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Last2thirst Conference Play and March to Madness Season

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Posted: #51
Getting some money back.....2-0 +5 Units last night ...re-do of rankings  > UPDATED AFTER Sunday Dec. 29
#1 -  DUKE  
-----------------------------------------------------
#2-   Oregon
#3 - Gonzaga
#4 - Kansas 
#5 - Butler
-----------------------------------------------------
#6 - Michigan
#7 - San Diego St.
#8 - WVU
#9 - Ohio State
#10- Dayton

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Baylor  12. Michigan St.  13. Texas Tech   14. Penn St. 15. FSU  16.  Xavier  17. Colorado  18. Stanford    19. Louisville is permanently here until they beat a top team easily 20. Memphis

next in line
 Maryland, Arizona, Wichita St., Auburn, Virginia, DePaul,  USC, N. Iowa, Washington, Arkansas, Georgetown, Marquette, BYU,  Liberty, Rutgers, VTech, Indiana,  Kent St., Utah St, Creighton, St. Mary's,   St. Louis,  UCONN, New Mexico, VCU, NC State, LSU, Pitt, Rhode Is., Harvard, 

Very Good despite record:
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Alabama, Purdue
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Posted: #52
Forgot about Villanova....! Huge respect for their coach and how he brings his team along...was supposed to be a maybe re-build but they showed something vs. Kansas in their last game - they are ready!

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Baylor  12. Michigan St.  13. Texas Tech  14. Villanova 15. Penn St.  16.  FSU  17. Colorado  18. Xavier  19. Stanford    20. Louisville is permanently here until they beat a top team easily 
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Posted: #53
Plays:

DePaul 5 pt teaser with San Fran and Gonzaga  which makes these 
+6.5 with -1 with -29 for 3x pays 4x

Moneyline parlay

SF with TCU with Weber st pays -116   2.5 times pays 2x
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Posted: #54
Sneaky teams to watch out for when betting ATS: (new category)

Green Bay 6-9  (outstanding offensive shooting > upset tonight) ...play vs teams that play a defensive style...forces them to open up

Northeastern 8-6  especially against good teams...gritty/grinding team

Pennsylvannia 8-5 ...played a ton of great teams early and held their own but came out with a .500 record...can score against anyone

Harvard 9-4 (soon to be 10-4) ...just finishing back to back wins vs two rested good California teams in a 3 hour time zone time difference on back to back nights hitting well over 50% from the 3 pt line...unreal

Very Overrated by Vegas:

Kentucky, Louisville, Davidson, Virginia, 

Adding to watchlist:    Mississippi St.
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Posted: #55
Big Play!  5 Units

Northern Iowa -4.5 @ Illinois State

GRC beat ILL St. by 5 @ ILL St.

N. Iowa beat GRC by 25 @ GRC

These offensive stats are sick and their defense is ranked 79th.

Offense
Season StatsRank
POINTS/G77.869
FG %48.326
3PT %38.032
FT %77.123
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Posted: #56
Really like these plays for 1 Unit:

Georgetown +1
Duke            -23 ...B.C. does not have the shooting or rebounding to compete

Drake   +4.5 ....beating Murray St on the road is a big deal ...they can shoot and rebound...gutsy performance by Bradley two nights ago....2 nights in a row? I am betting against it.








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Posted: #57
Impress list (last 16 hrs)
Seton Hall
Harvard
TCU
Memphis....good comeback against a decent team
Yale ...hung in there with UNC and won second half

Mississippi State....dominated a very good team
Louisiana Tech win by 41 on the road...wow
Miami
Duke!  
Butler


Not impressed:
DePaul
San Fran
Kent St.
Gonzaga.....should have covered that spread vs a 2-12 team?
N. Iowa
Georgetown

Sneaky: Air Force > over 100 pts vs a decent team
Providence .....after 2 terrible games they have risen on their shooting



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Posted: #58
Impress list:
SMU
Creighton

Not impressed:
San Diego St.
Wichita St.
UCONN 
Utah St.

Sneaky: 
Wofford ...upset UNC a while ago and going after another good team
Cinci ....especially at home vs good teams...rise to the occasion sometimes
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Posted: #59
UPDATED AFTER Thurs. Jan 1st , 2020 - Happy New Year!
#1 -  DUKE  
-----------------------------------------------------
#2-  Oregon
#3 - Kansas
#4 - Butler
#5 - Gonzaga
-----------------------------------------------------
#6 - Michigan
#7 - WVU
#8 - San Diego St.
#9 - Ohio State
#10- Dayton

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Baylor  12. Michigan St.  13. Texas Tech  14. Villanova 15. Penn St.  16.  FSU  17. Colorado  18. Stanford  19. Memphis   20. Louisville is permanently here until they beat a top team easily 

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Posted: #60
next in line
Auburn, Maryland, Arizona, Washington, Creighton, Wichita St., Virginia, USC, Arkansas, BYU, VTech, Rutgers, DePaul, Indiana,    St. Mary's, N. Iowa, St. Louis, Miss St.,Liberty, Harvard,  VCU, NC State, LSU, Georgetown, Marquette,   Pitt, Rhode Is., Seton Hall, Utah St, Miami, SMU, Yale, New Mexico, Lou. Tech, UCONN

Very Overrated by Vegas:

Kentucky, Louisville, Davidson, Virginia, 

Very Good despite record:
Minnesota, Wisconsin, Alabama, Purdue

Sneaky teams to watch out for when betting ATS: (new category)

Green Bay 6-9  (outstanding offensive shooting > upset tonight) ...play vs teams that play a defensive style...forces them to open up

Northeastern 8-6  especially against good teams...gritty/grinding team

Pennsylvannia 8-5 ...played a ton of great teams early and held their own but came out with a .500 record...can score against anyone

Wofford ...upset UNC a while ago and going after another good team
Cinci ....especially at home vs good teams...rise to the occasion sometimes

Air Force > over 100 pts vs a decent team
Providence .....after 2 terrible games they have risen on their shooting



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Posted: #61
Plays Thursday:

Minnesota +7.5   1x...should have the lead at one point and hang around

LaSalle  +10      2x...this is more of a motivation and fade Dayton team who have been on point through their first 12 games but now big spreads getting tougher to cover on the road

Utah -2   1x ...sound home team and Beavers are not good road team

Washington -7.5  2x ....can flat out score and Bruins defense will not stem that tide

Ducks  -1.5  1x ....head says Colorado but I like Pritchard and full court press to play a roll in the second half when chips are down


Leans.....USC and SF(not the type of team to lose 2 in a row by STM is fuego lately)
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Posted: #62
Big  changes coming in the rankings.....will give it another day and then change before Saturday games

IMPRESSED: 
Sparty makes their move into the Top 10 soon
Dayton makes a statement
Colorado confirms they could be a legit Top 10 team
Minny proves its ATS value once again
VCU with a solid win
Utah a very solid win
Gonzaga ...dug deep to win by 13 on the road after down at half
Stanford...solid-dominating win
St. Mary's ...dominated a good SF team on the road!
USC ...solid win on the road


DOWN ON: 
Oregon is a great team but could not hold their position losing to a very good team

St. Louis....should have beaten or kept it close to Dusquesne

Beavers if good, would have kept it closer

Washington lost to UCLA??? at home no-less
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Posted: #63
#1 -  DUKE  
-----------------------------------------------------
#2-  Kansas
#3 - Gonzaga
#4 - Butler
#5 - Michigan
-----------------------------------------------------
#6 - WVU
#7 - Oregon
#8 - San Diego St.
#9 - Dayton
#10- Ohio St.

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Michigan St.  12. Baylor  13. Colorado  14. Texas Tech               
15. Villanova 16.  Penn St.  17. Stanford  18. FSU  19. Memphis   20. Louisville is permanently here until they beat a top team easily 
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Posted: #64
next in line
Auburn, Maryland, Arizona, Creighton, Wichita St.,  USC,  Virginia, Arkansas, BYU, VTech, Rutgers, St. Mary's, DePaul, Indiana, N. Iowa,  Miss St.,Liberty, Harvard,  VCU, NC State, LSU, Washington, Georgetown, Marquette,   Pitt, Rhode Is., Seton Hall, Utah St, Miami, SMU, Yale, New Mexico, Lou. Tech, St. Louis, UCONN
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
 
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Posted: #65
Over-rated:
-Ohio State

Not a Good Night:
-Georgetown


Under-rated:
-Wisconsin
-Houston


Impressive night:
-Rutgers
-Wright St.
-Seton Hall
-Kent St.
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Posted: #66
This is going to be a monster day for shakeup of the Top 20...lots of great matchups:

Double up day for me.....early 1 or 2 Unit plays will be attempted to doubled later if I LOSE THE early game. 

Play #1 LSU  -1   1x 

Play #2  NC State -1.5  2x

Play #3 Penn St   -3    1x 

Will find plays to double up these later......have some in mind
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Posted: #67
Play #1 DUP =  DePaul  -2.5  2x

Play #2 DUP = Princeton/Penn Over 147.5    4x

Play #3 DUP = TCU -4     2x

If either play above was a winner in the first round, then will play them for half of the DUP....



Playing also....no DUP > 1 Unit unless otherwise stated

WVU   +10.5   2x
Wash St.  +2
Evansville  -1.5
Miami   +10
Texas   +9
Vandy   +1
San D. St.  +3  3x



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Posted: #68
Impressive:
Baylor, Duke (wow), Texas Tech, LSU, Akron, FSU, Virginia, Wichita, Auburn, Arizona, SanDiego St.

Good:
Baylor, Maryland, Georgia, Kentucky, Marquette, Kansas, Loutech, Nevada, BYU, SMU

Downgrade:
Miami,  Okie St., Pitt, NCST,  Memphis, Louisville, Villanova, TCU DePaul, VTECH, Ole Miss, Gonzaga

Sneaky/Value team:
-Wofford
-Bradley
-Providence
-USF
-Notre Dame
-Belmont
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Posted: #69
#1 -  DUKE  
-----------------------------------------------------
#2-  Kansas
#3 - Butler
#4 - Michigan
#5 - San Diego St.
-----------------------------------------------------
#6 - Gonzaga
#7 - Oregon
#8 - WVU
#9 - Dayton
#10- Baylor

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Michigan St.  12. Texas Tech  13. Colorado  14. FSU              
15. Auburn 16.  Penn St.  17. Stanford  18. Arizona  19. Maryland   20. Wichita St.

next in line
Ohio St., Virginia, Villanova, Memphis Creighton,  USC,  Virginia, Arkansas, BYU,  Rutgers, St. Mary's, Marquette, LSU, Louisville,  N. Iowa, Liberty, Harvard, Kentucky,  VCU, Washington, Rhode Is., Seton Hall, Notre Dame, SMU,  Loutech, Yale, New Mexico, Utah St.,  St. Louis, Georgia, Kent St, Wright St., Akron
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Posted: #70
Plays Sunday:

Richmond +3  1x  ....been fading this team for a while and they are now healthy and their schedule will have some more regularity. I am also expecting their shooting to now pick up like earlier in the season....RI is tough to beat at home

G. Mason +7  2x ...too many points for the road team vs a good GMASON team

Michigan +9  1x ...pride will kick in here ...line is going too high

Duquesne -3.5   2x....Davidson is a terrible road shooting team

Lafayette  -2.5   2x ...Bucknell is terrible this year....scratching my head on why this line is dropping?

Xavier Under 145   2x ...both teams struggle with the 3 and Xavier is a very strong defensive team

Eyeing two lines to see if they change.....USC and Colorado

BOL ....need to get on a roll....been leaking Units every day it seems. Good teams are very fickle this year and Vegas been laying great traps on their lines


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Posted: #71
Good today:
Oregon St.
Sparty
Richmond
VCU
Xavier
Illinois

Bad today:
Colorado
Michigan
Wright St.
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Posted: #72
WVU BIG tomorrow!  -2  3x ....no way are they losing two in a row on the road although, it can be tough to win at Okie St. The team will dig in to win this with their tenacious play in the key.  To go to Ohio St. and do what they did...speaks volumes
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Posted: #73
Washington with a powerful win over USC....who get knocked down a notch and Huskies back in the good graces! Scary shooting team they are....
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Posted: #74
UPDATED after TUESDAY Jan 7th.

#1 -  DUKE  
-----------------------------------------------------
#2-  Kansas
#3 - Butler
#4 - San Diego St.
#5 - Gonzaga
-----------------------------------------------------
#6 - WVU
#7 - Michigan St.
#8 - Oregon
#9 - Dayton
#10- Baylor

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Michigan  12. FSU  13. Auburn  14. Maryland              
15. Stanford 16.  Colorado 17. Arizona 18. Wichita St.  19. Texas Tech  20. Penn St.

next in line
Memphis Creighton, Rutgers, Arkansas, BYU, Ohio St., Virginia, Villanova, Kentucky,  Louisville , St. Mary's, N. Iowa,  Harvard, LSU, Liberty,  VCU, Washington, Marquette, Rhode Is., Seton Hall, Notre Dame, SMU, USC,  Loutech, Yale, New Mexico, Utah St.,  Kent St., Georgia, St. Louis, Akron
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Posted: #75
Re-jig after final game results:

Poised for T- 10:  
11. Michigan  12. FSU  13. Auburn  14. Maryland              
15. Stanford 16. Texas Tech  17. Arizona   18. Wichita St.  19.Colorado    20. Penn St.

next in line
Memphis, Villanova,   Rutgers, Arkansas, BYU, Ohio St., Virginia, Creighton Kentucky,  Louisville , St. Mary's, N. Iowa,  Harvard, LSU, Liberty,  VCU, Washington, Marquette, Rhode Is., Seton Hall, Notre Dame, SMU, New Mexico, USC,  Loutech, Yale,  Kent St.,  Georgia,  St. Louis, Akron
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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