NCAAB line move system

NC GREEN wins by 19 !!! (catching 6.5)

another....puppie wins straight up.

wtf

These are the games remaining...and I gotta get to the racetrack...

#641 Santa Clara +

#657 San Fran +

# 663 Irvine +

GL2us

jw11

Still trying to understand your logic......

You took UNC-Green correctly +7 because the line moved the correct way....65% of consensus picks were on Samford so the line should have moved up, and like usual, the public was wrong and UNC-Green won outright. 

Now the Ark LR line moves the opposite way it should and you're playing them...

????? Please help me out and something I may be missing....

MM

Did not play but Deleware was a loser today .. Late movement .. J Mad - 3 to - 4 1/2.. Have to bring in SF ..

Overall, the system is off to a great start, but San Fran not looking to good thus far tonight.  Still time though and you obviously can't win them all.

This system has NOTHING to do with consensus Marketplace.

Nothing at all.

You can go back to the first page of the thread...it's self explanatory.

GL2u

jw11

you WOULD HAVE had the correct side to the system Will.

jw11

The system gives me a 4-3 day.

.....made a few bucks.

3 of the 4 wins were puppies that WON OUTRIGHT...so that seems to be the best feature of this system as 80%+ of our winners so far would have also been M/L wins.

Do the math on that.

FYI...the 1st Half plays were also 4-3.

Louisville lost the 1st Half...but covered game...

Charleston won 1st Half.....but lost game.

So if you played 1st halfs AND full games you went 8-6

Both favorites lost....so my fear of playing the fav's continues...and they just might get shitcanned in the new-improved system.

todays recap...

4 wins...

LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright (by 1 in 2OT)

NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright (by 19)

SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright (by 7)

CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt

3 losses...

CHARLESTON -2..........lost by 11

ARK LIL ROCK -3.........lost by 11

SAN FRAN +1.5...........lost by 6

Thanks much for all the support as we stay patient and learn together !!!

System record updated....16-9

13 of the 16 wins have an underdog winning outright.

SUMMARY as of 01-29-11

16 wins............

TENN +5...................won the game outright

ILLINI-3.5..................won by 10

ARK LR +3.5..............won the game outright

ST PETE pick............won

ST BON +4................won the game outright

FURMAN +6...............won the game outright

RIDER +1.5................won the game outright

RICHM +3..................won the game outright

W.CAROLINA +3.5.....won the game outright by 24

SAMFORD +2.5......,...won the game outright

SAN FRAN +5.5..........won the game outright

WRIGHT ST +4...........won the game outright

LOUISVILLE +5 .........won the game outright by 1 in OT

NC GREENS +6.5........won the game outright by 19

SANTA CLARA +2.......won the game outright by 7

CAL IRVINE +4............lost game by 1pt

9 losses...................

ELON +7...................lost by 8

FORDH +6.................lost by 12 (had 2H lead)

LOY MRMNT +1.5......lost by 2 

BALL ST -1.5.............lost by 2

E.CAR. +3..................lost by 8

S.E MO.ST +2.5........ lost by 9

CHARLESTON -2........lost by 11

ARK LIL ROCK -3.......lost by 11

SAN FRAN +1.5..........lost by 6

I believe the 1H record would be 18-7...if it's not 18-7, it's 19-6

.............................................................

So...... I have some thinking to do before Monday.

I will definitely tweek the system, but not  too much.

.......................................................

*** Check this out >>> I just noticed CAL IRVINE was the first system win (out of 16 wins) that covered for us BUT DIDN"T WIN THE GAME.

That...is unreal. Our other 15 wins won outright.Shocking.

If you are looking to build YOUR OWN SYSTEM...take a good look at the chart above .

Print it out...and study it. Really.

In the many years that I've been at this game, I've learned that you can make more money by studying charts like this than by studying player stats, team stats,concensus' plays,and trying to figure out who the sharpies are on.

Let's face it ...the linemakers know their stuff. They know more than anyone.

And....this is a fact...they play mind games with Joe Public by moving numbers in opposite directions to fool the public into following false line moves....and making it look like Mr Sharp is on this or that game.

I've played the "consensus / line move" system before and it  works...sometimes.And sometimes it doesn't. If it always worked, then everyone would do it and Vegas would be broke.

Is this system perfect ?

No.

No system is perfect. This system may be on a good 2 or 3 or 4 year run ....and turn to shit tomorrow.

But...so far so good.

That's all one can ask for.

See you in the AM.

jw11

JW, I played your system.....dogs and 1st half only...started with NC Green and went 5-1  Thanks

I added  W Virginia and S. Il...they should be plays right????line moved against them and line between pk-6

Only loss was SF(1st half) buy 1/2 point

Thanks, I;ll check it out again today