Notre Dame PK (3U)...they are super tough at this time of the year and have one of the best motivational and tactical coaches in college so I expect them to be dialed into this opportunity with a berth in the NCAA tourney on the line the reest of the way and them getting back one of the best players in ccollege next week
Drake -5 (2U)...this team is very tough at home and Valpo are a shell of a team like their past.....Drake playing /scoring very well right now
Virginia -18.5 (2U)...call this a stubborn play over Pitt who have been forcing me to lose money lately with their backdoor covers....different story today vs the most disciplined team in college shooting 29th in FT and not allowing very poor teams to score over 50 usually...Pitt can't play defense so I expect Virginia to score over 70 and have some fun/hit FTs and 3Pts all day
Washington -2.5 (2U)....IN DIRE NEED OF A WIN to solidify NCAA resume
Other Tough Homecourt Teams with good odds (this is my magic formula at this time of the year!....tend to hit a high % of these according to my past year playbook)
Mississippi St. -7...both teams playing well but 17-1 at home?
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
3 o'clock plays and later:
Notre Dame PK (3U)...they are super tough at this time of the year and have one of the best motivational and tactical coaches in college so I expect them to be dialed into this opportunity with a berth in the NCAA tourney on the line the reest of the way and them getting back one of the best players in ccollege next week
Drake -5 (2U)...this team is very tough at home and Valpo are a shell of a team like their past.....Drake playing /scoring very well right now
Virginia -18.5 (2U)...call this a stubborn play over Pitt who have been forcing me to lose money lately with their backdoor covers....different story today vs the most disciplined team in college shooting 29th in FT and not allowing very poor teams to score over 50 usually...Pitt can't play defense so I expect Virginia to score over 70 and have some fun/hit FTs and 3Pts all day
Washington -2.5 (2U)....IN DIRE NEED OF A WIN to solidify NCAA resume
Other Tough Homecourt Teams with good odds (this is my magic formula at this time of the year!....tend to hit a high % of these according to my past year playbook)
Mississippi St. -7...both teams playing well but 17-1 at home?
If you tailed my early plays....SORRY! Home court means nothing today and so I will continue to ride this bias....just caught a bad day or matchup issues for some reason.
Texas -5
Evansville -2
Akron -1.5
N.Illinois -3.5
Virginia Tech -3 (2U)
DOUBLE UP PLAY....Utah -3 (6U)
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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If you tailed my early plays....SORRY! Home court means nothing today and so I will continue to ride this bias....just caught a bad day or matchup issues for some reason.
Richmond -1 (3U)...promised myself I would only bet this team one more time this year and I think I have the right situation. They have been good to me most of the time
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Late Plays:
Richmond -1 (3U)...promised myself I would only bet this team one more time this year and I think I have the right situation. They have been good to me most of the time
Syracuse +14 (3U)....seriously thought the 2-3 would not be an issue for UNC last game but obviously it was. Similar foe today in Duke so this line is too big
Old Dominion +4 (2U)...on quite the roll....2 bucket cushion is nice
Gonzaga -5 (3U)....their play has me believing and that last road win was mighty impressive....these 2 teams have history and Zags will not take BYU lightly and with Haws wonky....like my chances
Weber St. -2 (4U)....deadly home team!! Rarely do I get a home line this low and no injury issues
OVER 146 (2U)...IDAHO/WEBER
Arizona +7.5 (2U)....big over reaction to losing one player ...Miller is too good of a coach to not find a way to keep this close
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Other Late Plays:
Syracuse +14 (3U)....seriously thought the 2-3 would not be an issue for UNC last game but obviously it was. Similar foe today in Duke so this line is too big
Old Dominion +4 (2U)...on quite the roll....2 bucket cushion is nice
Gonzaga -5 (3U)....their play has me believing and that last road win was mighty impressive....these 2 teams have history and Zags will not take BYU lightly and with Haws wonky....like my chances
Weber St. -2 (4U)....deadly home team!! Rarely do I get a home line this low and no injury issues
OVER 146 (2U)...IDAHO/WEBER
Arizona +7.5 (2U)....big over reaction to losing one player ...Miller is too good of a coach to not find a way to keep this close
Houston -21 (2U)....injury issues for ECU and Houston might have some fun today rather than keeping the score low....remember the Virginia line yesterday vs. Pitt? Houston is one of the best home teams in college period!!
Purdue -18,5 ...same logic, also, on Sundays, large spreads seemed to get covered easily by dominant home teams
Nevada -16.5 (2U)...same logic as above
Nebraska -1.5 (4U)....My Play of the Day. One of my most consistently dominant home courts no matter who they are playing. This is one of the best Huskers teams in years.
NC State -1 ....not buying the FSU superiority here especially when NCST is a traditionally dominant home court....
HOMECOURT did not work on Saturday but I don't expect that anomaly to continue.....proceed with caution anyway
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Sunday:
Houston -21 (2U)....injury issues for ECU and Houston might have some fun today rather than keeping the score low....remember the Virginia line yesterday vs. Pitt? Houston is one of the best home teams in college period!!
Purdue -18,5 ...same logic, also, on Sundays, large spreads seemed to get covered easily by dominant home teams
Nevada -16.5 (2U)...same logic as above
Nebraska -1.5 (4U)....My Play of the Day. One of my most consistently dominant home courts no matter who they are playing. This is one of the best Huskers teams in years.
NC State -1 ....not buying the FSU superiority here especially when NCST is a traditionally dominant home court....
HOMECOURT did not work on Saturday but I don't expect that anomaly to continue.....proceed with caution anyway
Indiana -2.5 (5U)....primed for a playoff push and played well out of the break in their first game....Dallas not so much and now they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights with all kinds of stench hanging around the team from the press......and they played on the West Coast....jetlag, tired from 2 games back to back out there and back home to all kinds of controversy
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
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Monday NBA play:
Indiana -2.5 (5U)....primed for a playoff push and played well out of the break in their first game....Dallas not so much and now they are playing their 3rd game in 4 nights with all kinds of stench hanging around the team from the press......and they played on the West Coast....jetlag, tired from 2 games back to back out there and back home to all kinds of controversy
Alabama +1 (2U)...real good at home and need this....Florida will keep it close buts its the CT defense which will win this down the stretch
B. Green +4....can't make a case for Ohio to cover vs this BCGR team
UNC -10....they are locked into a good seeding I am sure and I can see them playing easy and carefree for their home crowd without a worry
Creighton -9 (3U) ....not going to overthink this....yes DePaul has been playing well on the road but Creighton's play at home is worth a few extra pts where they shoot lights out and will play free and easy tonight knowing that they are in the NCAA and this game can't affect their resume
Baylor -3.5 (2U)....cannot take the Sooners on the road and Baylor are beasts at home normally...curious why this is dropping but I will take it
St .Bonnaventure -2 (4U)...My Play of the Day....great at home and they have great stats overall with Davidson so-so on the road
Boise +4 (2U)...Malik Pope is a big loss for SDST and I think this is a one bucket game for sure!!...Boise will be very motivated!!!
Plenty of home teams again....but have been getting crushed by visitors on my picks lately. Is Vegas posting sucker lines ??
Proving is hard. Talk is easy.
0
Well that wasnt very good Monday:
1 - 5 ( - 9 Units)
Tuesday Plays:
Alabama +1 (2U)...real good at home and need this....Florida will keep it close buts its the CT defense which will win this down the stretch
B. Green +4....can't make a case for Ohio to cover vs this BCGR team
UNC -10....they are locked into a good seeding I am sure and I can see them playing easy and carefree for their home crowd without a worry
Creighton -9 (3U) ....not going to overthink this....yes DePaul has been playing well on the road but Creighton's play at home is worth a few extra pts where they shoot lights out and will play free and easy tonight knowing that they are in the NCAA and this game can't affect their resume
Baylor -3.5 (2U)....cannot take the Sooners on the road and Baylor are beasts at home normally...curious why this is dropping but I will take it
St .Bonnaventure -2 (4U)...My Play of the Day....great at home and they have great stats overall with Davidson so-so on the road
Boise +4 (2U)...Malik Pope is a big loss for SDST and I think this is a one bucket game for sure!!...Boise will be very motivated!!!
Plenty of home teams again....but have been getting crushed by visitors on my picks lately. Is Vegas posting sucker lines ??
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