***GWarner27's 11/30 NCAAB Picks (22-14 61.1% YTD)***

Question

&#x2B;6.73Dogs 7-4 &#x2B;2.73Faves 15-8 &#x2B;6.20Over 0-0 &#x2B;0.00Under 0-0 &#x2B;0.001st Half 0-1 -1.10Halftimes 0-1 -1.10Buybacks: 0-0 &#x2B;0.00Posted records:2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979&#xD;&#xA;2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141&#xD;&#xA;2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657&#xD;&#xA;2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) &#x2B;1.2942010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) &#x2B;31.085November 22-14 &#x2B;6.73December 0-0 &#x2B;0.00January 0-0 &#x2B;0.00February 0-0 &#x2B;0.00March 0-0 &#x2B;0.00April 0-0 &#x2B;0.00Notes:-Michigan did a lot of what I expected, even had three separate 5-point leads, but couldn&#x27;t defend Mike Scott when Smotrych picked up his 4th foul. A 15-0 run ensued and that was all she wrote-Tried to get frisky with Duke 2H and lost. Coach K sent a message by playing the end of his bench for the majority of his minutes, wonder how long Rivers will stay out of the doghouse because he flat out sucks

GWarner27 · Answer

&#x2B;6.73Dogs 7-4 &#x2B;2.73Faves 15-8 &#x2B;6.20Over 0-0 &#x2B;0.00Under 0-0 &#x2B;0.001st Half 0-1 -1.10Halftimes 0-1 -1.10Buybacks: 0-0 &#x2B;0.00Posted records:2006-07: 68-70 (49.3%) -1.979&#xD;&#xA;2007-08: 153-142-4 (51.9%) -4.141&#xD;&#xA;2008-09: 144-142-2 (50.3%) -7.657&#xD;&#xA;2009-10: 141-136-4 (50.9%) &#x2B;1.2942010-11: 114-79-4 (59.1%) &#x2B;31.085November 22-14 &#x2B;6.73December 0-0 &#x2B;0.00January 0-0 &#x2B;0.00February 0-0 &#x2B;0.00March 0-0 &#x2B;0.00April 0-0 &#x2B;0.00Notes:-Michigan did a lot of what I expected, even had three separate 5-point leads, but couldn&#x27;t defend Mike Scott when Smotrych picked up his 4th foul. A 15-0 run ensued and that was all she wrote-Tried to get frisky with Duke 2H and lost. Coach K sent a message by playing the end of his bench for the majority of his minutes, wonder how long Rivers will stay out of the doghouse because he flat out sucks

GWarner27 · Answer

Dog wins SU: 1Losses by &lt;1: 3from yesterday&#x27;s thread...locked in at the open:Indiana &#x2B;1 (-110) @ NC State-Indiana was on my sleeper list and I&#x27;m starting to think their value is almost gone so we might as well buy them before it is. Even with Mo Creek out for the season, they have legitimate scoring threats in their backcourt and on the wing while the newest Zeller brother is wreakin&#x27; havoc on the interior. NCSU has a decent post in C.J. Leslie and a great 3pt shooter in Scott Wood, but both have missed time and I&#x27;m unsure about their supporting cast as well as their coach&#x27;s abilities. IU is a far better team and I think they will prevail in Raleigh.Wednesday guesses:Marshall 7-8DAY 8-9Pitt 11-12St. Joe 4-5BC 0-1IND 5-6TOL 4-5LaS 4-5Sparty 0-1URI 5-6KU 20-21COL 1-2Iowa St 4-5Ok St 6-7USU 12-13Drake 2-3NEB 11-13MINN 2-3UNC 9-10USCw 5-6SDSU 0-1GONZ 8-9Elon 4-5leans (4-2 yesterday):FSU &#x2B;5.5Drake &#x2B;5.5Riverside &#x2B;4UCSB &#x2B;4Creighton &#x2B;2.5

tmpeus78 · Answer

Indiana is -1 not &#x2B;1

GWarner27 · Answer

It shouldn&#x27;t make a difference, but I got it at the open. Posted it in yesterday&#x27;s thread, too

Bighurt · Answer

really think fsu straight up beats msu tomorrow......i know fsu shot it pretty bad in the tourney they were in but msu isnt the same team they were and fsu defense has looked real strong they just have to make some shots

FlipsideRM · Answer

What do you think about VT?

GWarner27 · Answer

Hard to know Minnesota&#x27;s mental state right now after the loss of Trevor Mbakwe to the torn ACL. Mbakwe was a great player in a deep frontline, but now they won&#x27;t be as big of an advantage and I think it exposes the backcourt weakness even more.VT on the other hand is on the road in a tough place to play getting less than a possession. Not enough points to me because they have struggled to score this year (and they can&#x27;t hit FT at the end of the game to cost me a bet by a 1/2 point). Their defense is good and I would imagine the loss of Mbakwe&#x27;s athleticism would slow the pace so if anything I&#x27;d lean under Bighurt-- Completely agree, see belowupdated leans:UNI &#x2B;6UCSB &#x2B;3.5UCR &#x2B;4.5Drake &#x2B;5.5addFlorida State &#x2B;6 (-107) @ Michigan State-Noles with the trees and they play great defense, while Sparty relies on rebounding and they are at a huge height disadvantage so I don&#x27;t think that will come easy. FSU has plenty of problems scoring, but they have the length to bother the Spartan guards and try to keep Wood quiet from the perimeter while Appling will have trouble getting into the lane. Don&#x27;t think MSU should be favored on a neutral here, nevermind by two or three points as demonstrated by this line, so I will trust Leonard Hamilton to take this to the wire on the road.

feedmecappers1 · Answer

G

aggieaccountant · Answer

I am on Indiana myself, but unfortunately I got them at -1.  I say unfortunate, because I would have liked to have gotten the ML.  Which brings me to my question.  Why did you not take the ML here given that you think they are going to win?  I imagine it would have been somewhere around &#x2B;100 to -103 so it seems like there would be a bit of value there.  Regardless, great start to the season.

Lar1212 · Answer

Hoosier daddy!

GWarner27 · Answer

don&#x27;t have ML options at the open, figured it would move and laying -110 on &#x2B;1 is better than -110 on pk or -1 so I didn&#x27;t wait.In general and with all the options I would have gone ML to save the juice, but I guess I have a really small chance at a push Lar, feedme

TBallgame · Answer

The GG DO NOT have a "deep front line". Sampson is a box and way too soft, Wms is talented but has shown little or no desire to maximize those gifts. there has been no indication that anyyone but Trevor could take over in the crunch. I will give you that the "Barn" is tough. BOL, I'm on VT +3.

ochurricane · Answer

Gwarner, I just locked in 2 team 6 pt tease, UNC -1.5 and Pitt -1 pretty hard. Thoughts? Thanks for the work and help!

illini17 · Answer

Agreed. Mbakwe was the front line. Sampson is black Mike Tisdale and Eliason is not very strong himself. Rodney Williams likes to be too much of a slasher to consider him a post player. That being said, I have no idea what the right side is because VT has been bipolar themselves.  Love Green running the point but Hudson has been taking some bad shots/making bad decisions this year.

GWarner27 · Answer

Can&#x27;t blame you for the UNC play, they should be very motivated to blow Wisconsin out and they certainly have the horses to do it. Pitt is a weird team to me right now because I was low on them pre-season and they&#x27;ve underperformed even my expectations to date TBall-- can&#x27;t blame you for that, no Iverson will make it tough to survive the Mbakwe loss Can people start betting UCSB again puhhhhleeeeease

GWarner27 · Answer

Oops, meant people please bet UNLV...leans:Riverside &#x2B;3 (wow someone absolutely murdered the line a few seconds ago)UNI &#x2B;5.5addDrake &#x2B;5 (-105) @ Boise State-Boise is in a rebuilding year after losing a bunch of players and have played a really soft schedule so far playing three awful teams, an exhibition and a solid team in LBSU. The Broncos have been forcing a lot of turnovers this year and Drake will probably give them quite a few tonight, but the Bulldogs defend the 3pt line extremely well and that&#x27;s where Boise has had the most success this season. Drake has a lot of height, plus they have focused a bunch on their defense and rebounding including an off-season trip to Australia to get better and gel as a group. I don&#x27;t think the Broncos are good enough to be favored on a neutral court and Drake has played a much tougher schedule seeing Virginia and Ole Miss on a neutral after beating Iowa State at home.

tmpeus78 · Answer

bol today GW on the Loosiers tonight also.

BMadoff1987 · Answer

FSU up to &#x2B;7.5 ?

HawaiianBear · Answer

GW - good job on the picks this season.  Was checking out FSU and its now &#x2B;7.5.  Anything new that supports the big line move?  Mahalos.&#xD;&#xA;HB

nwolfe · Answer

GW.. I was under the belief the game was at Breslin.  Am I wrong is it being played at the Palace?

TRoe15 · Answer

It is being played at Breslin. What he is saying in his writeup is that the line implies that MSU would be favored by 2 or 3 on a neutral floor, which he doesn&#x27;t think should be the case.

GWarner27 · Answer

yeah, what Tony said was right. I would still consider the Palace a "home court" for the Spartans, my point was that HCA is probably 3 or 4 points and that would mean my line at 6 would say MSU is 3 or 2 points better if they played this game in Anaheim and I don&#x27;t believe that.Madoff, Bear-- I think seeing the 6 this morning while the other books had 5.5 was big because I was getting a full two possessions. I didn&#x27;t want to lose it so I locked it in, especially because BM hadn&#x27;t moved off of 5.5 from the open and I figured if anything it would drop. I would play it now at the better number

Throbbingristle · Answer

BOL tonite GW

***GWarner27's 11/30 NCAAB Picks (22-14 61.1% YTD)***

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