$$$$ PLAY OF MY DAY NEVADA -4 THEY BEAT THEM BY 9 77-68 2 DAYS AGO ANOTHER HOME GAME 15-3 THEY ALMOST WON ON THE ROAD 83-86 MISSED A 3 TO TIE MOREHEAD ST IS 8-10 ON THE ROAD HOME TEAM HAD ADVANTAGE STATISICALLY THROUGH OUT THE SEASON
You should have waited now only -3I'd be careful with this one. GL
Its now -2.5
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Quote Originally Posted by jrgumpert:
Quote Originally Posted by Desertcapper:
$$$$ PLAY OF MY DAY NEVADA -4 THEY BEAT THEM BY 9 77-68 2 DAYS AGO ANOTHER HOME GAME 15-3 THEY ALMOST WON ON THE ROAD 83-86 MISSED A 3 TO TIE MOREHEAD ST IS 8-10 ON THE ROAD HOME TEAM HAD ADVANTAGE STATISICALLY THROUGH OUT THE SEASON
You should have waited now only -3I'd be careful with this one. GL
I feel Atlanta can whole Lebron in check better than any other team. In addition, all they have to do is put a warm body on Love and he is pretty much useless. They are quick enough to guard the 3 on the perimeter and the Cavaliers are going to have a tough time scoring. I might even parlay this with the under. Atlanta has lost the last 3 meetings and is due for a breakout. They took 4 in a row from the Cavaliers last year, including December 2014. They got destroyed their last 2 games, losing by 30 in May 2015. It's time for payback!
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Atlanta -2
I feel Atlanta can whole Lebron in check better than any other team. In addition, all they have to do is put a warm body on Love and he is pretty much useless. They are quick enough to guard the 3 on the perimeter and the Cavaliers are going to have a tough time scoring. I might even parlay this with the under. Atlanta has lost the last 3 meetings and is due for a breakout. They took 4 in a row from the Cavaliers last year, including December 2014. They got destroyed their last 2 games, losing by 30 in May 2015. It's time for payback!
WHO CARES IF IT IS ONE -1 OR PK A WIN IS WHAT I CARE I GOT IT AT -4 AND -3 NOTE 70 % #4 I HAVE 3500 TOURNMENT WIN ON HERTAGE AND UP $4000 FOR THE TOURNAMENT I AM NOT SAYING I AM GOING TO WIN I LIKE MY CHANCES HOME COURT ADVANTAGE GOOD LUCK AS ALWAYS I AM NOT SCARED
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WHO CARES IF IT IS ONE -1 OR PK A WIN IS WHAT I CARE I GOT IT AT -4 AND -3 NOTE 70 % #4 I HAVE 3500 TOURNMENT WIN ON HERTAGE AND UP $4000 FOR THE TOURNAMENT I AM NOT SAYING I AM GOING TO WIN I LIKE MY CHANCES HOME COURT ADVANTAGE GOOD LUCK AS ALWAYS I AM NOT SCARED
First of all, big shoutout to Bubba, and USC_Homley before him for creating this thread, you've taken a quantitative finance professional who used to be a degenerate gambler (an agruably still is) and forced him to put some thought and time into his capping, which has proven successful recently (4-0) run since an initial loss.
As a result I'm going to try my hand at handicapping the NBA, I've played a lot of DK, but I shy away from NBA given the difficulty I've heard it creates for cappers. Anyway, testing my luck here with two non-$$$$ picks but ones I like
Wizards -9 vs Suns
This is a must win game for the wizards. As an ailing team looking like they're dropping out of the playoffs, this is a must-win for them and the lowly suns is just what they need. No bledsoe, no knight, no luer, this suns team will have to rely on it's offense to keep pace with the wizards. I see a scenario where the suns at home shoot lights out and just overwhelm the wizards into dysfunctional play as has been the trend recently, but I'm fading that notion, these are grown men, and as belichick famously told his players, the wizards just need to DO THEIR JOB to man handle the suns. This line moved from -7 to -9 but they should win by double digits.
I also like the Jazz -7 over the wolves, it's a win and in game for them and they've been playing lights out at home, even forced GS to OT. I might look to take a live in-game line if I get -7 or better.
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First of all, big shoutout to Bubba, and USC_Homley before him for creating this thread, you've taken a quantitative finance professional who used to be a degenerate gambler (an agruably still is) and forced him to put some thought and time into his capping, which has proven successful recently (4-0) run since an initial loss.
As a result I'm going to try my hand at handicapping the NBA, I've played a lot of DK, but I shy away from NBA given the difficulty I've heard it creates for cappers. Anyway, testing my luck here with two non-$$$$ picks but ones I like
Wizards -9 vs Suns
This is a must win game for the wizards. As an ailing team looking like they're dropping out of the playoffs, this is a must-win for them and the lowly suns is just what they need. No bledsoe, no knight, no luer, this suns team will have to rely on it's offense to keep pace with the wizards. I see a scenario where the suns at home shoot lights out and just overwhelm the wizards into dysfunctional play as has been the trend recently, but I'm fading that notion, these are grown men, and as belichick famously told his players, the wizards just need to DO THEIR JOB to man handle the suns. This line moved from -7 to -9 but they should win by double digits.
I also like the Jazz -7 over the wolves, it's a win and in game for them and they've been playing lights out at home, even forced GS to OT. I might look to take a live in-game line if I get -7 or better.
I think that the Ducks will win by more than 1 goal; however, I have it at -1 for lower juice, compared to the ML, and for a push if the Ducks win by only one goal.
I just hate it when it's 3-1 with an empty netter and the opposition scores to make it 3-2 if I have a -1.5 play going.
I have a hard time envisioning the 'Nucks winning over the Ducks this evening, though -- that would be a yuck.
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Nucks 'n Ducks -1
Not a $$$$ play. Just a comment.
I think that the Ducks will win by more than 1 goal; however, I have it at -1 for lower juice, compared to the ML, and for a push if the Ducks win by only one goal.
I just hate it when it's 3-1 with an empty netter and the opposition scores to make it 3-2 if I have a -1.5 play going.
I have a hard time envisioning the 'Nucks winning over the Ducks this evening, though -- that would be a yuck.
Although it wasn't pretty I hope I won some people a little money with Phil today. Phil did find the water again but Sergio didn't bring his putter as he missed a couple 4 footers. I do so a little bit of value in the Heat tonight coming off a loss to the lowly Lakers and the Kings with their top dog out. Going to make a small wager on them -280.
Although it wasn't pretty I hope I won some people a little money with Phil today. Phil did find the water again but Sergio didn't bring his putter as he missed a couple 4 footers. I do so a little bit of value in the Heat tonight coming off a loss to the lowly Lakers and the Kings with their top dog out. Going to make a small wager on them -280.
Although it wasn't pretty I hope I won some people a little money with Phil today. Phil did find the water again but Sergio didn't bring his putter as he missed a couple 4 footers. I do so a little bit of value in the Heat tonight coming off a loss to the lowly Lakers and the Kings with their top dog out. Going to make a small wager on them -280.
also that chip in eagle from sergio had me scared...hope you took DJ bet with me. That was probably easiest win today
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Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:
Although it wasn't pretty I hope I won some people a little money with Phil today. Phil did find the water again but Sergio didn't bring his putter as he missed a couple 4 footers. I do so a little bit of value in the Heat tonight coming off a loss to the lowly Lakers and the Kings with their top dog out. Going to make a small wager on them -280.
I am playing the under in this game for the following reasons:
-Both teams want to win this game. Boston is barely holding on to a playoff spot and St Louis is trying to catch Dallas as the one seed
-St Louis has given up one goal in the last FIVE GAMES
-Boston has gone 1-6 in their last 7 games scoring 10 goals combined in that span
This time of year is really difficult to handicap in both the nba and nhl based on game importance and teams resting for the playoffs. I believe this game will have more of a playoff type atmosphere and will end up being a low scoring affair.
$$$$ play St Louis/Boston under 5 -110
Fade or follow best of luck to everyone and thank you to all the posters who make this thread worth readingon a daily basis.
Just barely went over. Lol. It was solid reasoning.. just one of those things. Get em tomorrow!!
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Quote Originally Posted by RBTrojan:
NHL Boston @ St Louis total 5 -110
I am playing the under in this game for the following reasons:
-Both teams want to win this game. Boston is barely holding on to a playoff spot and St Louis is trying to catch Dallas as the one seed
-St Louis has given up one goal in the last FIVE GAMES
-Boston has gone 1-6 in their last 7 games scoring 10 goals combined in that span
This time of year is really difficult to handicap in both the nba and nhl based on game importance and teams resting for the playoffs. I believe this game will have more of a playoff type atmosphere and will end up being a low scoring affair.
$$$$ play St Louis/Boston under 5 -110
Fade or follow best of luck to everyone and thank you to all the posters who make this thread worth readingon a daily basis.
Just barely went over. Lol. It was solid reasoning.. just one of those things. Get em tomorrow!!
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