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Bubba's $$$$ Thread FRIDAY- Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.25.16

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Posted: #51
wmi - that you did indeed
 
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Posted: #52
Hey RF Dawg,

Some very impressive cappin' on the pitch today.  Much respect, sir.
 
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Posted: #53
Right now in sitting in 3rd place for this week's ncaab contest after dropping 3rd to 12th from yesterday's run. Im perfect so far today on sided n totals.

Im on zag + under and indy + over.

Please let it hit so i can advance. After Easter sunday, first place gets $100 paypal. Not much but winning it means more like you beat out 2000 or so cappers from around the world.

Hit ncaab cover contest. Hit weekly leaderboard and hit pending plays by top cappers for the week to see what they are on. Ride with them hot hands of the week for money. Next week will be a different batch of hot hands giving out free picks.

Im on some games today too. When i no share i win. When i do, moose sighting and lose. Straight up jinx i tell ya.
X_____________________________
 
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Posted: #54
Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:

Wisky/ND - The first team to 61 wins. If neither does, then it's all Wisky



 
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Posted: #55
Can't believe my Irish are in the Elite 8! They should actually show up for the first half once and see how it goes!!


Jack Ryan
 
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Posted: #56
TOPFLIGHT comes through again!! Tailed him on Syracuse!!!


Jack Ryan
 
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Posted: #57

SATURDAY GAME $$$$

KANSANS -2 $$$$

I have been laying low since losing my last two $$$$ picks by 2 points and 1/2 a point respectively, but this spot is too good to pass up to my eyes.

Kansas has the perimeter defense to make thinks more difficult for the Villanova 3 point attack that caught Miami sleeping in the round of 16. Something interesting here is Kansas's 14 games played against the top 25 teams in the nation where they were 11-3. Villanova, conversely, only played six games against the top 25 and split those at just 3-3.

Don't get me wrong, Villanova is a fine team and is capable of shooting lights out again. However, we are talking about a one possession line and Kansas has been the most consistent team in the entire country. Something tells me this line ticks up to 3 by tip, so get your bets in early.

 

Gamble for entertainment, invest for wealth!
 
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Posted: #58
Quote Originally Posted by rf_dawg:

North Carolina/Indiana

Thanks to Maryland's second half "no show" it's time to right the ship on Friday.  Plenty to choose from and my favorite play is "under 2" in the Haiti/Panama World Cup Qualifier but just too much juice to make it a $$$$ pick. 

North Carolina and Indiana face off in the second game in Philadelphia on Friday night.  Here's the justification for my play:

  • People see the names Indiana and North Carolina and automatically think we're looking at a games in the 80's or 90's.  This gives us an inflated total.   
  • Both teams rank in the top 10 in offensive efficiency but also in the top 10 in defensive efficiency too.
  • The deeper we go in the tournament the more the likelihood of a half-court game with possessions at a premium. 
  • UNC average 82.5 ppg while Indiana gives up 69.  Indiana averages 82.5 ppg while UNC gives up 69.5.  I expect both teams to end up in the 70's, although I wouldn't be surprised if UNC ran away with it if Indiana can't get some rebounds. 
  • How many times have each of these teams played games where the total has gone over 160 (the opening total for this game)?  If we go back to the start of conference play for each time it's happened 3 times in 23 games for UNC and 4 times in 21 games for Indiana

$$$$ Pick: North Carolina vs Indiana under 159

Jesus, Indiana is a disgrace. 

Florida Gulf Coast played UNC tougher.

 
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Posted: #59
$$$$ Kansas -2 

Great value in this line getting the most consistent team in NCAA basketball this year to win by anything more than a bucket against a known tournament choke artist. This line will be -3 by tip without a doubt.

Villanova has played great pressure defense which has resulted in their efficient offense and transition game - Unfortunately for them they are playing one of the only teams left with the guard depth to be able to handle the pressure. 

I am also thinking that Kansas should out rebound them and limit their second chance opportunities - This Villanova team scores a fortune of points off offensive rebound kick out 3's - I think our defensive rebounding can limit that far more than their previous opponents.

Believe it or not, Villanova was not a "deadly" 3 point shooting team all year. They have been red hot all tournament and I think that will need to continue for them to beat this well rounded Kansas team. I bet they don't shoot quite as well and Kansas controls the game winning by 7-14 points.


 
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Posted: #60

Montrose vs Annan

Forget the NCAA tournament for now as I can't win a $$$$ pick there to save my life.  When it comes to a slump buster nothing hits the spot quite like Scottish football (soccer).

Plenty of winners in the lower divisions in Scotland tomorrow (Saturday) so the hard part is choosing just one for the main pick.

After much deliberation we'll drop down to the dregs of the Scottish 2nd division (actually, the 4th level of Scottish soccer) for a match between Montrose and Annan at Links Park.

These two teams average 3.47 and 3.43 goals per game respectively. Two of their three meetings this year had at least five goals scored.

Montrose had had 3+ goals scored in 7 of 11 games while Annan has done the same in 11 of 13 games. 

Gary Fraser has bagged 17 goals in 29 games for Montrose so odds are good that he finds the net.  On the other side Annan is much more balanced getting 13 in 21 game from old man Peter Weatherson, 11 from Matt Flynn (no, not the Packers QB) and another 9 from Nigerian defender Smart Osadolor.

$$$$ Pick: Montrose vs Annan over 3 (-115)

Others I like a lot in order of preference:

Stenhousemuir/Forfar o3 (+101)  2 of the 3 meetings with at least 4 goals scored. Stenhousemuir has 6 of 7 games wit h4 goals or more and 5 of 7 games with 5 goals or more. 70% of Stenhousemuir's games have at least 3 goals scored and the ball has been in the net 108 times in their 30 games.

Dunfermline (-1.5) (-125) & o3 (-110)  Dunfermline has won 6-1, 3-1 and 2-1 in their 3 previous encounters.  They are the dominant team in the league and, while Brechin has won 4 out of 5, they should come crashing down in this one.  Dunfermline has scored 5 goals and then 6 goals in two of their last three home games.

Peterhead/Cowdenbeath o3.5 (-108)  Cowdenbeath's road matches average 4.07 goals/game

Ayr ML (-102)  just a better team at home at almost even money.

 
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Posted: #61
Quote Originally Posted by rf_dawg:

North Carolina/Indiana

Thanks to Maryland's second half "no show" it's time to right the ship on Friday.  Plenty to choose from and my favorite play is "under 2" in the Haiti/Panama World Cup Qualifier but just too much juice to make it a $$$$ pick. 

North Carolina and Indiana face off in the second game in Philadelphia on Friday night.  Here's the justification for my play:

  • People see the names Indiana and North Carolina and automatically think we're looking at a games in the 80's or 90's.  This gives us an inflated total.   
  • Both teams rank in the top 10 in offensive efficiency but also in the top 10 in defensive efficiency too.
  • The deeper we go in the tournament the more the likelihood of a half-court game with possessions at a premium. 
  • UNC average 82.5 ppg while Indiana gives up 69.  Indiana averages 82.5 ppg while UNC gives up 69.5.  I expect both teams to end up in the 70's, although I wouldn't be surprised if UNC ran away with it if Indiana can't get some rebounds. 
  • How many times have each of these teams played games where the total has gone over 160 (the opening total for this game)?  If we go back to the start of conference play for each time it's happened 3 times in 23 games for UNC and 4 times in 21 games for Indiana

$$$$ Pick: North Carolina vs Indiana under 159

Also playing:

Haiti/Jamaica under 2

Gonzaga tt under 69.5

Virginia tt over 73

El Salvador/Honduras under 2

Mexico (-1)

St. Vincent & the Grenadines/Trinidad & Tobago over 3

Netherlands/France over 2.5

Brazil/Uruguay over 2.5



Thanks for posting Soccer bro !!! Anything for today ??? Appreciate it .... Good Luck !!
 
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Posted: #62
Bubba~

It would really help if you would kindly please post the days' thread the night before the day of the thread.

Many would already have their pick for the next day and are ready to post 'em the night before; otherwise, you would have to deal with the current days' picks being posted on the day-old thread.


 
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Posted: #63
Best thread going.  When rf_dawg speaks soccer, I listen.  
 
 
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Posted: #64
What book(s) are you guys using for the Scottish soccer? Thanks!
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