CFL week 8 Indigo lines

After looking at those away favorites further......

Away favorites whose line is 7 points or more stronger than their next week line will be:

AF and n:line-line>=7

180-250 ATS, 41.9%

If that game is a non-divisional game

AF and n:line-line>=7 and division!=o:division

85-143 ATS, 37.3%

Before week 5

AF and n:line-line>=7 and division!=o:division and week<5

19-36 ATS, 34.5%

Week 3

3-10 ATS (-5.5), 23.1%

AF and n:line-line>=7 and division!=o:division and week=3

VERSUS      Cardinals, Seahawks

CFL 

Play:

3)  OVER BC/Sask 47.5

_________________________

2)  Riders -1'

1)  Argos -2', -115

Good luck this weekend 

Yes, thanks buddy.

21-10 Argos at half.....and while watching the game on the internet I am also watching the Virginia/Wake game on the telly.

Halftime of the Virginia game and they have two experts wearing suits giving their locks of the week.....hahaha.

One of them has a 1-4-1 record for the season and the other is 2-4....and they are supremely confident, so I'm quite interested in hearing what they have to say.  

A good capper always wants to accumulate mushes (mush=really poor handicapper), so if their information is stagnant or they don't have a good feel for a particular week's games, he can use their opinions and FADE.

They are valuable commodities and we should feed the beast, LOL.......we complement their suits or respectfully ask them who they like this week around the water cooler.  This past week at the casino I was sitting among some not-so-good handicappers that were complaining about how poorly they were doing, and the conversation went to, who they were playing on Sunday night.....and it was a consensus that obviously Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs were gonna throttle the Ravens.  

THAT IS VALUABLE!!!

Let's see if I remember  Joey Galloway and his friend's  plays...

1)  Michigan State -

2)  Iowa -

3)  North Carolina -

and I don't know the last one....anyone here have it, let me know.  Let's keep our eye on this, this week, as I've found that often with discovery there is a one-time reciprocal result before continuing on it's course of what is transpiring now.

The fourth play:

Notre Dame +6'

1)  Argos -2' winner

2)  Riders -1'

3)  Riders OVER 47'

Well, we'll see, not the best line shopping.

9-14 at half.

Easily the best half of CFL football I've seen this year so far.

Michael Riley has needed to be very good to lead his team down the field to two touchdowns.

I'd like to see 5 touchdowns in the second half....we'll see how it works out.

Of my goodness!  What a finish!!! Wowwwww!!!! 

Crazy league 

nice day Indogo

deleted

1)  Argos -2' winner

2)  Riders -1', lucky cover of the year

3)  Lions OVER 47 winner

Ja, incredible.....I was happy enough to get the split that second game.

Onward and forward we go.

Split?  You posted riders? Then posted lions 

No I went 3-0, but after the Riders scored the late TD to take a one point lead, I thought I had won the total and lost the Riders -1' bet until the last play fumble return for the touch.

great!

Wow - congratulations.

I did play college foots today, and just as well I didn't post, more treading water, with a 5-5-1 record....I obviously have the not cracked the code this season yet.

One thing I noticed today, and perhaps I'll research this when I feel motivated to do so....teams that were home favorites today that were averaging at least 200 yards rushing and 200 yards passing went something like 3-6 as favorites today.

I'll look into to it  more thoroughly some other time.....maybe Monday or Tuesday.

Now time to get ready fhe big boys.....we'll  see if the dogs are howling tomorrow.

Deleting, bought out of the Saints +3.

Let me say that I don't like Carson Wentz or the Colts too much.  However the data supports a play on the Colts today.  This is one of those head versus heart plays, and my belief is that head wins 60% of the time.

Only 35% of the public are on the Colts....just how I like it.

Teams off a close home loss of 4 or less points playing now an away division dog of less than 6 points are 54-29 ATS, covering by an average 2.7 points/game.  If this game is less than week five, they have been 14-6 ATS.

I've added onto some of my plays, and got two separate lines, hence differing lines in my list.

Adding:

1)  Colts +5'.......would play it down to +4.

2)  Chargers +6'/7

3)  Bengals +4/3

4)  Dolphins +5'

5)  Bears +7'

6)  Falcons +3'/3

7)  WFT +8'/7'

1)  Colts +5'.......would play it down to +4.....loser

2)  Chargers +6'/7......................................winner

3)  Bengals +4/3........................................winner

4)  Dolphins +5'

5)  Bears +7'.............................................loser

6)  Falcons +3'/3........................................winner

7)  WFT +8'/7'............................................loser

Well, Nagy has got to go, which the Bears fans have known for quite awhile....play calling is an art and whether it's Nagy or the offensive coordinator, calling the plays, they don't have it on the Bears.  Nagy and LaPolice of the Redblacks are two prime examples of guys that don't have the it factor, whereas the Argos coach, Dinwiddie, could step into the Bears situation cold and make Fields an all-pro within a couple of years.

If the Dolphins can hold on and cover +5.5 I will have won 12 out of my first 15  in the supercontest.....will it be enough to be in the top five to cash?.....I don't think so.

4-3 in the NFL this week, onto Monday night

Monday night divisional away dogs of <6.5 before week 10.....33-22 ATS

If they're off a loss....15-4 ATS

If they're off a home loss....6-0 ATS (+9.3), 4-1-1 straight up.

Play:  

8)  Eagles +3'

______________________________

7)  Falcons +3' winner

6)  WFT +7' loser

5)  Bears +7' loser

4)  Chargers +6' winner

3)  Bengals +4 winner

2)  Colts +5 loser

1)  Dolphins +5' winner

14-4-1 ATS season to date, 12-3 in the superbook contest

CFL

1)  Argos -2' winner

2)  Roughriders -1' winner

3)  Riders OVER 47' winner

26-11 ATS season-to-date

8)  Eagles +3' loser

Worst play of the season for me.  Dallas is gonna be good this season, perhaps I'm the last to figure that out.

14-5-1 on the season.