Quote Originally Posted by fubah2: HOT STREAKS never last long.
Regression anticipated
Normally I would call this an off day for Toledo and want to bail and hedge bet ....but I can't....the lines on very lucky KENT now are waaaaay to high!
Regression anticipated
Normally I would call this an off day for Toledo and want to bail and hedge bet ....but I can't....the lines on very lucky KENT now are waaaaay to high!
Regression anticipated
Normally I would call this an off day for Toledo and want to bail and hedge bet ....but I can't....the lines on very lucky KENT now are waaaaay to high!
Wow. Toledo is 6 games better than the vastly undermanned Golden Flashes....but down 5 pts late.....refs give them multiple chances at the charity stripe and Toledo keeps MISSING EVERY FREE THROW!!!!!!!
Wow. Toledo is 6 games better than the vastly undermanned Golden Flashes....but down 5 pts late.....refs give them multiple chances at the charity stripe and Toledo keeps MISSING EVERY FREE THROW!!!!!!!
REGRESSION DAY part deux
Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak.
I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.
I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it...
So, 0 - 2 -3.30u to begin regression day part deux
REGRESSION DAY part deux
Sucks.....but we could see it coming.....it ALWAYS happens to any hot streak.
I had 7 circled teams for later this afternoon to bet, and I may still do that, albeit at significantly reduced bet sizes in anticipation of continued regression throughout the day..... For that reason I won't be posting those.
I may find some value worth a shot in LIVE GAME action but that's it...
So, 0 - 2 -3.30u to begin regression day part deux
Basically you're saying you believe luck makes a big difference in you winning or losing? like half or more of your wins were lucky? If not, then just trust your process bro..if a coin flips tails 10 times in a row, were 5 of the flips lucky? So you then have a 90% chance of heads on the next few flips?
Basically you're saying you believe luck makes a big difference in you winning or losing? like half or more of your wins were lucky? If not, then just trust your process bro..if a coin flips tails 10 times in a row, were 5 of the flips lucky? So you then have a 90% chance of heads on the next few flips?
@fubah2
Hey fub! If you feel that way about the other 7 picks .. then post them and fade away ! Since you was so hot those picks got to flip the other way . It’s worth a shot. I’ve noticed the same things . It’s got to reverse at some point .
@fubah2
Hey fub! If you feel that way about the other 7 picks .. then post them and fade away ! Since you was so hot those picks got to flip the other way . It’s worth a shot. I’ve noticed the same things . It’s got to reverse at some point .
@fubah2
Hind sight is 20/20, but Kent state is basically playing at home and they have tremendous pride in this conference. The Flashes have been dominate the past few years, winning the tourney last year. Toledo is not a great defensive team and if the shots aren't falling...it is understandable that they could be in trouble. It was a terrible spot for them.
You are doing great. Keep rocking. Best of luck.
@fubah2
Hind sight is 20/20, but Kent state is basically playing at home and they have tremendous pride in this conference. The Flashes have been dominate the past few years, winning the tourney last year. Toledo is not a great defensive team and if the shots aren't falling...it is understandable that they could be in trouble. It was a terrible spot for them.
You are doing great. Keep rocking. Best of luck.
OMG...
DUKE was +6 games better than NCState, but Duke goes down!.......Creetin was +4 games better than Prov, but they go down!.....Ramblers were +6 games better than St.Boner, but they go down!!......MEMPHIS was +6 games better than Washeeta, but down they go to the weaker team!!! Spiders (who I hesitated to bet and then backed off) were +6 games better than mediocre St.Joes, but LOSE!! Did I forget anyone?
All that followed TOLEDO with a +6 game edge over much weaker Kent, but losing to start the "Day of Upsets!"
So glad I backed off betting my circled picks....(other than Toledo loser of course)...So are my Dayton Flyers (+4 games better) going to choke too?!
OMG...
DUKE was +6 games better than NCState, but Duke goes down!.......Creetin was +4 games better than Prov, but they go down!.....Ramblers were +6 games better than St.Boner, but they go down!!......MEMPHIS was +6 games better than Washeeta, but down they go to the weaker team!!! Spiders (who I hesitated to bet and then backed off) were +6 games better than mediocre St.Joes, but LOSE!! Did I forget anyone?
All that followed TOLEDO with a +6 game edge over much weaker Kent, but losing to start the "Day of Upsets!"
So glad I backed off betting my circled picks....(other than Toledo loser of course)...So are my Dayton Flyers (+4 games better) going to choke too?!
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