The fact that Gonzaga is pulling ahead here with assertiveness.....I worry about this UNDER. St Marys can hit the 3 pt well when pressed and I forsee that coming at some point in the game.
I think this will go into the 140's before its done....lets see what happens
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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The fact that Gonzaga is pulling ahead here with assertiveness.....I worry about this UNDER. St Marys can hit the 3 pt well when pressed and I forsee that coming at some point in the game.
I think this will go into the 140's before its done....lets see what happens
-they like scoring on the road more than at home which is rare..... Southern a good team and defense but I cannot ignore the fact that this is a one and done game so Grambling will shoot the 3pt or hack Southern if ahead by enough that they need to do that to clawback
UTEP - Liberty Under 138.5 x HALF U
-both teams tend to score under this total when they play a strong team
-2 March games last year produced a total both times Under 130 pts....... 'if it walks like a duck'
SC St. -14.5 x HALF U - this team can flat out play at both ends and Coppin St is 1 - 17 on the road.....it will be a neutral site and I honestly believe Coppin will score 65 and SC St. 85 if so.....otherwise, this could end up an ugly kind of score like 78 - 54
SJST -1 x 1U ....very glad I did some Neutral game results research on my spreadsheet and hope this play can pay me dividends.....
Their neutral site record this year: (Wyoming could only beat Long Beach out of that group, in my opinion)
UTEP W 71 - 65
UNC Green W 69 - 64
Long B. W 82 - 66
DePaul TEASED to +8.5 seems like a great KEY ...going to look for two others to join it in a 1 U teaser
-they beat GT two times and easily last week as a -1 pt home favorite
-I see a tight ball game so +8.5 pts is gold
- Likely key I will take is UNC teased down as they are hot, aside for stinky 2nd half vs Duke last game
Totals seem tough tomorrow.....enjoy and
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Wednesday Totals or Sides:
Grambling Over 127.5 x HALF U
-they like scoring on the road more than at home which is rare..... Southern a good team and defense but I cannot ignore the fact that this is a one and done game so Grambling will shoot the 3pt or hack Southern if ahead by enough that they need to do that to clawback
UTEP - Liberty Under 138.5 x HALF U
-both teams tend to score under this total when they play a strong team
-2 March games last year produced a total both times Under 130 pts....... 'if it walks like a duck'
SC St. -14.5 x HALF U - this team can flat out play at both ends and Coppin St is 1 - 17 on the road.....it will be a neutral site and I honestly believe Coppin will score 65 and SC St. 85 if so.....otherwise, this could end up an ugly kind of score like 78 - 54
SJST -1 x 1U ....very glad I did some Neutral game results research on my spreadsheet and hope this play can pay me dividends.....
Their neutral site record this year: (Wyoming could only beat Long Beach out of that group, in my opinion)
UTEP W 71 - 65
UNC Green W 69 - 64
Long B. W 82 - 66
DePaul TEASED to +8.5 seems like a great KEY ...going to look for two others to join it in a 1 U teaser
-they beat GT two times and easily last week as a -1 pt home favorite
-I see a tight ball game so +8.5 pts is gold
- Likely key I will take is UNC teased down as they are hot, aside for stinky 2nd half vs Duke last game
Adding: 5 PT teasers $30 each payout $60 profit per win
A. Virginia +6 (GTECH has not beaten them in 10 games!) with Southern -1.5 with WVU -2 < facing a Buffaloes team that is 0 - 10 on the road this year and WVU is well put together and beat Colorado in their building which is tough to do!!
B. SJST +6 (won easily 2 games this year vs Wyo) with Arkansas (S.Car record on road is horrid) with WVU -2
1. Davidson Ov 124.5
2. Arkansas +0.5
3. Over Colorado 122.5
4. Over Minny 121.5
5. Depaul +5.5
6. Lamar +18 << games were way closer for than this spread
Might add 1-2 more later....have to show this before Davidson game begins...gl
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Adding: 5 PT teasers $30 each payout $60 profit per win
A. Virginia +6 (GTECH has not beaten them in 10 games!) with Southern -1.5 with WVU -2 < facing a Buffaloes team that is 0 - 10 on the road this year and WVU is well put together and beat Colorado in their building which is tough to do!!
B. SJST +6 (won easily 2 games this year vs Wyo) with Arkansas (S.Car record on road is horrid) with WVU -2
1. Davidson Ov 124.5
2. Arkansas +0.5
3. Over Colorado 122.5
4. Over Minny 121.5
5. Depaul +5.5
6. Lamar +18 << games were way closer for than this spread
Might add 1-2 more later....have to show this before Davidson game begins...gl
Calipari is the most over rated and terrible confidence building coach I have ever seen.....over coaches his players to the point of confusion and loss of energy
Arkansas has done this act at least 3 times I have followed their games the past 4 weeks or so
They just jack up 3 pt shots early in the clock it seems and the other teams climbs back into the game
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Calipari is the most over rated and terrible confidence building coach I have ever seen.....over coaches his players to the point of confusion and loss of energy
Arkansas has done this act at least 3 times I have followed their games the past 4 weeks or so
They just jack up 3 pt shots early in the clock it seems and the other teams climbs back into the game
Might unwind my side betting .....some weird stuff is happening (like most years) and its too making assumptions when guessing is all you need. Not my style. I will look at TOTALS here and there and preserve cash for those moments that I like such as the ZAGA -STMARY'S game the other day...
Cheers
When I have to do this and it gives me a profitable escape, I just have to laugh and watch instead haha
Just bet Colorado winning margin and some WVU plays:
$20 > WVU to win by 3 - 6 pts @+550
$30 > " to win by 1 - 2 pts @ +1100
$20 > Colorado to win by 1-2 pts @ +1300
$30 > " to win by 3 - 6 pts @ +850
$20 > " to win by 7 - 9 pts @ +1500 << $300 profit back - $120 cost
Total cost = 1 U
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Might unwind my side betting .....some weird stuff is happening (like most years) and its too making assumptions when guessing is all you need. Not my style. I will look at TOTALS here and there and preserve cash for those moments that I like such as the ZAGA -STMARY'S game the other day...
Cheers
When I have to do this and it gives me a profitable escape, I just have to laugh and watch instead haha
Just bet Colorado winning margin and some WVU plays:
$20 > WVU to win by 3 - 6 pts @+550
$30 > " to win by 1 - 2 pts @ +1100
$20 > Colorado to win by 1-2 pts @ +1300
$30 > " to win by 3 - 6 pts @ +850
$20 > " to win by 7 - 9 pts @ +1500 << $300 profit back - $120 cost
-have a hard time seeing two teams that can play defense deciding to turn this into an offensive display that jacks up shots early or regularly from individual play
-first game between them total 137 in regulation
-both have good defenses and offenses and both are in the NCAA tourney with no advantage here to play sloppy on defense
- I think this total is 6-7 pts too high for a neutral court
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Thursday Totals:
BYU Under 146.5 x HALF U
-have a hard time seeing two teams that can play defense deciding to turn this into an offensive display that jacks up shots early or regularly from individual play
-first game between them total 137 in regulation
-both have good defenses and offenses and both are in the NCAA tourney with no advantage here to play sloppy on defense
- I think this total is 6-7 pts too high for a neutral court
QUAD UNIT play and DOUBLE PLAY > Louisville +6 - won 11 in a row .....this will cover up a 2 loss DOUBLE UP or just like it that much!!
> UNDER 147 x 2U to cover a bad play earlier.....playing these now
Time to live or die on my large NCAAF+NCAAB success account stack ..... only baseball season is left till the fall and I have put in a lot of work on NCAAB and hoping to press and reward now till the end of the tourney
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
QUAD UNIT play and DOUBLE PLAY > Louisville +6 - won 11 in a row .....this will cover up a 2 loss DOUBLE UP or just like it that much!!
> UNDER 147 x 2U to cover a bad play earlier.....playing these now
Time to live or die on my large NCAAF+NCAAB success account stack ..... only baseball season is left till the fall and I have put in a lot of work on NCAAB and hoping to press and reward now till the end of the tourney
Auburn Under 141 x HALF U > two of the better defenses and Tenn cannot win a slugfest if they don't play tight
Cornell Under 161 x 1U > check out Dartmouth defense ...pretty darn good and seem to have figured out Cornell 3 pt shooting sets when they play....both games have come nowhere near this number
Betting orgy today....for better or for worse ....will roll some of these Double Ups into tomorrow if I have to
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
1/2 pm game DOUBLE UPs >
Auburn Under 141 x HALF U > two of the better defenses and Tenn cannot win a slugfest if they don't play tight
Cornell Under 161 x 1U > check out Dartmouth defense ...pretty darn good and seem to have figured out Cornell 3 pt shooting sets when they play....both games have come nowhere near this number
Betting orgy today....for better or for worse ....will roll some of these Double Ups into tomorrow if I have to
UC San Diego (fave team to bet!) OVER 136 << they are going to show the Committee how good they are today ..... and I suspect UCIRVINE will hang but I see a 78 -73 type of game with both teams shooting and setting their players well
If either team loses.... DUKE UNDER 147 x 2U has been bet already to D-UP
Other:
Over Alabama 178 >
Alabama +3
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Double Ups:
Play #1 - Yale - 7.5 x 1U NO
Play #2 also a Double Up - VCU -9.5 x 1U NO
LOUISVILLE +6x 4U is my saviour.....
Auburn Under 141 x HALF U .... no D-UP needed
Cornell Under 161 x 1U ..... no D-UP needed
Next:
Miami - Akron Over 158 x 1U
UC San Diego (fave team to bet!) OVER 136 << they are going to show the Committee how good they are today ..... and I suspect UCIRVINE will hang but I see a 78 -73 type of game with both teams shooting and setting their players well
If either team loses.... DUKE UNDER 147 x 2U has been bet already to D-UP
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