2011-2012 College Basketball Season

BOL KP

There is ging to be over 5,000 views to this thread before the first game tips off !! 

Looking forward to another great CBB season and following ur posts.  GL KP

wow how good is this guy? any records? Not one pick and 4 pages already

He's good plain as that

Hey Guys, thanks so much for the support - no plays for today (although it is funny that these three games will probably be some of the most well-researched and thought out games some people will bet all season long!). 

My focus is on Friday and I'll try to chime in as early as possible.  Please understand that my style of handicapping is very "stats-based" so, in theory, my methods and modalities should get better as the season goes along (as they have done the last two years). 

In my personal life, I subscribe to the "theory of opposites."  In a nutshell, this theory states that you should see what "everyone" (i.e. most people) are doing and do the opposite and you will be successful.  Everyone eats fast food, so I rarely do.  Most people don't workout, so I exercise daily, so on and so forth, so in that vein . . .

Most people ask the question, "which teams are going to be good this season" so I do the opposite and say "which teams are going to be bad this season." 

More importantly, I ask "which teams that people think will be bad, might be better than expected" (think St. Peter's from last season).  Also, "which teams that people expect to be good (or atleast average to decent) will be worse than expected" (think Houston from last season). 

I am going to be forming options on teams based on the information out there and betting accordingly.  As everyone who is studying the MAAC knows, Iona and Fairfield should be top of the contenders for the league title, but I'm spending the majority of my time studying Canisius and Manhattan etc. and forming opinions on those teams.  Here is a clip from Manhattan's new head coach about how the practices are going so far: espn.go.com/new-york/story/_/id/7129235/new-manhattan-college-coach-steve-masiello-shaking-jaspers-up

Two things I forgot to mention in the original post:

First, get the lines AS SOON AS POSSIBLE, if you plan on betting college hoops all season, you need to get the lines early before they adjust, that will literally be the difference between a winning or losing season.  Inevitably, people will come into a thread late and ask "The line has moved, should I still play it" my threads are only about the line I GET and if you are asking about if you should take a "worse line" than I say absolutely not.  Also, because these games are so unattractive, its hard to predict which way the lines and totals will go, if you can get a better line GET IT AND DONT OVER THINK IT.  No one is setting a "trap" on Marist vs. Rider. 

Secondly, I bet football for fun (i.e. watch the games, cuss at the tv, jump around when my team does well and probably be lucky to break even - but its a fun hobby for me to do as I love to watch football), but I bet basketball for profit (in other words, I suggest NOT watching the games we will be betting on as they might bring about a nervous breakdown).  Also, some of these bets will lose SPECTACULARLY early on, please don't make the mistake of believing that is some sort of "double dishonor."  If I had the choice, I would want ALL my losing bets to be by double digits! 

Thanks for the support, we are all in this together.

BOL this year KP 

  Outstanding philosophy, Professor!

I'll be tail'n ya, for sure!

I've been doing well with bets in NCAAF, NFL and NHL -- hit-and-run bets, here and there, doubling up whenever I can, so it's been a good season, so far.

Thank you very much for being here and sharing your philosophy and picks.

NCAAF players play harder and are more motivated than NBA, right? I hate betting NBA, as those guys just don't seem to have much fire... so if the NBA season does not happen at all, I won't miss a frikk'n bit. Spoiled jackasses, they are.

Good luck this season, KP. Looking forward to your plays

I cant watch the games you put us on,it will drive a crazy person nuts,lol.

Good to see you back KP,hope you dont lose your first game,all the new guys will be saying how you suck and fade this guy and so on,so heres to a good start and year,
and yes I tail this guy blindly on his picks,for the new boys and Girls.

The fact he has 4 pages in his thread with no posts or plays should probably answer that question for you, shouldn't it?

BOL KP

He usually wins,but its a new year,plus no NBA,should have some added degenerates in the College forum this year,

BOL Kline 

Not sure I'll b playing this season due too online restrictions.I know they will take a deposit but payouts r a different thing ne more.

Continued success.

Quote Originally Posted by bell30:

wow how good is this guy? any records? Not one pick and 4 pages already

Here's to another great year Kine

 if you have no pick and your that good, that just means your not willing to risk you rep on the beginnig season of College basketball. As a true NCAA basketball capper you would have done your due diligence and already been prepared for the fist week. VALPO+ pts and the under.

Kine if you dotn mind me asking what book do you use. I go threw a local but the lines move to quick sometimes for me to get best value. let me know thanks!

Loser 

KP....your posts are always a great read.  Good luck to you this season.  Lets make this a great season.

Are you kidding?  Did you read anything KP said?  He is a great capper and only plays spots where he sees a true advantage.  He is also focused on two specific conferences.

You should know that someone who does NOT pick plays every night is almost always 10 times the handicapper that someone who has to be every game will be.

Glad to have you back KineP.  I'll try to contribute as much as I can to your threads this year!