Hello all - I've been betting (i.e. losing) on sports for the past 12-14 years. I am convinced my losing is due primarily to my lack of discipline. I've never tracked my winning percentage, but I'd guess it to be around 55-58%. My problem is I will get on a hot streak, then double or triple my wager amount and eventually lose all my winnings....plus some!
My reason for starting this thread is a feeble attempt to create some discipline (i.e. accountability for myself). I will post all of my wagers on a google spreadsheet (let me know if you want access). I will post on here occasionally, but don't have time to login and post every play.
My simple plan is to bet 2% of my bankroll on every play. My bankroll for 2017 is $10,000. I will update my wager amount every Monday - based on my current bankroll for that week.
Based on some potentially bad math. If I bet an average of 15 games per week with 10% juice, here's where I should end up at the end of the year (with 43 weeks left in the year).
55% winning percentage (1.65% gain each week): $19,957
58% winning percentage (3.54% gain each week): $44,632
I bet primarily with a local and in Football and Basketball I get 5% juice, so actual results will vary.
Onward...
Day 1's wagers:
Wiscy -7.5 -105
William and Mary +5 -105
Siena +6.5 -105
Wofford +1 -105
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hello all - I've been betting (i.e. losing) on sports for the past 12-14 years. I am convinced my losing is due primarily to my lack of discipline. I've never tracked my winning percentage, but I'd guess it to be around 55-58%. My problem is I will get on a hot streak, then double or triple my wager amount and eventually lose all my winnings....plus some!
My reason for starting this thread is a feeble attempt to create some discipline (i.e. accountability for myself). I will post all of my wagers on a google spreadsheet (let me know if you want access). I will post on here occasionally, but don't have time to login and post every play.
My simple plan is to bet 2% of my bankroll on every play. My bankroll for 2017 is $10,000. I will update my wager amount every Monday - based on my current bankroll for that week.
Based on some potentially bad math. If I bet an average of 15 games per week with 10% juice, here's where I should end up at the end of the year (with 43 weeks left in the year).
55% winning percentage (1.65% gain each week): $19,957
58% winning percentage (3.54% gain each week): $44,632
I bet primarily with a local and in Football and Basketball I get 5% juice, so actual results will vary.
Right here is your problem. Playing to many games. CAP the games and be done with it. Don't chase all night long. If you would have been 2-6 you would have banged the late game. If you are picking at 58 percent you should be a winner.
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Right here is your problem. Playing to many games. CAP the games and be done with it. Don't chase all night long. If you would have been 2-6 you would have banged the late game. If you are picking at 58 percent you should be a winner.
Right here is your problem. Playing to many games. CAP the games and be done with it. Don't chase all night long. If you would have been 2-6 you would have banged the late game. If you are picking at 58 percent you should be a winner.
But it's March Madness....capping sounds like a good idea for next month
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Quote Originally Posted by capper4ever:
Right here is your problem. Playing to many games. CAP the games and be done with it. Don't chase all night long. If you would have been 2-6 you would have banged the late game. If you are picking at 58 percent you should be a winner.
But it's March Madness....capping sounds like a good idea for next month
My favorite time of the year my dude. I'm going to Vegas for 2 weeks next week. Poker and March madness Bro I cant wait. Taking a nice stack down there this year. Damn I cant wait
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My favorite time of the year my dude. I'm going to Vegas for 2 weeks next week. Poker and March madness Bro I cant wait. Taking a nice stack down there this year. Damn I cant wait
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