third position) in the process.

In 2021, Hamilton finished second in qualifying after posting a time just 0.038s slower than Verstappen's, and he converted that into a second-place finish and beat the rest of the field by a whopping 36 seconds.

Hamilton has finished outside the Top 6 just once this season, so getting his odds at -118 is a steal.

Dutch Grand Prix 2023 starting grid

Starting position Driver
1 Max Verstappen
2 Lando Norris
3 George Russell
4 Alex Albon
5 Fernando Alonso
6 Carlos Sainz
7 Sergio Perez
8 Oscar Piastri
9 Charles Leclerc
10 Logan Sargeant
11 Lance Stroll
12 Pierre Gasly
13 Lewis Hamilton
14 Yuki Tsunoda
15 Nico Hulkenberg
16 Zhou Guanyu
17 Esteban Ocon
18 Kevin Magnussen
19 Valtteri Bottas
20 Liam Lawson

Previous Dutch Grand Prix winners

Year Driver Team
2022 Max Verstappen Red Bull
2021 Max Verstappen Red Bull

Understanding F1 betting odds

The most popular way to bet on Formula 1 odds is by simply picking the winner of a particular race. Other popular F1 betting options include which car/constructor will win and whether or not a particular race car driver will end up on the podium with a Top-3 finish.

F1 race odds usually look like this:

  • Sergio Perez +1,400

This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to profit $1,400 if Perez wins that particular race. If one driver is especially dominant, you might see a minus sign (-) ahead of that driver's odds like this:

  • Max Verstappen -120

This means you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Verstappen winning the race.

Dutch Grand Prix FAQ

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Shawn Wronka - Covers
Betting Analyst

Shawn Wronka is an analytics-based sports bettor who was drawn to analytics at an early age via the stats on the back of sports cards. He began sports betting in 2016, and took an immediate interest in UFC before finding his way towards other major sports.

After years of casual betting, he took an interest in the numbers-based approach and specialized in learning and applying those techniques to niche markets such as player props, the NFL and NBA drafts, and F1. Shawn finds writing a good way to balance the time he spends on numbers, giving him an outlet to paint quantitative edges into qualitative narratives.

A graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison, his work has been seen in dozens of publications including the National Post, Financial Post, Calgary Herald, Vancouver Sun, and The Province.

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