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If I were a betting man pt. 2

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Posted: #1
Which I am not until March Madness starts. I would suggest your 3 winners are:

North Carolina -5
Butler -3
Auburn +5.5

None of these have I ran numbers on yet and have a few meetings this morning before I can even look at them. I will post the numbers so we can keep tracking this. 3-0 yesterday. Others I will look into: Western Michigan +2, Kentucky -10, Creighton +10, Florida Gulf Coast -14, Holy Cross -5.
 
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Posted: #2
BOL GCY
 
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North Carolina/Georgia Tech: This is favoring the scoring ability and recent defensive trends of the Tarheel by 11 points in a game that hits 133. The trends that are favored here are NC's 77.9 ppg on the road vs GT's recent 58 ppg trend. This is also showing NC's defense only giving up 60.7 in recent trend vs GT giving up 70.3. Rebounding on both sides is about even with a very slight edge to NC. Remeber, you have to take into consideration. Home dogs with revenge on their minds.
 
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Posted: #4
Butler/Georgetown : Once again, this is favoring Butler by 5.5 due to recent trends of Butlers ability to play defense with holding others to 59.3 ppg. Butler averages 75.7 ppg on the road while Georgetown has been giving up 67 ppg in recent trend. Both offensive and defensive rebounding are spot on with each other as Butler on the road matches Georgetown at home exactly on the dot. (23.4 def reb. And 10.5 off. Reb.) Again, this will not take into consideration a home dog with revenge on their minds. You will have to do that on your own.
 
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Posted: #5
Auburn/Missouri:
I am getting mixed results on this, so I would not recommend it. On Auburn's side, it is favoring recent trends of scoring with Auburn averaging 63.7 ppg vs the down trend of Missouri with only 53.7 ppg. However, on the Missouri side, it favors Missouri due to the lack of defense that Auburn has been recently playing. Missouri holds opponents to roughly 65.3 ppg however Auburn looks to have forgot to play defense giving up 91.3 ppg in recent trend! Therefore in what this is saying will be a close game, might be one to stay away from.
 
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Posted: #6
Butler/Georgetown game is at Butler! Just a heads up!
 
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Posted: #7
UNC line has never been 5,lowest point 5.5
 
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Posted: #8
Thanks gcy.  I bought points on auburn so maybe it will help.
 
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Posted: #9
Liking butler-3 the most. Locked in. Capped butler to win by 8.36 last night. Interested what you came up w/.

GL capyourself
 
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Posted: #10
Two things:
Steelers Good catch, Butler is at home.
FGB: Operator error. I have to use my phone today to type these, so it is autocorrecting the 5.5 and turning it to a 5 unless I force it. 5.5 is correct.
 
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Posted: #11
Villanova/Creighton: This is favoring Creighton to cover the +10 based off the trends of Villanova on the road vs Creighton at home. Villanova's recent trend is an uptick in scoring averaging 84.7 ppg however only 73.3 on the road. Creighton shows better at home nearly all of the season averaging 71.2 ppg on their turf. Defensive wise, Nova give up 64.9 on the road and recent trend is at 67.7. Creighton Has a recent trend of holding opponents to 62.3 ppg. Rebounding on both the offensive and defensive end has a slight advantage for Creighton in Omaha. Both teams like to foul around 18 times a game and turnover the ball around 11 times per game. my own personal opinion is that Creighton held Nova to 71 @ Nova in what was an awful showing by the BlueJays. If they can keep Nova right around the same at 71, I think Nova wins by 4 to 6 points. However, this is Creighton and who knows what you get. Way better chances to shoot well at home though.
 
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Posted: #12
Is Anthony mason playing for auburn? He is one of their best players. His dad passed away, the New York Knick fan favorite Anthony mason. I would expect he is not if mizzou is favored.
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Liking butler-3 the most. Locked in. Capped butler to win by 8.36 last night. Interested what you came up w/.GL capyourself


The numbers get Butler by 5.5, by hand, I personally get Butler by 4.
 
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Posted: #14
Just reminding everyone that I am not playing any of these and I am just posting what I come up with to track before March Madness. Just want to make everything as close as possible to being right before I dig into the tourney. You can follow or fade however you like.
 
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Posted: #15
Gl
 
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Posted: #16
What do you use to cap the games yourself?
 
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Posted: #17

Interested in what you got on the Dayton game. I like R.I. as they play tough no matter where or who. Somehow I bet the opposite, guess I put it in the wrong slot... Damn, that is bad...

Think Dayton knows they will get in the tourny while R.I. because of back years maybe in trouble without a WIN HERE...

 
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Posted: #18
Pipe-Light:
Dayton/Rhode Island: This is a mixed results kind of game that can truly come down to a coin flip and on you might have to bank on the college kids themselves to pull throw. The most common theme is favoring Dayton to when by under 1.5. The trend likes Rhode Islands ability to play defense and hold teams to 57.3 ppg recently but the edge gets pushed by Dayton's ability to play defense at home at 58.7 ppg combined with the rebounding advantage they seem to have over Rhode Island. Seems like a game under 122 or so but shows Rhode Island covers the +2.5 or +3. I wouldn't recommend it or playing either ML but that's your call. BOL to you.
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by killakrause:

What do you use to cap the games yourself?


Lots of paper :)
 
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Posted: #20
No offense but unless your putting money on the game I don't really care what your insight is. If your system is so great you would be laying down the dough. 
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by undermysac:

Liking butler-3 the most. Locked in. Capped butler to win by 8.36 last night. Interested what you came up w/.

GL capyourself


I get Butler by only 3.27...so I am laying off of this one.
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Pats12978:

No offense but unless your putting money on the game I don't really care what your insight is. If your system is so great you would be laying down the dough.

Maybe you don't, but the rest of us do..... So buzz off
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by Pats12978:

No offense but unless your putting money on the game I don't really care what your insight is. If your system is so great you would be laying down the dough. 

You can go back to any day throughout the last few weeks to see his picks daily, he's stated before multiple times he likes to take a week or two off before march madness.  If you don't care, don't read it.  Not much more too it, no need for negativity.

He's a solid capper, I tend to read his threads to see what he gets for certain games before making my decisions.
 
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Posted: #24
All the money looks to be going on Butler -3 almost 70%.....Give me Gtown +3.5 
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Pats12978:

No offense but unless your putting money on the game I don't really care what your insight is. If your system is so great you would be laying down the dough.


Pats no offense, but thread jumping usually doesn't give you the best results. I have a posted record and post almost daily. I must confess that I need to look at the last couple of plays to add up a correct record but it is somewhere around 93-65-3. I had some very mixed results in one week so I am taking a break until Madness and testing the results as I tend to hit March pretty hard. I told everyone I would post the results I am getting which is what you are reading. Fade if you wish, I don't care, but don't be a vag.
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