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Holmey's $$$$ Thread SUNDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.28.16

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Posted: #101
Quote Originally Posted by wmi799:

Holmey


Poops - Show some class next time. NO offense, but I haven't seen you prove anything. BOL on your plays.

I for one, use certain stats, KP and the eye test of games I have seen. I watched a lot of Big 10 and Summit ball as both are in my backyard. Watched alot of MAAC.. I have seen almost every ND game. I watch other late night games when time permits. 

We all have our own ways, etc. To come in here and belittle others ways of doing things lacks class. You do your plays your way, others will do theirs, their way.

I am on Minnesota, Tulsa, Colorado later. My $$$$ play:

Nevada -2' $$$$$ play

I like good home teams versus bad road teams that they lost too earlier in the season. Heck CSU has owned Nevada recently. Oliver has been great rebounding for Nevada. One reason they are the second best D in the MWC. CSU has the worst defense, though top offense. Coleman is probably out (why the line is small). But, they are winning right now and CSU has been losing. This, IMO, is a HUGE game for Nevada. They are doing great ATS right now and same for conference play (yes, I stat I do use, that others do not). CSU has lost four straight and it will be five. I will take the small line with the home team.

 Thanks for the winner, wmi!
 
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Posted: #102
Thanks for Colorado
 
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Posted: #103
Quote Originally Posted by Tiltingchaser:


 Thanks for the winner, wmi!

It took OT, but it won
Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #104
Thanks USC...and others...too many smart people here were on Colorado to let that turd in the punch bowl dissuade me from tailing. Been here two weeks...finally feel like I have better than a coin toss chance thanks to this thread....Much obliged!
 
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Posted: #105
Hey holmey, just awoke from a nap to see the final in the colorado game. Thanks . Unfortunately had a terrible weekend, from a betting standpoint.  Though I was wrong on both ends of the hofstra game, they won  and are now the # 1 seedin the caa tournament. Glad to be able to share in your glow. Good luck,

Bandit
 
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Posted: #106
Quote Originally Posted by poopdollar:

$$$$ Play Arizona St. +8

Way too many of you are on Colorado. Usually when the line seems too good to be true....IT IS. Arizona St. is getting tremendous value here with losers of their last 3, and also 0-3 ATS. Colorado on the other hand is getting too much credit for the Arizona win. I see this as the Sun Devils are due for a cover at the very least. Throw the stats out the window as they mean nothing. I've said this many times, but Vegas uses those stats better than you can on your best day. It's funny how half of you rip off stats and trends that mean nothing when it really comes down to it. You're just trying to fill up the page and support your pick. 

I was 6-1-1 yesterday with an overall record of 23-13-5 on my own separate thread.

Use this as a lesson such as your IPFW megaload yesterday.

0 - 1 today, now that his picks are posted!
 
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Posted: #107
Quote Originally Posted by easyskanker420:

Hey USC,

Thanks for posting the %s.  I play same on every wager, don't think any one play better than other.  

 Know you need to hit 52.3% to break even, hopefully the group will get to 56-57, ANYBODY that can hit 57% will make $$ in long run - the old sprint/marathon argument.

Much respect and keep up the good work, Sir.

Thanks, easy!

That is the percentage, but I will tell you those are the percentages based on EVERY $$$$ that has been posted.  Why that can be deceiving is because there are now 27 people who have made 1 $$$$, and it lost, and they have never posted another.  So, if you remove people who may just be giving it a try or are just trying to get off to a 1-0 start, then the percentages are MUCH better, obviously.  I know there are many people who post one $$$$, it loses, and then they create another screen name to try and start over.  This is just a fact and it has been that way since the beginning.  Maybe if I get a chance tomorrow, I will remove the W/L of the people who have only made 1 $$$$ (which is 11-27, BTW) and maybe people who have made at leat2 and then at least 4, or whatever, and see what the percentages end up looking like.  I am fairly certain they will be much better than the percentages of all the $$$$'s posted.

Thanks man and good luck.  Always good to see the old-school CBS guys still hanging around......

 
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Posted: #108

Thread sitting at 7-3-1 today with one $$$$ on Cal (-7) pending......

 
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Posted: #109
Thanks Holmey. The thread has been rock solid! 
 
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Posted: #110
USC Thanks for all your efforts and work.  Also Thanks for Colorado and the early post.  BOL
 
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Posted: #111
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

Thread sitting at 7-3-1 today with one $$$$ on Cal (-7) pending......


Who is the one who has $$$$ on Cal buddy? This is the one I have pending. Long time follower first time posting, Raise your hand if you have California pending too? 
 
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Posted: #112
Quote Originally Posted by dandyjefe:


Who is the one who has $$$$ on Cal buddy? This is the one I have pending. Long time follower first time posting, Raise your hand if you have California pending too? 

Got Cal pending. Posted as my first $$$$ post on here this am.  
 
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Posted: #113
 Colorado. Thanks for the pick Holmey! 
 
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Posted: #114
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

Thread sitting at 7-3-1 today with one $$$$ on Cal (-7) pending......


I posted Kiings under 5 on page 5...

 
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Posted: #115
Quote Originally Posted by beardown1123:


Got Cal pending. Posted as my first $$$$ post on here this am.  

Good luck buddy thanks, we are winning!
 
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Posted: #116
Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:



I posted Kiings under 5 on page 5...


Damn.  That's right.  Sorry about that.

Welcome, BTW, and #GKG!
 
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Posted: #117
Thank you for this thread today. I went 5-0 because of you guys. Much appreciated it!!!!
 
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Posted: #118
Beardown 1123 thanks for the cigar smoker.
Cal easy winner tonight.

2-0 tailing you guys today.

Much appreciated.
 
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Posted: #119
Quote Originally Posted by eyedog:

Beardown 1123 thanks for the cigar smoker.
Cal easy winner tonight.

2-0 tailing you guys today.

Much appreciated.

No problem! Cheers! 
 
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Posted: #120
USC, thank you very much for Colo and for the early post so we could get the day off to a good start last night!  I appreciate your excellent write-ups and your candid responses to questions.  I don't know how you find the time to do all that you are doing and to do it so well, but thank you!
Also, thank you to all the positive contributors to this site. It was a great week, and there's more coming!
 
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Posted: #121
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

Quote Originally Posted by Hoyasaxa:

I posted Kiings under 5 on page 5...
Damn.  That's right.  Sorry about that.Welcome, BTW, and #GKG!



All good , just got to finish it up.. Worse case a push
 
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Posted: #122

$$$$ THREAD RESULTS/STANDINGS THRU FEB. 28

Saturday $$$$ W/L: 8-3-1 (with one pending)
TOTAL OVERALL W/L TO DATE: 177-139-6 (56.0%)

$$$$ OF THE DAY:
Goes to TopFlightSports and Dark_McGwire for the outright winner on Seton Hall.
STANDINGS:
I can't type out everyone's name any more here, so from now on, the Standings will show people who have made a minimum number of $$$$'s.

MINIMUM OF 4 $$$$'s MADE

THE ELITE EIGHT

THE BIG DOG
1. bubbaski27 (11-4-1)

2. rf_dawg (7-1)
3. wmi799 (9-3)
4. TopFlightSports (6-1)
5. gatorbear (7-2)
6. USC_Holmey (9-4-1)
7. jroc1247 (5-2)
T8. jimc0911 (6-3)
T8. Gtimebutler (6-3)

Profitable $$$$'ers
10. ncaabb (8-5)
11. SUPEREAGLE43 (3-1)
12. nfl_brosuf (8-6)
T13. jimmybigmits (3-2-1)
T13. Redbandit (3-2)
T13. Stu23 (3-2)
16. magiccarpetride (4-3)
17. FenwayFrank (5-4)

And the rest......
T18. TheKrew (4-4-2)
T18. Desertcapper (4-4)
20. BadTimes (5-5)
T21. bk1374 (2-3)
T21. wgomel21 (2-3)
T23. truthcapper (1-3-1)
T23. MercyRules (1-3)
T23. silversilver (1-3)
T23. Da_Oracle (1-3)
27. Appleton40 (2-4)
28. BarneysDad (1-4)
29. forty9ersfan80 (2-7)

Others  --- 3-0 - NicMittens, Xdresser
                  2-0 - Madden21

Thanks guys and good luck today!

 
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Posted: #123
Yikes, laid down $400 on a 5 leg multi for 10.8K return that came through. But boy was there luck.

Had:

Colorada -6.5
Nevada -3.5
California -7
Oregon - 10
UNCG -3.5

I have no idea how that Nevada bet came through, ridiculous...

Oregon game was hovering around that 7-13 point margin where anything could of happened

Didn't see any of UNCG but covered by the hook...

Thanking my lucky stars in this thread (albeit just need to weed out the wrong from the right :)
 
 
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Posted: #124
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

This is good news because it has been a good week for the thread.  If you have been paying attention, and being selective, and tailing the top guys, there is NO WAY you aren't up big this week.

Just a piece of advice.....If you have been hanging around the thread and tailing and you DID NOT make money this week, then maybe you need to reel in your bets a little.  The Top $$$$'ers in the Standings hit at like 75% this week.  I can tell you it doesn't get much better than that and that if you are bleeding cash by betting everything that's posted here, then maybe reconsider your strategies.

Make sure you look at the Standings every day.  There are often a lot of good looking $$$$ posts on here, but they are by people who do not have a documented good record.  I keep the Standings and results for the accountability factor that helps you know who you may or may not want to tail.

Good luck all......

 

This is great advice and something even the good players can forget from time to time.

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