Posted:
#1
Believe me or not I dont give a rats ass.
Last night my games were Middle Tenn St. And Miami(Ohio)
Here what you do
Take team A
Say that team A is avg 66 PPG on Offense
Team B is AVG 58
Now team A is favored by 8 points.
Now move on to defense
Say team A is giving up 57 PPG and team is giving up 63
Now team is is favored another 6 on defense. 6+ 8 =14
What do u do with this?
BET THE OPPOSITE
but NEVER BET WITH THE PUBLIC!!!!!!
UNLESS the favorite is getting less than 55% support.
So team A is favored by 14 in my theory
Say the vegas line is TEAM A -6. they are only 6 points better but the damn Vegas line for some reason has them at -14 and the public thinks team B is going to cover then you take the bad line. becuase Vegas expects you to take the DOG.
Now if team A in our line was 8 points better but were giving 2 you take the dog because the public will always take the fav becuase the line is low.
Example tonight
Drake is avg 69 PPG
GaS is AVG 66
Drake -3
Defense Drake gives up an Avg of 62 and GaS gives up 78
so minus another 16
Drake in my line should be favored by 16+3=19
The real line is Drake -12
The public has Drake 75%
The play is Ga Southern +12
Ill probably lose tonight but this shit seriously works. NBA also but not as well as totals. I have develooped a killer team total system in the NBA Ill get to that whenever
Last night my games were Middle Tenn St. And Miami(Ohio)
Here what you do
Take team A
Say that team A is avg 66 PPG on Offense
Team B is AVG 58
Now team A is favored by 8 points.
Now move on to defense
Say team A is giving up 57 PPG and team is giving up 63
Now team is is favored another 6 on defense. 6+ 8 =14
What do u do with this?
BET THE OPPOSITE
but NEVER BET WITH THE PUBLIC!!!!!!
UNLESS the favorite is getting less than 55% support.
So team A is favored by 14 in my theory
Say the vegas line is TEAM A -6. they are only 6 points better but the damn Vegas line for some reason has them at -14 and the public thinks team B is going to cover then you take the bad line. becuase Vegas expects you to take the DOG.
Now if team A in our line was 8 points better but were giving 2 you take the dog because the public will always take the fav becuase the line is low.
Example tonight
Drake is avg 69 PPG
GaS is AVG 66
Drake -3
Defense Drake gives up an Avg of 62 and GaS gives up 78
so minus another 16
Drake in my line should be favored by 16+3=19
The real line is Drake -12
The public has Drake 75%
The play is Ga Southern +12
Ill probably lose tonight but this shit seriously works. NBA also but not as well as totals. I have develooped a killer team total system in the NBA Ill get to that whenever
0
...been good bud...gl
Great job. Post tomorrow please 
Hot Forum Topics
