Past 2 days:
-won this backup to cover my big parlay > rkansas ML 3.5 
x Auburn 1.25 x Florida 1.19 x Tennessee 1.44x Alabama 1.43 > pays 10.7 x $20 > pays $214 profit 
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ML Parlay (4.2 Units = $500): St. Johns with Auburn with with Florida > pays 1.96 
OUCH!!
Also HALF U more ($60)> add Tennessee and Alabama > pays 4x > returns +$125 more
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Today:
In game Alabama -10.5 x 1U 
Alabama - 5.5 x 1U
Teaser 5 pt HALF U pays +1U profit
> St Mary's +10.5 with UNDER Kentucky 172.5 with Ole Miss +10.5 with Sparty -2
March Tourney Record now = 8 - 3 ATS/Totals (+$600)
Exotic Bets: = -$348
Time to slow down and re- assess.....that is enough for tonight unless I decide on an ingame play from observations and the two games I would consider are Ole Miss vs Iowa St and New Mex vs Sparty
UNDER Florida Gulf Coast 153.5 x 1U .. only play today
March Tourney Record now = 9 - 3 ATS/Totals (+$720)
Exotic Bets: = -$468 << shameful impulsive action 
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Updated Trends of Top 50 records to Ponder for Sweet 16:
Specialties in my Matchup Charts to Consider: 
Neutral Court Records Updated: ( wins vs Top 50)
Auburn 8 - 1
Florida 5 - 0
Michigan 5 - 1
Ole Miss 5 - 2
4 - 2 > Kentucky, Duke, Alabama
3 - 1 > Arkansas, Tennessee, Maryland
Rest are around .500 or below it
WORST > 1 - 3 PURDUE (last match was not a Top 50 team)
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***BYU is 0 - 2 vs Top 10 teams / Alabama 8 - 2 vs Teams ranked above 25th which was BYU coming into the tourney and Bama is 8 - 1 vs a 11th to 25th ranked team.....so combined, they are 16 - 3 now vs teams ranked above their level
- will be using BAMA in betting!!
**Maryland is 0 - 1 vs Top 10 Teams > pre-tournament, they were ranked #10 in DR Ratings and now face a Florida team that is 3 - 0 on neutral court games vs a Top 10 team and 5 - 2 vs Top 10 teams on the season...if you believe Maryland should not be considered a Top 10 team, know that Florida is 4 - 1 vs teams ranked 11th - 25th in the final rankings on the season
-Florida looks off to me.....I will bet them after this round if they win convincing
***Arizona is 0 - 3 vs Teams in the Top 10 .....Duke is 4 - 2 vs teams ranked 11th to 25th
-Arizona can give them a game for a while but Duke looked the most dominant team next to Alabama!
***Arkansas is 3 - 2 vs teams ranked 11th - 25th which is Texas Tech who are 3 - 1 vs teams ranked 26th - 50th at the end of the season and if you believe Arkansas is 11th - 25th type of team, then TTECH is 2 - 4 vs those teams
-staying away from this one and lean strongly to Arkansas getting +5.5
Will weigh in on who beat whom specifically if I make a bet and will be doing something....lean right now is
Parlay > x 2.5 U ($300) > Alabama ML with Duke ML with Houston > pays +130 ($390 profit)
Don't overthink this BYU - Alabama game...... Houston beat BYU by 20+ two times....... Alabama beat Houston 85 - 80 on neutral court
ML for sure....and I am leaning UNDER.....the key for Alabama will be to not let BYU shooters get going and BYU can depend shots inside the 3 pt line well...but not from 3 pt
TEASER 5 pt: x HALF U each ($66 profit return per)
Alabama - 0.5 with Maryland +11 with Duke -4.5 ( <
Alabama - 0.5 with Florida - 1 with Duke -4.5
Alabama with Duke -4.5 with Duke Under 158.5
I don't love a side tomorrow and already have a large parlay with Alabama so ......out of all of them, I am playing UNDER DUKE 153.5 x HALF U
Friday: Kentucky beat Tennessee easily 2x and likely did it with their size -speed up tempo approach to offense which the Vols should be able to handle again and maybe beat KTY but no way do I think Tenn wins easily by 5 pts or more!
Kentucky looked very ready to go all the way, watching their last match so VOLS better be ready to raise their bar even higher...
SWEET 16 - ELITE 8 Plays Summary:
Parlay > x 2.5 U ($300) > Alabama ML with Duke ML with Houston > pays +130 ($390 profit)
What I said: >
Don't overthink this BYU - Alabama game...... Houston beat BYU by 20+ two times....... Alabama beat Houston 85 - 80 on neutral court
ML for sure....and I am leaning UNDER <<
In my big pool that I paid into and sitting #2, I have Auburn - Alabama final
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TEASER 5 pt: x HALF U each ($66 profit return per)
Alabama - 0.5 with Maryland +11 NO with Duke -4.5
Alabama - 0.5 with Florida - 1 with Duke -4.5 (don't think Zona can get that close and stay there)
Alabama with Duke -4.5 with Duke Under 158.5 
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DUKE Under 154.5 x HALF U << I did not read the tea leaves of the situation.... Duke plays Bama next so Sheyer let them stretch out and play a frenetic half to know what it feels like again because they will have to do that with BAMA !! Shoot...bad read on my part. I should have looked ahead
BYU - BAMA - OVER 181.5 X Half U ....got that in game....this is an NBA GAME !!
Will update tallies and records when tomorrow is over....
PLAY #1 tomorrow and likely my only play > KENTUCKY +4.5 x 1U
If Duke plays this way vs Alabama, they will lose by 5+ ...... no way does Arizona have close to the same talent and steadiness/flash and athleticism as Alabama and Coach Scheyer might have just made a big mistake because Bama will take them to 'this place' of a loose game and foul trouble against Duke may not be good because BAMA can send out 9 -10 players out who can score and play defense if they need to
Alabama +7 is my next play but lets wait to see how Houston does.....if it wins, I cash + 3.25U profit. One step at a time
I also see merit in Florida -6.5 ....I thought TTech was the weakest team coming into Sweet 16, along with Arkansas and they confirmed as much last night
Florida kicks into another gear next game!
Saturday:
Florida - 6.5 x 1U .... big class mismatch here Florida beat every top team by a lot on neutral court except for Duke and I fail to see that being any different when Texas Tech top win is Baylor by 2 on neutral court ....they lost to Texas AM by 5 and to Arizona by 6
Alabama +7 x HALF U << If Alabama shot only so-so, I might be pressing on this for 2 U but they shot one of the 5 best games the other night and Duke has one of the best defenses, especially on the perimeter......I think Duke will force Bama to play inside and therefore I might be leaning to the UNDER ....just mulling it over in my mind and into tomorrow
Parlay > x 2.5 U ($300) > Alabama ML with Duke ML with Houston > pays +130 ($390 profit)
March Tourney Record now = 9 - 5 ATS/Totals (+$480)
Exotic Bets: = -$72 << chewed that down!
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On Deck:
Saturday:
Florida - 6.5 x 1U .... big class mismatch here Florida beat every top team by a lot on neutral court except for Duke and I fail to see that being any different when Texas Tech top win is Baylor by 2 on neutral court ....they lost to Texas AM by 5 and to Arizona by 6
Alabama +7 x HALF U << If Alabama shot only so-so, I might be pressing on this for 2 U but they shot one of the 5 best games the other night and Duke has one of the best defenses, especially on the perimeter......I think Duke will force Bama to play inside and therefore I might be leaning to the UNDER ....just mulling it over in my mind and into tomorrow
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Teaser 5 pt. $30 each: (return $33 profit per)
Alabama +12 with Florida -1.5 with Auburn -0.5
Duke -2 with FLorida -1.5 with Auburn - 0.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Alabama +12 with Florida -1.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Alabama +12 with Auburn 0.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Florida -1.5 with Auburn -0.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Duke -2 with Florida -1.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Duke with Auburn -0.5
Tenn +8.5 with all 5 same combos above directly above
= $360 in 12 Teasers
I see value in Tenn ML and +3.5 but will just use them above and hope form that I see plays out. Michigan St. will have issues with getting 3 pt shots off and Auburn is fully capable of shutting the middle even more effectively than Ole Miss did
Florida should kick it into overdrive with a easy matchup in my opinion .... Duke /Alabama is the question mark....two athletic and good shooting teams but give the edge to Duke but 7 pt edge maybe too much vs an offensive machine with pride and athleticism-compete spirit better than most teams
Its been fun.....probably just make one more bet and call it a day. Been a fun season and learned a lot doing my charting for the first time (throughout the whole season)
Just waiting on TEASER results to report. I went 0 - 2 on sides/totals and the ship is leaking....
Housekeeping:
Teaser 5 pt. $30 each: (return $33 profit per)
Alabama +12 with Florida -1.5 with Auburn -0.5
Duke -2 with FLorida -1.5 with Auburn - 0.5 
Under Tenn 128.5 with Alabama +12 with Florida -1.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Alabama +12 with Auburn 0.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Florida -1.5 with Auburn -0.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Duke -2 with Florida -1.5
Under Tenn 128.5 with Duke with Auburn -0.5
Tenn +8.5 with all 5 same combos above directly above 
= $360 in 12 Teasers >> got back $132
Expensive week !
March Tourney Record now = 9 - 7 ATS/Totals (+$300)
Exotic Bets: = -$300
I am dead even on Tourney betting .....not good
DUKE - FLORIDA final most likely but still feel Auburn has a decent shot here ..... take the points and if you feel Florida can win or keep it close, expect an UNDER with this amount of preparation in that Florida-Auburn game in my opinion....both teams know each other well and shots will not come easy or open shooters will not come with much time given what is on the line
AUBURN +2.5 << TEASE IT up to +7.5
UNDER << like even more
DUKE -5 (they won't lose to Houston! Great TEASER KEY)
Under Duke >> I see a 72 -62 type of game and Duke might only score 65 and if so, I don't expect Houston to make many 3 pt shots against Duke's defense!! Their size and foot speed on the perimeter will challenge Houston
...its been fun ! 
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