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Currently Back Testing A New System

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Posted: #251
Thanks for the picks Smack...BOL today
 
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Posted: #252
I have had a few questions via PM regarding why I chose to work on a teaser system.  The bottom line is that I want a system that I can win with more often.  As I have mentioned before, I believe this system can get up in the rarefied air up near or beyond 90%.  That is unheard of in any sports wagering endeavor that I have ever heard of or known.  

Some say systems are the "lazy gambler's" approach to wagering. Anyone who has spent significant time analyzing and working on a system knows nothing could be farther from the truth.  I invest more time now than I ever did in the past on my selections.  Easily 50+ hours a week average.

Before you heard of the MS1, did you ever hear anyone talk about a teaser system that could win at 80%? It might be out there but I don't know about it.

I have also been following how the MS1 does with 4 point teasers, which you get better juice on and typically a push does not kill the teaser but just demotes it to a lower teaser.  The record on those is 36-10-3 and those 3 pushes could be counted as wins since they "save" your teaser, albeit at a lower payout level teaser.  If you count the pushes as wins, the winning percentage on those is 79.6% which is identical to the winning rate on the 7 point teaser.

You may remember that the 7 point teaser I play has a push that makes the teaser lose.

My motivation is to win more...with more games...and of course, everyone likes more action.  With a teaser, you are getting more action, watching more games.  Playing with an 80%+ expectation of winning just makes it more fun.

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Posted: #253
What are we teasing it with??
 
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Posted: #254
My teaser for the day is...

Canisus +9
La Salle +10
Boise St. +8

with my usual flat bet 2 units.

Good luck!

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Posted: #255
Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

Today we have very few plays.  Lets get to them.

MS1

Boise St. +8

SGS1

Canisus +2
Maryland +6
La Salle +3

Good Luck!


Going with:

Canisus +2
Maryland +6

BOL everyone
 
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Posted: #256
Smack..on that same teaser with ya!!!!
 
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Posted: #257
Quote Originally Posted by Enrodi:


Going with:

Canisus +2
Maryland +6

BOL everyone
 Going to have to trust me .. out of those SGS1 Picks take La Salle ... 
 
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Posted: #258
Maryland shooting 25%....Iowa shooting 60%...12 turnovers for Maryland...being out rebounded, out hustled...everything not going their way in the first half.

I'm taking Maryland -2 for the 2H for 1 unit.

Good luck!

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Posted: #259
Get em bro ... Our Explorers are off to a sorry start ,, 
 
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Posted: #260
Summary for Sunday Feb 8...bit of a mixed bag today with the SGS1 going 0-3 and the MS1 going 1-0 with the teaser selection for the day winning as well.  As I have explained many times, the SGS1 is put out for informational purposes only as it is very new. Should you decide to play it, I have recommended that you tease it for added protection.  Teasing it today would have given you a 2-1 day using anything from a 4 point teaser on up.

MS1  1-0.........Overall Record end of day 10...... 40-7-3

Boise St. +8..............outright winner by 15..............


SGS1  0-3..........Overall record end of Dy 5........17-12-1

Canisus +2................loser by 4..............................
Maryland +6...............loser by 16............................
La Salle +3.................loser by 7..............................

Teaser Selection 1-0..... +2 units

Canisus +9
LaSalle +10
Boise St. +8

One 2H personal play tonight with Maryland -2 which won +1 unit.



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Posted: #261
any pics  for tomorrow ?
 
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Posted: #262
 
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Posted: #263
Monday February the 9th...looks like only one MS1 play today...

Florida St. +17.5

I will be tweaking the SGS1 today and adding in 2 new modifiers so it will be closer to game time before those are released.  Have to go work in the real world for a bit today...lol.

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Posted: #264
Smack- I have been following your plays winning some $.  I am thankful and want you to understand not trying to hijack your thread man.  I will tell you there are certain games certain times the winner is not a question....You were on one yesterday with BSU.  Late game USC was another.  They were never gonna win the game but led at half and most of 2nd.  I posted it in my thread and knew it was a winner when I posted and almost updated my record right then...It isnt a system or anything it is simply something I have stumbled across correct 100% of the time so far this bball season.  If I have another one of these I will simply tell you what it is you can do what you want with it.  Just want to give back man.  BOL Smack....Gonna do same thing for Biggs and Ryno.  Ryno followers get a little upset with anything other than system plays though.  Would not be posting or saying this if it were not true....Nothing to gain really for me as I already know I will be putting as much as I want to win on games and not even checking score ...Just my account making sure balance is updated with $.  I cannot say how or why or answer any questions...If you dont believe me fade me...Last night was first time I posted this thing in my thread.....
 
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Posted: #265
Thanks Raider63.  Sounds like you found a diamond there!!  Love to hear it when someone finds a real gem like that.  Good luck tonight bro!


SRS1 plays are ready...disclaimer...this system is new, has not been back tested, is undergoing tweaking and modification and 1 new modifier has been introduced starting tonight.  I am putting it out here for tracking and informational purposes only.  If you play these, I HIGHLY recommend teasing them for protective purposes.

SGS1 is 17-12-1 before tonight.

St. Peters -5.5
Georgia Tech -2.5

Good luck!



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Posted: #266
Okl St 1st half +3.5  Fg +6.5

BOL
 
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Posted: #267
My teaser for the night will be a combo of the MS1 and SGS1 system plays.  It will not be counted toward the MS1 teaser record as it is not a pure MS1 play.  

Florida St. +18.5.....line went up from earlier today and I just locked
St. Peters +1.5
Georgia Tech +4.5

2 unit flat bet as per usual.

Good luck tonight gents!

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Posted: #268
 
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Posted: #269
St. Peters -5.5 in the books winner.  Hated going against Ryno as I love that system he played but like he says...its just the system...no decision to make really...you just play it.  

Liking the winner for the SGS1 here...hope we go 2-0 tonight with the new modifier.

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Posted: #270
MS1 wins its one game on the night...

Florida St. +18.5.........covers by 15...............

The Florida St. game was very close to being a SGS1 selection as well. Basically,  half a point kept it from being a selection...ugh.

Georgia Tech to go for a perfect sweep tonight!

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Posted: #271
 
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Another day in the books...Summary below...

MS1  1-0......Overall 41-7-3

Florida St. +17.5.........cover by 15............


SGS1  1-1......Overall 18-13-1

St. Peters -5.5.............cover by 2................

Georgia Tech -2.5.........loser by 3...............

Teaser selection 1-0

Florida St. +18.5
St. Peters  -5.5
Georgia Tech +4.5

Should have the selections up earlier tomorrow.  



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Posted: #273

Thanks for all your work Smack!!!

 
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Posted: #274
Hi Smack, this looks really interesting and fun. Just one question, when you have more than 3 games, say 5 games, how many combinations of teasers do you play?

Say you have Teams A, B, C, D, E

Would 2 plays look like

A, B, C
C, D, E

With C, the overlapping pick, be the most confident?
 
 
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Posted: #275
And also, I see some days you only have 1 game for the MS1 system, what do we tease it with?
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