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Bubba's $$$$ Thread WEDNESDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 03.23.16

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Posted: #26
Bubbaski 27 I don't know if you received my play for today I posted last night. It was Florida +2.0 if u could copy and paste it for me thanks.
 
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Posted: #27
Quote Originally Posted by gunnslinger12:

 I lived in SD for past 3 years and the homecourt is big one for SD ST however against top 25 competition they struggled. Ever since GT changed MGH to point they have been on a tear.  I agree with everything you said-  the shockers had same issue and came out slow and paid the price- I think GT is too talented and can own the boards here to keep it close.  These are 20 year old kids amped up not NBA players on a b2b.  I dont think its as big of an issue. Everyone thought UCONN would feel the Cincy 4 OT effect and they steam rolled next game.  I like GTECH here. 


Gunslinger, thank you for the good information and your opinion.  I'll try to hedge some of my action. 
 
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Posted: #28
For today, i am going to tail. So sick and tired of losing to the moose.

So what we on? Daygo st?

Daygo 1h
Daygo full game
Daygo under

Tail some more. Great cappers post up n give us something to tail with.
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Posted: #29

$$$$$$ UC Irvine +2.5 This team plays in the way harder conference and is a far better team. Irvine has the height advantage too. UL Lafayette is actually a good team but didn't compete in their tournament as much as Irvine did and all year. not to mention UC Irvine Is the far better 3 point shooters.

 
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Posted: #30
I'm really liking the ML for GT tonight at +180.
I follow GT basketball rather closely and they want to win the NIT. They believe they belonged in the big dance. Plus the coach here is literally fighting for his job. The fan base and supporters aren't happy with the turn around after we let hewitt go. Yes, we are still paying hewitts contract....

$$$$play is Georgia Tech +5
I'm taking them moneyline.
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by harishgill94:

Atlanta Hawks @ Washington wizards

Any game the wizards are in they like to run. The last game hit 220 or just about if I'm not mistaken.
With the heavy pace wizards play hawks will have to match. Currently the total is sitting at 209.5 I feel it will jump up a few points to 212-213.

$$$$ play on atlanta/Washington over 209.5


I have not crunched the numbers on this game yet, but my gut feeling is inclined to agree with you on this one.  Holding off betting it though until I take a closer look.

@ftruth - your prediction about the Nevada line going up was prescient.  Now -4.5 against Vermont.  Good luck with it.  I parlayed Nevada with Coastal Carolina. 

Hopefully I have better luck on college bball today than yesterday.  I had Creighton +5 and under 166.5.  Something like 28 points scored in last 2 minutes of the game to the under.  Then, Creighton hit a last second 3 pointer that would have given them the backdoor cover, but it did not count LOL.  Just one of those games.
 
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Posted: #32
Difference between Uconn and G-tech is that. Uconn didn't not have to.travel across county switching time zones.G-Tech as too and if the time zone switch effects the pros I do believe it will effect the college kids . I think the line should be higher . Just my opinion though 
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by Boger23:

I'm really liking the ML for GT tonight at +180.
I follow GT basketball rather closely and they want to win the NIT. They believe they belonged in the big dance. Plus the coach here is literally fighting for his job. The fan base and supporters aren't happy with the turn around after we let hewitt go. Yes, we are still paying hewitts contract....

$$$$play is Georgia Tech +5
I'm taking them moneyline.


The ACC has indeed been quite strong this postseason.  ACC is 12-1 SU so far in the main tournament, and doing decently well in NIT also.  Virginia Tech gave BYU (very strong home team) all they could handle in provo before falling.  I think Georgia Tech will show they have the talent to hang with SD State on the road as well.  I have not bet them yet, but I do expect a great game.
 
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Posted: #34
@Lakers that 3 pointer was well after the buzzer and the same dude.that made them had 2 chances but held the ball and passed it down low for 2 points 
 
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Posted: #35
$$$$ Raptors +1 $$$$

The Raptors are looking for the season sweep against the Celtic tonight on the road. Raptors really took it to the Celtics last week.

No Crowder for the Celtics tonight, he's been a big piece to this teams success this season and really comes up big in games like this. Lowry and Demar will led the way tonight I think this will be a much closer game then we saw last week and Thomas will have a big impact on tonights game. I just see the Raptors pulling through and really forcing the Cavs for that 1st place spot!

The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Lets go Raptors :)
 
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Posted: #36
Quote Originally Posted by tfruth:

A huge shout out to Bubba for managing the most compelling forum topic on this site.  Interesting, informative, and then by adding a little friendly competition makes this my must read thread everyday. Bubba has attracted talented and intelligent contributors--Sorry I am not one of them!!!  Their supporting write-ups are the deal makers and breakers for me before I head to the window.  

My 1st $$$$ play contribution will be on my hometown boys here in Northern Nevada.  I'm taking NV -3.5 over UVM.  Here's why:

NV 8-1 ATS last 9 home games.
UVM 2-5 ATS on the road.

The intangibles:  When Marquis Coleman(Star Player who will be making a paycheck somewhere in the future) went down with an ankle injury the team could have folded and went home.  They did not. They played spirited ball in the conference tournament and gave a solid San Diego St team a battle to the end.   Cameron Oliver is a double double beast in the making and has been on fire!  This kid may be a lottery pick someday.  Coach Bill Musselman has this team motivated to win.  This is their 3rd straight home game in this tournament and they plan on winning out.  If Coleman can play and contribute, this is a lift to a team that is winning and playing well even w/o their #1.  Mr. Oliver was Freshman Player of the Year in the Conference-He's the other #1.  Also, a big factor is that Oliver doesn't get into foul trouble--not on our court!

Vermont just flew cross country to Washington and won a game against an inferior Seattle team.  A day later they fly into Reno, hoping to keep their mojo going?  Very unlikely for them to keep focus being on the road and hanging out in airports the past 4 days. 

Vermont has not played against this level of talent and competition. The Mountain West isn't a Power 5, but they have stiff competition throughout the league and NV has played very well against the best teams in Conference especially on their home court.   NV is a team that is playing for the future and they have a bright one with Musselman leading the helm.

$$$$ NV -3.5 * this line is going to rise, won't surprise me to see -4.5-5.0 by tip off.  If NV plays focused it won't matter.  NV should win pulling away in 2nd half  by double digits.  Vermont is going to wear down with the two cities, and 2000 miles of travel in 3 days.  I think the 3 time zones of change also becomes a factor in the 2nd half. Lastly, Reno is the worst airport in the US when it comes to landing and take offs. Major turbulence is a guarantee and the wind was whipping in these parts when they flew into town.  Makes me unsettled thinking about it.  Vermont will likely be in for some turbulence on the court as well.


Do allow me to tail here

Vermont is another cinderella team that is making is run.  They are 9-9 on the road this season.  While they do not take many shots, their fg percentage is pretty nice. 

wolfpacks is a home crowd, home court team.  They have defended their home stance really well this season.  Although their offensive and defensive numbers are not better than vermont, they do have a nasty rebounding squad.  16th in the nation I believed.  Their defense also rejects balls too like 5 per game which puts them 6th in the nation with block balls.

I am also banking on this trend here. 

vermont
0-4 ATS in their last four after an ATS win

nevada
8-1 ATS in their last nine at home

if vermont wins here, I'll feed the because that is what it is.  When you see the , you have to shoot it and eat it for jerky or it will stink and rott. 

I also like the line movement.  No reserve here. 

I'm riding strong on this bet here because I will be in reno and will be at the game later tonight.  If the camera is on the bench of nevada, you might see me and I will be holding a cup of beer to the camera and for your covers people. 

Won one lose one last night for me in nba and ncaab with the final blow tailing bubba under.  I'll ride with bubba again

nevada - 4.5 for $$$$ for me please








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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by Boger23:

I'm really liking the ML for GT tonight at +180.I follow GT basketball rather closely and they want to win the NIT. They believe they belonged in the big dance. Plus the coach here is literally fighting for his job. The fan base and supporters aren't happy with the turn around after we let hewitt go. Yes, we are still paying hewitts contract.... $$$$play is Georgia Tech +5 I'm taking them moneyline.

Love hearing that dude, i love the jackets, i have lost every play i have made this season against SDSt and their 102 year old looking coach. Lets kick ass
 
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Posted: #38
Good stuff on Nevada here guys.  Vermont is a terrible road team and Nevada a much better team with Coleman back.  Vermont also stayed on the west coast after the Seattle game so they have basically been hanging out since Monday and are probably getting a bit restless.  

Been trying to fade Nevada where I can this season but this looks like a good spot to take a shot with the Wolfpack.  I'll roll with you guys on this one.
 
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Posted: #39
Isles tonight is -200 and o/u 5 1/2 but I get that at -140...still value in that?
 
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Posted: #40
From Limbix:

I'm back after a few days to clear the mind which I always feel is important in long term success when it comes to most things go let alone over and under analysing sports stats n spreads.
Tomorrow night the play is the Florida Gators who respectfully are putting together a strong post season run. It's always a let down for them to miss the big dance but shows me more that they are finishing get strong!

$$$ FLORIDA +2.0 $$$

 
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Posted: #41
Tuesday $$$$ Summary: 4-4-0

Winners: cincinatti25, kilo17, TopFlightSports, lakerz
Losers: MixMD, GoChargersGoOoO, Steelersbets, nfl_brosuf
Draws: n/a

$$$$ Thread NCAA Tournament $$$$ Record:   28-28-6
 
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Posted: #42
Columbia and Ball St. over 138.  The line opened at 133 and is now at 138.5.  That's a significant movement, thus I am riding the over.
 
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by sunny49:

Isles tonight is -200 and o/u 5 1/2 but I get that at -140...still value in that?

The system states they have to open at -200 & 5.5 (opened at -180 iirc?). Did play it at -123 earlier though. Can't really count it towards the system but felt good about it anyway. -140 might be a bit juicy in my opinion.
 
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Posted: #44
Okay, looked into that NBA Atlanta/Washington game and here are my thoughts (for better or worse).

While I would still take the over 109.5 if forced to pick a side, I decided to hold off of this one.  Why?  Well for starters, this is the 2nd consecutive game the two teams have faced each other, one game at Atlanta and now next game at Washington.  I've seen a lot of strange things happen with these kind of two game sets.  One game will be won by team A and go over, then the following game will be won by team B and go under ha ha ha.  So whenever I see these two game sets I am hesitant to bet on them.

Another interesting thing is how well both teams had been playing defensively on their winning streaks.  Atlanta has been impressive during their long run on defense, while Washington also has had their *defense* lead the way to their winning streak.  Kind of crazy as this whole season Wizards defense has been horrible.  Yet now, they were holding opposing teams to around 40% shooting.  Atlanta broke that streak by shooting 50% in their loss and scoring > 100.  Atlanta offense has been quite consistent and can be counted on to get right around 100-105 most nights.

So no play for me but good luck to whoever does bet this game.

I did decide to bet Georgia Tech +5 tonight though.  Call me nuts, this is the 2nd straight time I've chosen the road dog who is not faring well in this years NIT.
 
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Posted: #45
Forgot to mention, if forced to make a bet on that NBA game, I would take Atlanta +1 instead of the over. 


Hey, what are people's thoughts for the sweet 16 games on Thu/Fri?  Any leans or bets already locked in?

I already locked in Oregon -2 when the lines first came out.  Also thinking about UNC
 
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Posted: #46
                          $$$$ Standings                  
                         Currently Updated Thru 3-22-2016                              
       
$$$$ Thread YTD:       365-273-23      57.21%  
$$$$ This Week:         9-10-0         47.37%
$$$$ Tuesday:             4-4          50% 
       

$$$$ Standings for Players with 10 or more $$$$
              Note: Above .500 required                                   
                       
1.  Rf_dawg--------------(14-4-1)----77.78%
2.  TopFlightSports----(15-5-1)-------75.00%
3.  Jimc0911------------(10-4)--------71.43%
4.  worthbob------------(7-3)---------70%
5.  Bubbaski27----------(16-7-1)-----69.57%
6.  FenwayFrank-------(11-5-1)--------68.75%
6.  Desertcapper--------(11-5)----------68.75%
8.  Gatorbear-------------(12-6)-------67%
8.  wmi799----------------(12-6)--------67%
8.  Rebel1927---------------(8-4)-----67%
11. Lakerz-------------(7-4-1)-------63.64%
12. USC_Holmey-------(9-6-1)-------60%
13. ncaabb---------------(10-7)---------58.82%
14. Donkey dealer08-----(7-5-2)--------58.33%
15. NFL_Brosuf--------(16-12-3)---57.14%
16. BadTimes-----------(8-8)---------50.00%
16. PoutyPrince-----------(5-5)---------50.00%
 
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Posted: #47
 $$$$ Standings for Players with 9 or less $$$$    
Note: Above .500 required and a minimum of 5 $$$$ 

1.      Geeman7-----------------(4-1)
2. OneHundo----------------(5-2)
3.      redtear2989---------------(6-3)
3. GtimeButler---------------(6-3)
3.      gatornation24-----------(4-2-1)
3.      burntcalloway------------(4-2-1)
3.      gambleholic63------------(4-2)
3.      limbix-------------------(4-2)
9. TiltingChaser-----------(3-2-1)
9. Stu23----------------------(3-2)
11. Da_Oracle---------------(4-3)
12.    SikSenses---------------(4-4)
12. Supereagle43-----------(4-4)
12.    Dark_McGwire---------(4-4)
12. BK1374-------------------(3-3-1)
 
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Posted: #48
I don't have time for a write up so I will not make this a $$$$ play yet I will be wagering the same amount.  Gators +2 @ BetUs.  Like Boger23 with Ga Tech, the Gators want this game badly for the trip to the NIT final four.  This would be a nice bullet point on new coach White's resume in regards to recruiting and they are actually playing better with the 2 point guard (Chiolla & Hill) playing at the same time.  Hayes has stepped in nicely.

As always, GLTA






 
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Posted: #49
Wednesday Pending $$$$s:  9

MaxWagner (1-2) San Diego State -5
harishgill94 (0-1) Hawks/Wizards Over 209.5
tfruth (0-0) Nevada -3.5
rainman369 (0-0) Florida Gators ML +105
dbronco (0-0) San Diego State 1st Half -2.5
GeeMan7 (4-1) /superlam (0-0) Toronto Raptors +1
burntcalloway (4-2-1) UC Irvine +2.5
boger23 (0-0) Georgia Tech +5
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by GeeMan7:

$$$$ Raptors +1 $$$$

The Raptors are looking for the season sweep against the Celtic tonight on the road. Raptors really took it to the Celtics last week.

No Crowder for the Celtics tonight, he's been a big piece to this teams success this season and really comes up big in games like this. Lowry and Demar will led the way tonight I think this will be a much closer game then we saw last week and Thomas will have a big impact on tonights game. I just see the Raptors pulling through and really forcing the Cavs for that 1st place spot!

The Raptors are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NBA Atlantic.

Lets go Raptors :)

$$$ Wednesday Pick$$$$
Record: 1-1 

After a gut wrenching loss last night on a last second pointless 3. I failed to win my $$$$ pick by 1/2 with Hornets -5 1/2 sorry for those who tailed. But i want to bounce back with a winner tonight.
So Like GeeMAn7's pick i will also take the Raptors tonight. Don't have time for a write up. Moreover, flat out the Raptors are the real deal and i expect their bigs to control the boards and allow Lowry and Derozen to have a field day.

TOR is 4-1 in their last 5 in Boston

$$$ Toronto -1 $$$
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