I’m not terribly high on Florida, particularly with Jalen Hudson working back from injury and Kulechov apparently limited by recurring plantar fasciitis, but the Gators are in exponentially better shape tonight than Texas A & M. As expected, Admon Gilder remains out of action, joined tonight by D.J. Hogg (suspended for the third straight game) and likely Duane Wilson (injury). That triumvirate constitutes an overwhelming percentage of A & M’s offensive capability. Bob Williams and Tyler Davis are monsters on the glass, but aren’t capable of creating their own offense. A & M’s backcourt is brutally young and untested – a difficult combination against Mike White’s pressure defense.
Offensively, Florida excels at spreading the floor with shooters – a prerequisite to success against an elite A & M defense that shuts down the paint and limits scoring at the rim (#4 in % shots blocked at the rim at 221.%). First true road game of the season for Florida, but they were excellent on the road last year with just four losses by a combined 21 points (Kentucky, Arkansas, FSU, South Carolina). Absent A & M’s three best shotmakers and distributors, UF should be able to control tempo here, disrupt the untested A & M backcourt, and spread the floor with shooters via Chiozza penetration. The caveat, of course, is that this could be a bloodbath on the glass, particularly if Gorjok Gak (knee, game-time decision) can’t play and foul-prone Keith Stone can’t stay on the court. Conversely, if White deploys his full range of pressure schemes, it’s difficult to see how A & M even gets into its offensive sets, whereby A & M’s size advantage with Davis and Williams would be effectively neutralized.
It's difficult to accurately convey how significant these losses are for A & M. Per HoopLens, with Gilder on the floor, A & M scores 1.16 ppp (58.4 eFG%), and just 1.00 ppp without him (44.7 eFG%). He's important defensively, too, as the Aggs are allowing just 0.85 ppp with him on the floor, but 0.98 without him.
The numbers with/without Hogg are remarkably similar, and Wilson is a steady, grizzled backcourt veteran who can move the ball and make tough shots.
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I’m not terribly high on Florida, particularly with Jalen Hudson working back from injury and Kulechov apparently limited by recurring plantar fasciitis, but the Gators are in exponentially better shape tonight than Texas A & M. As expected, Admon Gilder remains out of action, joined tonight by D.J. Hogg (suspended for the third straight game) and likely Duane Wilson (injury). That triumvirate constitutes an overwhelming percentage of A & M’s offensive capability. Bob Williams and Tyler Davis are monsters on the glass, but aren’t capable of creating their own offense. A & M’s backcourt is brutally young and untested – a difficult combination against Mike White’s pressure defense.
Offensively, Florida excels at spreading the floor with shooters – a prerequisite to success against an elite A & M defense that shuts down the paint and limits scoring at the rim (#4 in % shots blocked at the rim at 221.%). First true road game of the season for Florida, but they were excellent on the road last year with just four losses by a combined 21 points (Kentucky, Arkansas, FSU, South Carolina). Absent A & M’s three best shotmakers and distributors, UF should be able to control tempo here, disrupt the untested A & M backcourt, and spread the floor with shooters via Chiozza penetration. The caveat, of course, is that this could be a bloodbath on the glass, particularly if Gorjok Gak (knee, game-time decision) can’t play and foul-prone Keith Stone can’t stay on the court. Conversely, if White deploys his full range of pressure schemes, it’s difficult to see how A & M even gets into its offensive sets, whereby A & M’s size advantage with Davis and Williams would be effectively neutralized.
It's difficult to accurately convey how significant these losses are for A & M. Per HoopLens, with Gilder on the floor, A & M scores 1.16 ppp (58.4 eFG%), and just 1.00 ppp without him (44.7 eFG%). He's important defensively, too, as the Aggs are allowing just 0.85 ppp with him on the floor, but 0.98 without him.
The numbers with/without Hogg are remarkably similar, and Wilson is a steady, grizzled backcourt veteran who can move the ball and make tough shots.
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