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Last2thirst Conference Play and March to Madness Season

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Posted: #226
On a few. Good info and plays

 
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Posted: #227
Quote Originally Posted by jtelemaq:

On a few. Good info and plays


Cheers....hope you can use an angle! 

Results so far:

Kansas +2  2x         

Houston -2.5 2x ...

Michigan +2.5  2x ...

Texas AM  +5 2x  .....upcoming result....up by 4 as they approach half
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Posted: #228
RESULTS :

Texas AM  +5 2x ...shoulda pressed 

Colorado -10.5  2x ....the second half was tough to watch! 

Rhode Island +2.5  4x .....in a dogfight right now


3-2   +2 U so far
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Posted: #229

Omg that game was insanity, an_cheerspeace_5 We covered!

 
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Posted: #230
Phew.....that was a dogfight!!

Rhode Island +2.5  4x .....

4 - 2  +6 Units
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Posted: #231
What I have left.....

Kentucky -5  2x ....

Ole Miss -2.5  4x ....they are on the cusp of a NCAAB Tourney bid with this amazing run and I like how they can play lockdown defense to halt runs in games and keep going themselves....Bama has shown some lack of discipline on the road

Arizona -5  2x ....two tough games in a row on the road for Ducks and Zona has the same scenario as Colorado above at home and a good opportunity to draw blood from a Conference rival

BYU  +4.5  2x ....

Give me California +9  4x .....Wash has lost 9 in a row and Cal has been playing a lot of close games and beat WSU on the road their last game .....wow what a bad day for Cali 

5 - 3  +4 Units right now
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Posted: #232

Had a winning day today. Most of it following you. Thank you L2T Cheers. an_cheers

 
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Posted: #233
Looking forward to watching the BYU/ZAGA game online....the building is going to be unreal!!!
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Posted: #234
Quote Originally Posted by Skydome:

Had a winning day today. Most of it following you. Thank you L2T Cheers. an_cheers


Awww.....that makes me feel good that I could help. Thanks! Nice going 
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Posted: #235
I layed off this SDST game if you noticed.....too much pressure on their NCAAB record of consecutive wins....they could cover by 30 or feel the pressure from their opponent and weight of the record and that is what exactly happened.....

Great comeback from down by 12 at the half.....down by 1 now.....now 3....they need a 3 pter and I suspect they will tie to go into OT or win by 1


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Posted: #236
6 - 5  EVEN....with BYU covering.....betting can be such a grind some days haha


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Posted: #237
3 Plays stands out right now on Sunday:

Creighton -5.5   5x....fave home team out there especially when they play a team that is more defensive, then offensive

South D. St. -5.5  3x

Penn St. +1  2x
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Posted: #238
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

3 Plays stands out right now on Sunday:

Creighton -5.5   5x....fave home team out there especially when they play a team that is more defensive, then offensive

South D. St. -5.5  3x

Penn St. +1  2x

Down by 13 at the half.....here comes the charge by Nittany Lions in the second half ....up by 3 but this game is far from over even though P State have Top 3 seed pedigree!
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Posted: #239
 1 - 2 Even....lost one by a half point....hope some of you got the -5 for a push....S. Dakota hit a last 5 seconds long bomb 3 pt to kill us ...normally a team runs out of clock with no hope
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Posted: #240
I have to keep remembering that Sunday play is home result at a high percentage  as players fly in the day /evening before  usually and go out / don't sleep well for the afternoon game

Sunday home SU so far is 26 - 7........last week 15 - 9 and the week before was 12 - 6 

Combined 3 weeks.....53 - 22 or better than 70%  .....as the season finishes....senior and junior players finish hard and show off/ bear down as they will be leaving school soon .....I remember my days...really liked to finish strong in the last 2 months of the year over my 5 seasons
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Posted: #241
Monday:

Have a look at Louisville on the road....who have they beat and more importantly who have they lost to and by how much??

FSU is 14-0 at home and have the game to give Louisville fits all night long

FSU  -2.5   4x

OkSt. Cowboys... +15  2x ....they are hot!! Hangover for Jayhawks off of the Baylor game
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Posted: #242

keep up the good work!

 
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Posted: #243

Best of Luck Thirst an_cheers

 
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Posted: #244
Sac / Babyface 

1-0   + 4 Units

FSU looks like they can handle Duke in a big game....that was quite the second half
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Posted: #245
Some nice fade plays today....

LaSalle +11 ...2x ....do not like this Davidson team and LaSalle rarely gets blown out on the road

Akron -1  3x ....BWG is 1-8 ATS at home and Akron is 8-2 ATS ...why would anyone go contrarian on this play??

Buffalo -1  3x  ....Ohio has beat the 3 worst MAC teams in a row and how does this prepare them for the #1 offensive rebounding team in college with two wonky starting guards??
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Posted: #246
Got whacked last night.....gonna try and get some back

S. Illinois -2.5   4x ...great home team vs weak road team

Florida  -5   2x

Maryland +1  2x
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Posted: #247
USC +5    3x  and 1x moneyline

BOL 
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Posted: #248
Quote Originally Posted by Last2thirst:

USC +5    3x  and 1x moneyline

BOL 

Ya baby!!! 
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Posted: #249

new_cool

 
 
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Posted: #250
Saturday plays : metrics I use vs. a feel / intuition  plays

Penn St.  +4.5   2x    feel bet

Providence +8   2x ....metrics > Gillespie is a big part of their 2nd half surge that keeps them winning at home....with him wonky or maybe not even playing, the rest of the young lineup will have difficulty with a very frisky road team here

Baylor   -8  2x   metrics > statistically superior on offense and defense and the TCU defense is terrible so Baylor is going to roll! They are fantastic on the road

ECU   +5.5  2x ...feel > sneaky tough at home for any visiting team

Bradley -2.5  ....metrics > fantastic stats /superior to Loy-Chic and they are beasts at home....big game for both > go with home crowd

FSU  -3.5  5x   .....metrics > My Play of the Day early games..... their size advantage everywhere and foot speed will take over in this game and likely win by 5 or more ....from what I have seen of them lately, like KANSAS , they are peaking at the right time and look very very tough going into the NCAAB tourney

Will have some more later


Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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