Other people are liking this play and so am I. It has to be be the fact that the Lakers are at home because this spread has caught the eye of a lot of us. The Grizzlies have been catching some heat as of late but it doesn't seem like they're getting any respect tonight. The Grizz are only 2.5 games back from the Clippers so they're right there in the playoff race. And with a recent record of 12-1 vs 500 and under teams, its obvious they are trying to pick up easier games when they can. So i know they wont take this game lightly tonight. They played the Lakers the other night and won by 9 points but the Lakers were shooting well, making 17 threes. Trust me they don't do that very often. I see the Grizzlies scoring a lot of points again tonight, and the Lakers not making nearly as many threes. Grizzlies get a comfortable win.
0
Play of the Day $$$$
Memphis Grizzlies -4.5 vs LA Lakers
Other people are liking this play and so am I. It has to be be the fact that the Lakers are at home because this spread has caught the eye of a lot of us. The Grizzlies have been catching some heat as of late but it doesn't seem like they're getting any respect tonight. The Grizz are only 2.5 games back from the Clippers so they're right there in the playoff race. And with a recent record of 12-1 vs 500 and under teams, its obvious they are trying to pick up easier games when they can. So i know they wont take this game lightly tonight. They played the Lakers the other night and won by 9 points but the Lakers were shooting well, making 17 threes. Trust me they don't do that very often. I see the Grizzlies scoring a lot of points again tonight, and the Lakers not making nearly as many threes. Grizzlies get a comfortable win.
Yeah Holmey, I was around in the early days. I remember we made a killing betting on the world cup in 2010.
I was around from 2008 till they shut the threads down. I miss those days, but I sure don't miss the haters.. Looks like none of that is going on here, which is awesome. Making $$ and staying positive. Recipe for success.
Cool! I think the mods here on Covers actually have some teeth. You could get away with anything on CBS and it would take them days or weeks to do any thing about it.
Glad you're back on board!
0
Quote Originally Posted by JISLAND619:
Yeah Holmey, I was around in the early days. I remember we made a killing betting on the world cup in 2010.
I was around from 2008 till they shut the threads down. I miss those days, but I sure don't miss the haters.. Looks like none of that is going on here, which is awesome. Making $$ and staying positive. Recipe for success.
Cool! I think the mods here on Covers actually have some teeth. You could get away with anything on CBS and it would take them days or weeks to do any thing about it.
I know that you want to shut down this thread after the first week of March Madness, but I wonder if you'd care to continue this thread until the conclusion of March Madness without bothering with tracking the plays?
Just post up a new thread each day and let us figure out who's winning and who is not, perhaps?
This thread is too valuable to have it disappear right at a time when we'd need it the most, IMO.
0
Holmey~
I know that you want to shut down this thread after the first week of March Madness, but I wonder if you'd care to continue this thread until the conclusion of March Madness without bothering with tracking the plays?
Just post up a new thread each day and let us figure out who's winning and who is not, perhaps?
This thread is too valuable to have it disappear right at a time when we'd need it the most, IMO.
I know that you want to shut down this thread after the first week of March Madness, but I wonder if you'd care to continue this thread until the conclusion of March Madness without bothering with tracking the plays?
Just post up a new thread each day and let us figure out who's winning and who is not, perhaps?
This thread is too valuable to have it disappear right at a time when we'd need it the most, IMO.
We can have a march madness contest too. If you can't find the $$$$ play in march madness, you still have nba, nhl, golf ect ect that brings all the talents from each arenas here.
usc do not have to run it if it is too much work for dude. Other people can help out too. I came here from straightwager's nba thread. I was late in the nba challange so I'll contest my nba stuff here too where it is allowable.
Anything to help people tailing for money is the goal.
X_____________________________
0
Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:
Holmey~
I know that you want to shut down this thread after the first week of March Madness, but I wonder if you'd care to continue this thread until the conclusion of March Madness without bothering with tracking the plays?
Just post up a new thread each day and let us figure out who's winning and who is not, perhaps?
This thread is too valuable to have it disappear right at a time when we'd need it the most, IMO.
We can have a march madness contest too. If you can't find the $$$$ play in march madness, you still have nba, nhl, golf ect ect that brings all the talents from each arenas here.
usc do not have to run it if it is too much work for dude. Other people can help out too. I came here from straightwager's nba thread. I was late in the nba challange so I'll contest my nba stuff here too where it is allowable.
Anything to help people tailing for money is the goal.
I was thinking the same thing. The tracking is nice but the information is more important. I would like to see the $$$ thread continue through the whole tournament.
Thanks USC for resurrecting this idea.
0
Mozart,
I was thinking the same thing. The tracking is nice but the information is more important. I would like to see the $$$ thread continue through the whole tournament.
Great post guys. One of the best on Covers. I'm from the other side of the world and I dont have enough time nor knowlege in NCAAB, so this saves me a lot of time when the best are gathered in one post... Just keep a good work.
0
Great post guys. One of the best on Covers. I'm from the other side of the world and I dont have enough time nor knowlege in NCAAB, so this saves me a lot of time when the best are gathered in one post... Just keep a good work.
I'm at my desk now so I will share some trends from my picks.
Play memphis
The MemphisGrizzlies are:
4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
8-1 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
7-2 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
=================================================
Play clips
The Los AngelesClippers are:
6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.
10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
The SacramentoKings are:
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
============================================
Take Penny
Cornell are:
4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games.
3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
Pennsy are:
8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Like always. Trend is not the absolute truth but if you can ride the right trend, you can win with such trend. Trend advantage is better than no trend or worse yet, if you are fading or ride a broken trend but if you fade a trend, you are more likely to lose in the long run like if it says 8-3, I'll take 8 wins and you can take 3 loses so is trend a winner?
However, you can not beat luck either. If all the figure shows that you are on the right team but a meltdown at the last few drop for your lost, don't feel bad either. If given the same situation, I would take the same team again because I am betting whatever angle it is that makes me feel confident about my play.
Best of skills to our plays.
X_____________________________
0
8-6 $$$$ 6-2 NBA 6-2 no$$$$
I'm at my desk now so I will share some trends from my picks.
Play memphis
The MemphisGrizzlies are:
4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
8-1 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
7-2 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
=================================================
Play clips
The Los AngelesClippers are:
6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.
10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
The SacramentoKings are:
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
============================================
Take Penny
Cornell are:
4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games.
3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
Pennsy are:
8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Like always. Trend is not the absolute truth but if you can ride the right trend, you can win with such trend. Trend advantage is better than no trend or worse yet, if you are fading or ride a broken trend but if you fade a trend, you are more likely to lose in the long run like if it says 8-3, I'll take 8 wins and you can take 3 loses so is trend a winner?
However, you can not beat luck either. If all the figure shows that you are on the right team but a meltdown at the last few drop for your lost, don't feel bad either. If given the same situation, I would take the same team again because I am betting whatever angle it is that makes me feel confident about my play.
I know that you want to shut down this thread after the first week of March Madness, but I wonder if you'd care to continue this thread until the conclusion of March Madness without bothering with tracking the plays?
Just post up a new thread each day and let us figure out who's winning and who is not, perhaps?
This thread is too valuable to have it disappear right at a time when we'd need it the most, IMO.
OK guys. We'll see. Anyone here is more than welcome to continue it. We'll see how it goes. If its easier for me to post a thread each day, maybe I will do that.
But, let me just tell you the "Shut down after first weekend of NCAA Tourney" plan is not random. It is based in results. The first 3 years, we left it open all the way through the Tourney and in none of those years were the LOCKS anywhere near .500. I believe the best year had the number at like 45% and one year was in the 30's! I think it was 38%.
Part of it was that people were so obsessed with jumping on board the screaming train and were posting things they thought they 'knew' about two teams playing each other from totally different conferences who never play each other. Much of the success of this concept is to absorb EVERYTHING about a certain area or league or whatever and use that knowledge for your $$$$'s. The truth is that while you may know a lot about one team in a NCAA Tourney matchup, you most-likely know nothing about the other team, not do you know anything about their league, they have no common opponents, and their strategies could be totally different in a one and done situation.
I will shut down what I do here, as well as I shut down my accounts, after week 1 of the Tourney, but everyone here is more than welcome to carry on as long as they want. I bet to win money, and part of my 'Win Money Formula' is to shut down after that weekend. That is just MY plan. I do not bet sports for action, I bet to make money, and withdraw money.
We can figure it out more as it gets closer. Thanks guys.
0
Quote Originally Posted by Mozart:
Holmey~
I know that you want to shut down this thread after the first week of March Madness, but I wonder if you'd care to continue this thread until the conclusion of March Madness without bothering with tracking the plays?
Just post up a new thread each day and let us figure out who's winning and who is not, perhaps?
This thread is too valuable to have it disappear right at a time when we'd need it the most, IMO.
OK guys. We'll see. Anyone here is more than welcome to continue it. We'll see how it goes. If its easier for me to post a thread each day, maybe I will do that.
But, let me just tell you the "Shut down after first weekend of NCAA Tourney" plan is not random. It is based in results. The first 3 years, we left it open all the way through the Tourney and in none of those years were the LOCKS anywhere near .500. I believe the best year had the number at like 45% and one year was in the 30's! I think it was 38%.
Part of it was that people were so obsessed with jumping on board the screaming train and were posting things they thought they 'knew' about two teams playing each other from totally different conferences who never play each other. Much of the success of this concept is to absorb EVERYTHING about a certain area or league or whatever and use that knowledge for your $$$$'s. The truth is that while you may know a lot about one team in a NCAA Tourney matchup, you most-likely know nothing about the other team, not do you know anything about their league, they have no common opponents, and their strategies could be totally different in a one and done situation.
I will shut down what I do here, as well as I shut down my accounts, after week 1 of the Tourney, but everyone here is more than welcome to carry on as long as they want. I bet to win money, and part of my 'Win Money Formula' is to shut down after that weekend. That is just MY plan. I do not bet sports for action, I bet to make money, and withdraw money.
We can figure it out more as it gets closer. Thanks guys.
Sorry I did not get back to you with input on the golf parlay. The pair you wanted already had teed off when I read it. I actually wagered the following:
Dufner +125 over Matsuyama (1-1.25) wager refunded, Hideki wd Lefty E over Scott (1-1) horrible pick Koepka -175 over Els 1.75-1) very steep odds but really liked BK
Looks like a break even.
@Bubbaski - should have read your take on the Lefty v Scott. Oh well.
No money plays for me tonight,already used up 3 and am already looking over Saturday's card.
As always, GLTA tonight.
0
Whitey,
Sorry I did not get back to you with input on the golf parlay. The pair you wanted already had teed off when I read it. I actually wagered the following:
Dufner +125 over Matsuyama (1-1.25) wager refunded, Hideki wd Lefty E over Scott (1-1) horrible pick Koepka -175 over Els 1.75-1) very steep odds but really liked BK
Looks like a break even.
@Bubbaski - should have read your take on the Lefty v Scott. Oh well.
No money plays for me tonight,already used up 3 and am already looking over Saturday's card.
Besides their last game against the clips, both denver and clips only put up 80ish points. However, before that game, denver has 7 straight games putting up 100+ points.
Dallas has 5 straight games now putting up 100+ points. Dallas last 8 games, they are 7 over and 1 under with 6 recent all went over.
As long as both teams making their 100+ points per game, I think the over should hit. If one team goes 110+, it will be an added bonus to help out the other team to hit their 100.
TheDenver Nuggets are:
Over is 11-4-1 in last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in last 7 vs. Western Conference.
Over is 13-6-1 in last 20 overall.
TheDallas Mavericks are:
Over is 6-0 in last 6 overall.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 home games.
Over is 4-0 in last 4 vs. Western Conference.
Give me over 209.5 in this game right here.
X_____________________________
0
My 4th and final pick for today goes to the nba
This is what I am seeing.
Besides their last game against the clips, both denver and clips only put up 80ish points. However, before that game, denver has 7 straight games putting up 100+ points.
Dallas has 5 straight games now putting up 100+ points. Dallas last 8 games, they are 7 over and 1 under with 6 recent all went over.
As long as both teams making their 100+ points per game, I think the over should hit. If one team goes 110+, it will be an added bonus to help out the other team to hit their 100.
TheDenver Nuggets are:
Over is 11-4-1 in last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
Taken from February 25th article in the Columbia campus newspaper (Columbia Daily Spectator) :
"The one benefit for the Lions is that they’re finally getting over the flu, which hampered senior guards Isaac Cohen and Grant Mullins a week ago. Smith reported that both players are getting healthier, though Mullins missed practice on Monday as a precautionary measure.
As of Tuesday, only first-year forward Lukas Meisner was still battling the illness, but Smith explained that he is in recovery. "
Not saying that you are wrong about the flu angle...Just found this and thought I would share it...
0
Quote Originally Posted by Sticks83:
Taken from February 25th article in the Columbia campus newspaper (Columbia Daily Spectator) :
"The one benefit for the Lions is that they’re finally getting over the flu, which hampered senior guards Isaac Cohen and Grant Mullins a week ago. Smith reported that both players are getting healthier, though Mullins missed practice on Monday as a precautionary measure.
As of Tuesday, only first-year forward Lukas Meisner was still battling the illness, but Smith explained that he is in recovery. "
Not saying that you are wrong about the flu angle...Just found this and thought I would share it...
OK guys. We'll see. Anyone here is more than welcome to continue it. We'll see how it goes. If its easier for me to post a thread each day, maybe I will do that.
But, let me just tell you the "Shut down after first weekend of NCAA Tourney" plan is not random. It is based in results. The first 3 years, we left it open all the way through the Tourney and in none of those years were the LOCKS anywhere near .500. I believe the best year had the number at like 45% and one year was in the 30's! I think it was 38%.
Part of it was that people were so obsessed with jumping on board the screaming train and were posting things they thought they 'knew' about two teams playing each other from totally different conferences who never play each other. Much of the success of this concept is to absorb EVERYTHING about a certain area or league or whatever and use that knowledge for your $$$$'s. The truth is that while you may know a lot about one team in a NCAA Tourney matchup, you most-likely know nothing about the other team, not do you know anything about their league, they have no common opponents, and their strategies could be totally different in a one and done situation.
I will shut down what I do here, as well as I shut down my accounts, after week 1 of the Tourney, but everyone here is more than welcome to carry on as long as they want. I bet to win money, and part of my 'Win Money Formula' is to shut down after that weekend. That is just MY plan. I do not bet sports for action, I bet to make money, and withdraw money.
We can figure it out more as it gets closer. Thanks guys.
This makes you not a gambler but a very wise business man. Totally understand where you are coming from.
However, we are always fishing for that one special olympic and gifted person who can pick the ncaab tourney at a high caliber rate so that we all can tail to make more money.
Cross conference is hard and that is where the challenge is. No home field advantage. ATS here does not matter so we have to come up with a deeper inlook to find that nut to pick a winner.
Players match up and what not. What is more important is to read other people's capping abilities. Lots of knowledge to learn and thus is fun to do so.
X_____________________________
0
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:
OK guys. We'll see. Anyone here is more than welcome to continue it. We'll see how it goes. If its easier for me to post a thread each day, maybe I will do that.
But, let me just tell you the "Shut down after first weekend of NCAA Tourney" plan is not random. It is based in results. The first 3 years, we left it open all the way through the Tourney and in none of those years were the LOCKS anywhere near .500. I believe the best year had the number at like 45% and one year was in the 30's! I think it was 38%.
Part of it was that people were so obsessed with jumping on board the screaming train and were posting things they thought they 'knew' about two teams playing each other from totally different conferences who never play each other. Much of the success of this concept is to absorb EVERYTHING about a certain area or league or whatever and use that knowledge for your $$$$'s. The truth is that while you may know a lot about one team in a NCAA Tourney matchup, you most-likely know nothing about the other team, not do you know anything about their league, they have no common opponents, and their strategies could be totally different in a one and done situation.
I will shut down what I do here, as well as I shut down my accounts, after week 1 of the Tourney, but everyone here is more than welcome to carry on as long as they want. I bet to win money, and part of my 'Win Money Formula' is to shut down after that weekend. That is just MY plan. I do not bet sports for action, I bet to make money, and withdraw money.
We can figure it out more as it gets closer. Thanks guys.
This makes you not a gambler but a very wise business man. Totally understand where you are coming from.
However, we are always fishing for that one special olympic and gifted person who can pick the ncaab tourney at a high caliber rate so that we all can tail to make more money.
Cross conference is hard and that is where the challenge is. No home field advantage. ATS here does not matter so we have to come up with a deeper inlook to find that nut to pick a winner.
Players match up and what not. What is more important is to read other people's capping abilities. Lots of knowledge to learn and thus is fun to do so.
I'm at my desk now so I will share some trends from my picks.
Play memphis
The MemphisGrizzlies are:
4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
8-1 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
7-2 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
=================================================
Play clips
The Los AngelesClippers are:
6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.
10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
The SacramentoKings are:
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
============================================
Take Penny
Cornell are:
4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games.
3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
Pennsy are:
8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Like always. Trend is not the absolute truth but if you can ride the right trend, you can win with such trend. Trend advantage is better than no trend or worse yet, if you are fading or ride a broken trend but if you fade a trend, you are more likely to lose in the long run like if it says 8-3, I'll take 8 wins and you can take 3 loses so is trend a winner?
However, you can not beat luck either. If all the figure shows that you are on the right team but a meltdown at the last few drop for your lost, don't feel bad either. If given the same situation, I would take the same team again because I am betting whatever angle it is that makes me feel confident about my play.
Best of skills to our plays.
Hey NFL, did you make these picks just on trends?
0
Quote Originally Posted by nfl_brosuf:
8-6 $$$$ 6-2 NBA 6-2 no$$$$
I'm at my desk now so I will share some trends from my picks.
Play memphis
The MemphisGrizzlies are:
4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
8-1 ATS in their last 9 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
7-2 ATS in their last 9 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
=================================================
Play clips
The Los AngelesClippers are:
6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
12-3-2 ATS in their last 17 games following a ATS loss.
11-4 ATS in their last 15 games playing on 1 days rest.
10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
The SacramentoKings are:
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
============================================
Take Penny
Cornell are:
4-10-1 ATS in their last 15 road games.
3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games following three or more consecutive home games.
1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
Pennsy are:
8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
5-2 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Like always. Trend is not the absolute truth but if you can ride the right trend, you can win with such trend. Trend advantage is better than no trend or worse yet, if you are fading or ride a broken trend but if you fade a trend, you are more likely to lose in the long run like if it says 8-3, I'll take 8 wins and you can take 3 loses so is trend a winner?
However, you can not beat luck either. If all the figure shows that you are on the right team but a meltdown at the last few drop for your lost, don't feel bad either. If given the same situation, I would take the same team again because I am betting whatever angle it is that makes me feel confident about my play.
All true, brosuf. Everyone does their own thing and just allowing them to do it without letting it bother you is the path to happiness. Y'all can continue on however you guys want. I wish everyone luck.
I also wanted to point out that the numbers are not that good during the first two rounds of the NCAA Tourney either. They were very close to 50% over all those years. The one thing that did seem to happen is what we would call the "Elite Eight" guys on the $$$$ Standings, their results fall that first week also, which is pretty damaging to the success of the board since those are the guys that people blindly tail.
These are all just stats from the past. None of it is not supported by data. Anything can happen and trends can be broken, but its 10 years of numbers and they are pretty consistent.
0
All true, brosuf. Everyone does their own thing and just allowing them to do it without letting it bother you is the path to happiness. Y'all can continue on however you guys want. I wish everyone luck.
I also wanted to point out that the numbers are not that good during the first two rounds of the NCAA Tourney either. They were very close to 50% over all those years. The one thing that did seem to happen is what we would call the "Elite Eight" guys on the $$$$ Standings, their results fall that first week also, which is pretty damaging to the success of the board since those are the guys that people blindly tail.
These are all just stats from the past. None of it is not supported by data. Anything can happen and trends can be broken, but its 10 years of numbers and they are pretty consistent.
I am basing it on all the angles that I have like.
- No playing ranked team against no rank. The upset factor - No playing away teams. Home crowd is the 6th man factor - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent - No Reverse Line Movement factor - No playing if line is more than 10. The OT can't cover factor
Although I can bypass the away team fav factor if the trend is good enough to bypass it.
Line movement is also important to me. I stay away from fishy lines plus I like to look at recent record and trends. If a team is steaming, I am steaming with them for money.
So basically, I set my parameter to scare me from a trap game, a fishy line. I talk myself out of a play first and if there is one thing that doesn't align, I don't play such game. Leave feelings out of capping games is how I like to do it. Learn from mistake to help shrink down the lost percentage.
Plus, I like to ride with the public because the public is right sometimes too. I'm just more picky now to what the public picks. I'm still a square head myself.
X_____________________________
0
Quote Originally Posted by Oohnana24:
Hey NFL, did you make these picks just on trends?
I am basing it on all the angles that I have like.
- No playing ranked team against no rank. The upset factor - No playing away teams. Home crowd is the 6th man factor - No playing if their ATS record is poorer than opponent - No Reverse Line Movement factor - No playing if line is more than 10. The OT can't cover factor
Although I can bypass the away team fav factor if the trend is good enough to bypass it.
Line movement is also important to me. I stay away from fishy lines plus I like to look at recent record and trends. If a team is steaming, I am steaming with them for money.
So basically, I set my parameter to scare me from a trap game, a fishy line. I talk myself out of a play first and if there is one thing that doesn't align, I don't play such game. Leave feelings out of capping games is how I like to do it. Learn from mistake to help shrink down the lost percentage.
Plus, I like to ride with the public because the public is right sometimes too. I'm just more picky now to what the public picks. I'm still a square head myself.
All true, brosuf. Everyone does their own thing and just allowing them to do it without letting it bother you is the path to happiness. Y'all can continue on however you guys want. I wish everyone luck.
I also wanted to point out that the numbers are not that good during the first two rounds of the NCAA Tourney either. They were very close to 50% over all those years. The one thing that did seem to happen is what we would call the "Elite Eight" guys on the $$$$ Standings, their results fall that first week also, which is pretty damaging to the success of the board since those are the guys that people blindly tail.
These are all just stats from the past. None of it is not supported by data. Anything can happen and trends can be broken, but its 10 years of numbers and they are pretty consistent.
If the 8 elites record gets to carry on over then that is how you can bury the mass. In tourney, it should be a new game totally. Everyone gets a 0-0 start.
New criteria, new factors and even if someone never watches an ncaab game ever in their life but can pick at a high rate, I'm tailing. It happens before with yahoo pick the tourney contest where some no name gamer nerd won that contest.
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Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:
All true, brosuf. Everyone does their own thing and just allowing them to do it without letting it bother you is the path to happiness. Y'all can continue on however you guys want. I wish everyone luck.
I also wanted to point out that the numbers are not that good during the first two rounds of the NCAA Tourney either. They were very close to 50% over all those years. The one thing that did seem to happen is what we would call the "Elite Eight" guys on the $$$$ Standings, their results fall that first week also, which is pretty damaging to the success of the board since those are the guys that people blindly tail.
These are all just stats from the past. None of it is not supported by data. Anything can happen and trends can be broken, but its 10 years of numbers and they are pretty consistent.
If the 8 elites record gets to carry on over then that is how you can bury the mass. In tourney, it should be a new game totally. Everyone gets a 0-0 start.
New criteria, new factors and even if someone never watches an ncaab game ever in their life but can pick at a high rate, I'm tailing. It happens before with yahoo pick the tourney contest where some no name gamer nerd won that contest.
2 disappointing losses in a row on the road for the 1st place MAC team. The Zips are up 1 game at the top of the standings in MAC play over Ohio, Buffalo, and Kent State. They play Ohio and Kent State to finish off the season at home.
Coming back home where Akron absolutely dominates (undefeated + 17 point margin of victory) against a mediocre Bowling Green team with nothing to play for is the perfect bounce back opportunity for this team to gain momentum and win out the rest of the season. I see this game not even being close. Go Zips!
BOL to everyone!
Jack Ryan
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Quote Originally Posted by whaatmoney:
Akron at -9 would be my $$$$ pick today.
2 disappointing losses in a row on the road for the 1st place MAC team. The Zips are up 1 game at the top of the standings in MAC play over Ohio, Buffalo, and Kent State. They play Ohio and Kent State to finish off the season at home.
Coming back home where Akron absolutely dominates (undefeated + 17 point margin of victory) against a mediocre Bowling Green team with nothing to play for is the perfect bounce back opportunity for this team to gain momentum and win out the rest of the season. I see this game not even being close. Go Zips!
I've seen a lot of MAC games here in Toledo. Akron is a great bet at home....Not so much on the Road. Hitting the Rockets game tomorrow vs EMU. Tight Race..every game is big!!!
Jack Ryan
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Sorry about the blank quote above!!
I've seen a lot of MAC games here in Toledo. Akron is a great bet at home....Not so much on the Road. Hitting the Rockets game tomorrow vs EMU. Tight Race..every game is big!!!
I've seen a lot of MAC games here in Toledo. Akron is a great bet at home....Not so much on the Road. Hitting the Rockets game tomorrow vs EMU. Tight Race..every game is big!!!
Bowling green is a crap team but they are a squirrel looking for a nut. They have not cover nor won 7 straight games now.
Easy pick for akron right? Only one thing that is scary. Reverse line movement. Opened at -13. More money on akron. Now -9. Maybe it is a discount to take akron?
I dunno but good skills to those who are playing it.
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Quote Originally Posted by Jack Ryan:
Sorry about the blank quote above!!
I've seen a lot of MAC games here in Toledo. Akron is a great bet at home....Not so much on the Road. Hitting the Rockets game tomorrow vs EMU. Tight Race..every game is big!!!
Bowling green is a crap team but they are a squirrel looking for a nut. They have not cover nor won 7 straight games now.
Easy pick for akron right? Only one thing that is scary. Reverse line movement. Opened at -13. More money on akron. Now -9. Maybe it is a discount to take akron?
I dunno but good skills to those who are playing it.
"The one benefit for the Lions is that they’re finally getting over
the flu, which hampered senior guards Isaac Cohen and Grant Mullins a
week ago. Smith reported that both players are getting healthier, though
Mullins missed practice on Monday as a precautionary measure."
As
of Tuesday, only first-year forward Lukas Meisner was still battling
the illness, but Smith explained that he is in recovery."
They are playing down the flu factor...but even athletes need time to recover and could dehydrate pretty quick under pressure on the road!!!
Jumping on the Yale Train tonight!!!
Jack Ryan
0
New article about Yale game online....
"The one benefit for the Lions is that they’re finally getting over
the flu, which hampered senior guards Isaac Cohen and Grant Mullins a
week ago. Smith reported that both players are getting healthier, though
Mullins missed practice on Monday as a precautionary measure."
As
of Tuesday, only first-year forward Lukas Meisner was still battling
the illness, but Smith explained that he is in recovery."
They are playing down the flu factor...but even athletes need time to recover and could dehydrate pretty quick under pressure on the road!!!
Hrmm. Less pickings today. Maybe it is bookie's friday scare tactics.
Either way, see you guys later. I'm closing shop and heading to the bar to watch some games. Happy friday and may we win some money but remember to buy your love ones something good to compliment it as well.
Have a good weekend and see you guys later.
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0
Hrmm. Less pickings today. Maybe it is bookie's friday scare tactics.
Either way, see you guys later. I'm closing shop and heading to the bar to watch some games. Happy friday and may we win some money but remember to buy your love ones something good to compliment it as well.
"The one benefit for the Lions is that they’re finally getting over
the flu, which hampered senior guards Isaac Cohen and Grant Mullins a
week ago. Smith reported that both players are getting healthier, though
Mullins missed practice on Monday as a precautionary measure."
As
of Tuesday, only first-year forward Lukas Meisner was still battling
the illness, but Smith explained that he is in recovery."
They are playing down the flu factor...but even athletes need time to recover and could dehydrate pretty quick under pressure on the road!!!
Jumping on the Yale Train tonight!!!
Maybe under is the safer play? I dunno
X_____________________________
0
Quote Originally Posted by Jack Ryan:
New article about Yale game online....
"The one benefit for the Lions is that they’re finally getting over
the flu, which hampered senior guards Isaac Cohen and Grant Mullins a
week ago. Smith reported that both players are getting healthier, though
Mullins missed practice on Monday as a precautionary measure."
As
of Tuesday, only first-year forward Lukas Meisner was still battling
the illness, but Smith explained that he is in recovery."
They are playing down the flu factor...but even athletes need time to recover and could dehydrate pretty quick under pressure on the road!!!
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