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First Round NCAA Plays

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Posted: #26
Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

What are your thoughts on the Iona/BYU matchup?

Hey kine I know u werent asking me but I Was surprised to see byu only laying 1.5, iona wont be able to handle Davies down low. I know iona has one of the best backcourts in nation but I had byu -4. Total will prob open at 155 and go offf at 160 by tip!!

I rarely bet money lines but vandy/flor St. Ml par seems too good to be true, both should be around -250.  
 
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Posted: #27
BYU is 144th in nation in 3-point FG percentage. Iona is 16th. I know Mo Mo Jones the Arizona transfer is a good player for Iona. I like Iona but will lay off if line moves to 2.
 
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Posted: #28
Gocougs and Gimmie: funny to see two different opinions back to back so maybe this line is right.  I actually like Iona, but must admit that their lack of defense late in the season is concerning for this particular matchup.
 
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Posted: #29
i am gonna have nmsu beating indiana straight up...........this is not a good matchup for indiana at all in my opinion
 
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Posted: #30

JFen - Love the picks! Especially the MSU one.

badlands - Have followed the Aggies as well. Mckines is a beast indeed. Taking the points with NMSU. Also may consider a ML play. 

TheEDouble - Temple are a SOLID squad with great guard play. They are all long and nasty off the bounce.

 
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Posted: #31
indiansrock - Smart play. Real tough matchup wise for IU. Bol.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by GoCougs:

BYU is 144th in nation in 3-point FG percentage. Iona is 16th. I know Mo Mo Jones the Arizona transfer is a good player for Iona. I like Iona but will lay off if line moves to 2.

Jones is à stud but machado is the catalyst for that team and à possible first round pick. Byu is 144th in 3's yet still 13th in the nation in ppg, à much better rebounding team. If Glover for Iona gets in foul trouble Iona has zero depth down low and cougs will have a field day. Ill prob just lay off and bet the over at anything under 160. With Iona avg 79 possessions and byu 72.5, the over seems the play.
 
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Posted: #33
Byu sucks away from Provo.  Iona will smack them.
 
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Posted: #34
 
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Posted: #35
hey JFEN, best of luck man.  What would you take Murray St up to? I'm seeing -3.5.  Still a play?
 
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Posted: #36
West Virginia playing in their backyard against a gonzaga team far away from home, who hasn't won a tough road game all year?

 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by TurnstoneMoney:

West Virginia playing in their backyard against a gonzaga team far away from home, who hasn't won a tough road game all year?

Just to play Devil's advocate, WVU has already lost TRUE home games this year to lesser opponents in my opinion than the Zags(see: Kent St, Pitt, ND). Obviously this is not an ideal travel spot or tip off time for Gonzaga, but I don't believe it's a slam dunk like many are acting here.

GL 

 
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Posted: #38
  bol  west vir
 
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Posted: #39
KP - Sent you an email on that game.

Jellsbury- I'd leave it alone at this point. Murray State isn't built to blow teams out of the building and CSU could very well hang around if the threes are falling from the backcourt guys.


 
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Posted: #40
Current Round 1 Card

Colorado State vs. Murray State -1.5 (3 units)
Gonzaga vs. West Virginia -1 (1 unit)
Bonnies vs. Florida State -5.5 (1 unit)
New Mexico State +6 vs. Indiana (1 unit)
South Dakota State vs. Baylor Over 140.5 (1 unit)

Current Leans:
Saint Louis +4, Western Kentucky -4, Iowa State +2, Lehigh +12.5, San Diego State +2, Ohio +6

NIT/CBI/CIT thread forthcoming shortly...
 
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Posted: #41
Jfen.... love the Lehigh lean.  I think Lehigh's team is athletic enough this year to hang with Duke.  MCcollum will get his points regardless who defends him.  He is that good!  I will be taking a boatload of points with a good defensive team playing a team that quite frankly doesnt defend all that well.  Lehigh +12.5
 
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Posted: #42
JFen,

Got a link to your best bracket?

Thanks!
 
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Posted: #43
^ what he said!!!?
 
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Posted: #44

Quote Originally Posted by jellsbury:

hey JFEN, best of luck man.  What would you take Murray St up to? I'm seeing -3.5.  Still a play?

I took the ML -180

 
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Posted: #45

Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

What are your thoughts on the Iona/BYU matchup?

 I`m leaning towards on da Total Under 162.. Iona avgs 83.3 PPG (best in CBB) and Byu avg 78.2 PPG (13th in CBB). IMO if BYU has a chance to win this game is to take Iona outta their style of game, even tho da Cougars like to play a fast pace game, i don`t think they can keep up with Iona,...Byu should play a slow/half court game. Use up all the clock and take a "high" % shot every possesion possible...Even with that said i still will lean on IONA +2,,, Heres a few "key stats that i look at:

*Last 5 | In-Depth
FG% IONA
BYU		 85.4
70.4		 56.8
44.6		 45.1
26.7		 67.3
65.4		 25.6
31.2
Def Aga FG% 3P% FT% Reb
IONA
BYU		 73.0
70.4		 48.9
45.3		 35.2
34.1		 69.5
70.5		 28.8
31.6

IONA
BYU
*ATS | In-Depth
Away
13-15-2
14-15-0		 2-8-1
7-5-0		 11-7-1
7-10-0
IONA
BYU

 

*Over/Under | In-Depth

Away
17-13-0
11-18-0		 7-4-0
7-5-0		 10-9-0
4-13-0

 

Plus BYU is playing kinda off form last 1-5 last 6 games ATS vs non-conf teams.

Both teams havent played in about 10-11 days, So expect both teams to be kinda rusty. i`m also looking at a 1st half play on the UNDER 76 and IONA +1  

BOL to every1

 
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Posted: #46

Quote Originally Posted by KineProfessor:

What are your thoughts on the Iona/BYU matchup?

 I`m leaning towards on da Total Under 162.. Iona avgs 83.3 PPG (best in CBB) and Byu avg 78.2 PPG (13th in CBB). IMO if BYU has a chance to win this game is to take Iona outta their style of game, even tho da Cougars like to play a fast pace game, i don`t think they can keep up with Iona,...Byu should play a slow/half court game. Use up all the clock and take a "high" % shot every possesion possible...Even with that said i still will lean on IONA +2,,, Heres a few "key stats that i look at:

*Last 5 | In-Depth
FG% IONA
BYU		 85.4
70.4		 56.8
44.6		 45.1
26.7		 67.3
65.4		 25.6
31.2
Def Aga FG% 3P% FT% Reb
IONA
BYU		 73.0
70.4		 48.9
45.3		 35.2
34.1		 69.5
70.5		 28.8
31.6

IONA
BYU
*ATS | In-Depth
Away
13-15-2
14-15-0		 2-8-1
7-5-0		 11-7-1
7-10-0
IONA
BYU

 

*Over/Under | In-Depth

Away
17-13-0
11-18-0		 7-4-0
7-5-0		 10-9-0
4-13-0

 

Plus BYU is playing kinda off form last 1-5 last 6 games ATS vs non-conf teams.

Both teams havent played in about 10-11 days, So expect both teams to be kinda rusty. i`m also looking at a 1st half play on the UNDER 76 and IONA +1  

BOL to every1

 
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Posted: #47
Quote Originally Posted by LiL_River333:

 I`m leaning towards on da Total Under 162.. Iona avgs 83.3 PPG (best in CBB) and Byu avg 78.2 PPG (13th in CBB). IMO if BYU has a chance to win this game is to take Iona outta their style of game, even tho da Cougars like to play a fast pace game, i don`t think they can keep up with Iona,...Byu should play a slow/half court game. Use up all the clock and take a "high" % shot every possesion possible...Even with that said i still will lean on IONA +2,,, Heres a few "key stats that i look at:

*Last 5 | In-Depth
FG% IONA
BYU		 85.4
70.4		 56.8
44.6		 45.1
26.7		 67.3
65.4		 25.6
31.2
Def Aga FG% 3P% FT% Reb
IONA
BYU		 73.0
70.4		 48.9
45.3		 35.2
34.1		 69.5
70.5		 28.8
31.6

IONA
BYU
*ATS | In-Depth
Away
13-15-2
14-15-0		 2-8-1
7-5-0		 11-7-1
7-10-0
IONA
BYU

 

*Over/Under | In-Depth

Away
17-13-0
11-18-0		 7-4-0
7-5-0		 10-9-0
4-13-0

 

Plus BYU is playing kinda off form last 1-5 last 6 games ATS vs non-conf teams.

Both teams havent played in about 10-11 days, So expect both teams to be kinda rusty. i`m also looking at a 1st half play on the UNDER 76 and IONA +1  

BOL to every1

Sorry about the double post, and please ignore post # 47,  I messed up that post...

 
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Posted: #48

Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:

Futures Bets (From January 18 and February 27)

(+3200) Michigan State (0.4 units)
(+5000) UNLV (0.4 units)
(+22500) Temple (0.4 units)
(+9500) Vanderbilt (0.2 units)
(+17000) Harvard (0.2 units)
(+22500) New Mexico (0.2 units)
(+22500) Long Beach (0.2 units)
(+22500) California (0.2 units)

Nice to see four of my VERY longshots get matched up with each other in the first round. Guaranteed to have two of Vandy/Harvard/Beach/New Mexico in the second round. Keep in mind, especially with the lower ones, I'm just trying to create hedge spots for the Sweet 16.

right on JFEN31. Gotta like Mich St .. Vandy .. UNLV .

I made 1 future bet on 11/22/2011 on G-Town at 50-1.   to you JFEN31 

 
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Posted: #49
JFen, I remember you saying that Michigan State was probably going to be your pick to win it all, depending on matchups. Do you still like them with their tough bracket?

Would love to hear your thoughts about matchups and who you think might have easier roads than others...
 
 
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Posted: #50
Not sure I can link my bracket as requested by a few people. I'll just write it out here.

Round 2 "Upsets"
New Mexico State
Xavier
Saint Louis
Virginia
West Virginia
Alabama
Ohio

Sweet 16
Kentucky
Wichita State
Baylor
Duke
Michigan State
New Mexico
Murray State
Missouri
Syracuse
Vanderbilt
Cincinnati
West Virginia
North Carolina
Ohio
Georgetown
Kansas

Elite 8
Wichita State
Baylor
Michigan State
Missouri
Vanderbilt
West Virginia
North Carolina
Kansas

Final 4
Michigan State over Wichita State
Kansas over Vanderbilt

Michigan State over Kansas




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