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Holmey's $$$$ Thread THURSDAY - Post Your BEST Play (With Writeup) - 02.25.16

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Posts: 141
 
Rookie
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Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 896
Posted: #126
Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

No golf bets for me tomorrow.

Ruled out Mickelson because Adam Scott has been playing well and Phil in the wind is a toss up.

Ruled out Villegas because he is so inconsistent and Grace is just better.

I still like Steele but going to see if I can get this around -120 instead of -140 ( Herman does live in south Florida and had a good finish there last year so beware on this pick).

I also really like Lowry over Henley but that sits at -170.  If it drops below -150 I will jump on board.  Lowry plays well in these conditions and traditionally international players do well here. Lowry is used to the windy conditions being from Ireland.

My inlaws live on PGA National and I have played that course 50 times.  Its is REALLY tough.  But sneaky tough.  I have gotten better the more I played it.  Look for the local guys who play that course a lot to have an advantage.  Or the veterans.  You need a lot of local knowledge on that course, IMO.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 318
Posted: #127
6-1-1 on the night

Cal -7
ULM - 5
W&M -3
BK/PHX - O 208 1/2
GS/ORL - O 222 1/2
Car -130
Penn State -1 PUSH
OKC/NO O 227 (Live)

Have an 8 teamer still alive need:

HOU/Portland O 218
St. Mary's -15
Hawaii -15.5
(Dumb spreads for a parlay)

This thread is continuous BOOK BANGER!
 
Rookie
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Posted: #128
Quote Originally Posted by Tiltingchaser:

6-1-1 on the night

Cal -7
ULM - 5
W&M -3
BK/PHX - O 208 1/2
GS/ORL - O 222 1/2
Car -130
Penn State -1 PUSH
OKC/NO O 227 (Live)

Have an 8 teamer still alive need:

HOU/Portland O 218
St. Mary's -15
Hawaii -15.5
(Dumb spreads for a parlay)

This thread is continuous BOOK BANGER!

Great job, tilting!

 
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Joined: Jun, 2013
Posts: 913
Posted: #129
@USC,  Yes the course looked beautiful on television this morning but that wind combined with those greens was a bad combo.  I saw multiple guys missing 5 foot putts. Calling it a night, catch you tomorrow.  Hope your team comes back and makes it a game.
 
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Posted: #130

Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

@USC,  Yes the course looked beautiful on television this morning but that wind combined with those greens was a bad combo.  I saw multiple guys missing 5 foot putts. Calling it a night, catch you tomorrow.  Hope your team comes back and makes it a game.

lol thanks, but not a chance we make this one a game.

 
Prospect
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Posts: 318
Posted: #131
Quote Originally Posted by USC_Holmey:

Great job, tilting!



Thanks, USC! Great stuff on here
 
Prospect
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Posted: #132
Hawaii about to screw me out of an eight teamer. This is what happens when you bet angry. You pick stupid games! Tonight not the night for them to cover 15.5 ugh. St. Mary's taking care of business.
 
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Posts: 1589
Posted: #133
It was nice riding the MASTODON Gravy Train!! Helped me break a bad jinx with visiting teams!!!  This thread Rocks!!!


Jack Ryan
 
Hall of Fame
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Posts: 20652
Posted: #134
got a push on the pick at -18
 
Prospect
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Posts: 318
Posted: #135
Complete collapse by Portland about to cost the Over. 7 pts in the quarter?!?! Did anybody get Houston live? I was about to pull the trigger at +224 and didn't do it. 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 318
Posted: #136
Winner on the Hou/Port Over @ 218.5
 
Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 242
Posted: #137
I took Houston +12.5 and ML live. Worked out well. Can't believe the collapse fourth quarter though that's unbelievable. I agree this thread has made me some money the past week. Thanks to all you guys who contribute and provide research. Much appreciated especially to Holmey for organizing and keeping this thread going on a daily. Will be continously following. 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2013
Posts: 377
Posted: #138
Well it looks like I was the weakest link with Northeastern -3. Can't believe they win by a point! I'd rather have them lose outright! Especially when I buy it down to 2!! But thanks to the thread I cashed in on Monroe and IPFW!! Thanks gents!! 
 
Prospect
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Posts: 34
Posted: #139
Just wanted to say thanks guys! Aside from the "circled" Carolina play last night I tailed a few picks and sprinkled in some of my own and went 7-1 last night easily my best day ever! So much so that I was feeling cocky at 11:00est and played a three team parlay for half a unit that hit with gonzaga 2h, Stanford, and smu! All picks I recalled from reading the board I just wanted to say thanks as this thread led me to a 12 unit day last night! I am also an amateur capper (and hold a Ph.D. In both physics and mathematics so I do HPC algorithmic models) I will post my own plays when I think the line makers show value above 75% I have not seen lots of that lately! Anyway, thanks again everybody here that is contributing!
 
Prospect
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Joined: Feb, 2016
Posts: 34
Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by Bubbaski27:

@USC,  Yes the course looked beautiful on television this morning but that wind combined with those greens was a bad combo.  I saw multiple guys missing 5 foot putts. Calling it a night, catch you tomorrow.  Hope your team comes back and makes it a game.

Thanks for the caps last night both your plays helped me with both my analysis method (great write up) and the easy covers! Great job! If you don't mind sharing do you use any macro mathematical computation when making picks or just recent trend data?

 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Oct, 2014
Posts: 27
Posted: #141
Great night last night!  Love'n this thread! Keep it rolling. 
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