Posted:
#26
St
Josephs (1:30PM ET CBS Sports Network) – Fresno State comes through again for
$$$$ yesterday and we look for 4-0 and the chance at another $$$$ tomorrow as
the St Joseph’s Hawks take on the Dayton Flyers in semifinal action in the
Atlantic 10 Tournament at the Barclay’s Center in Brooklyn. George Washington couldn’t miss in the first
half but when the Colonials finally cooled off St Josephs was able to impose
their will and their physical presence was too much for George Washington as
expected as the Hawks outscored the Colonials by 20 in the second half on their
way to a 86-80 victory. That resilient
second half performance speaks volumes about this St Joseph’s team and while
that win likely punched their ticket to the NCAA Tournament, Phil Martelli’s
teams always take this conference tournament seriously and we expect the Hawks
to build on yesterday’s second half in their matchup with Dayton today. The Flyers managed to crack the top 15 at one
point this season but this Dayton team has really faded down the stretch and
while their 4-3 record in their last seven games doesn’t look that bad, a
couple of less fortunate bounces and it could be much worse. Dayton had their nine game winning streak
snapped by this St Joes team a few weeks ago and since then the Flyers have also
lost to St Bonaventure and Rhode Island while escaping with overtime victories over
a dreadful St Louis team and at home on Senior Night against VCU. Dayton is getting a lot of love for blowing
out Richmond yesterday but the Spiders were a mess coming into this tournament and
not nearly the caliber of opposition that St Joseph’s put down in George
Washington, a team that has a great case for an at large bid to the NCAA
Tournament. There’s just something not
clicking for Dayton offensively right now and if you throw out their 85-84 win
over Richmond, since the back to back losses to St Josephs and St Bonaventure
the Flyers have put up ugly point totals of 52 (in overtime!) against St Louis,
66 in a loss to Rhode Island, 68 (in overtime again!) against VCU and 69
yesterday against Richmond. St Josephs
have been scoring at will of late, averaging 82.3 points per game over their
last 10 games and after a second half where they dropped 51 on a really good
George Washington team we don’t see the Hawks slowing down against the Flyers
today. Dayton is still living off their
early season reputation and because of that they are, in our opinion, wrongfully
favored over a St Joseph’s squad that has looked the more impressive team since
defeating Dayton 79-70 a few weeks ago.
We have two teams trending in the wrong direction here and this spot has
paid dividends for us all conference tournament season so let’s ride this angle
again here. The points here are a gift
as this is a game we fully expect St Joseph’s to win outright but it makes
sense to play this at the key number of three and we will look to the Hawks to
keep our excellent run going by cashing our seventh straight winner on Saturday
afternoon.
$$$$ St Joseph's +2.5
I think St Joes will win this outright but if you can get +3 -120 its a key number and I think you always take that. I'm not giving out Fresno State as a $$$$ today because San Diego State is a whole different animal than what they have faced the past two nights but I do think Fresno has a good shot in this game. I haven't decided if this will be a play for me yet or not but I will definitely let you all know if I'm going to make a play on it. We went 4-0 yesterday (St Joes, Middle Tenn, West Virginia and Fresno St) and I will have my entire card at topflightsportsinfo dot com
Lets get this one for an early winner to set the tone today Good luck everyone lets have a great day!
0
WINNA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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