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NCAAB line move system

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Posted: #151
Charleston absolutely collapsed.
 
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Posted: #152
Charleston crapping the bed
 
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Posted: #153
Down 8 under 4 minutes, sweet.
 
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Posted: #154
Quote Originally Posted by willb3rd:

I believe UNC Greensboro is a play now. Went from +5 to +6.5.
To me that game is moving up from the triple Ot game Green played at Chatt 2 nights ago . Still may play em ..
 
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Posted: #155

5:15 Et

#681 NC Greensboro +6.5 vs Samford 

IS a play

(I bought to 7 but will apply +6.5 to system record)

***I dont think Cof Charlseton covered

jw11

 
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Posted: #156

Charlston covered easily at the half...but collapsed in 2H.

FYI....I believe this system would have a record of 16-4 or maybe even 17-3 if  it were a  1st HALF only system.

FYI.

jw11

 
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Posted: #157
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:


Easiest way to back test it is on https://www.scoresandodds.com/. There is a calendar on the right that you can just click on to go back in time.

I'll try to do some more and see if the NBA works.

I also broke it down so we could see which side does the best - Home Favs, Visitor Dogs, Home Dogs, Visitor Favs.

I may also look at Totals to see if Line Movement can pick the over/under. Say a Total moves 2.5 or 3 points from the open. If it goes up 3 points, play the under. If it goes down 3 points play the over. So far, this seems to be 50/50.

cool...thanks Barn

Let's keep the attitude positive here guys...a long way to go today.

jw11

 
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Posted: #158
Hey JW,

Love the system... Easy to understand and implement....

When I play, I play 1st 1/2, FG and ML if it's the dog..... Caught 2 out of 3 on the louisville game... Thanks for bringing this system in light
 
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Posted: #159

missed Delaware vs JMad...the # changed @ 3:55...game went at 4:00.

Sometimes that happens...oh well.

(I've never bet on Delaware before)

 
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Posted: #160

Quote Originally Posted by shazam1609:

Hey JW,

Love the system... Easy to understand and implement....

When I play, I play 1st 1/2, FG and ML if it's the dog..... Caught 2 out of 3 on the louisville game... Thanks for bringing this system in light

I was thinking of doing the same Shazam.....3 seperate bets.

Like I said at the beginning of this thread, I will re-evaluate the system after 2 weeks....and that will be after tomorrows games.

I jave a pretty good idea of what I will do, but have to think on it a lil more.

GL2us bud

jw11

 

 
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Posted: #161
At 5 dimes West Virginia from +3 to +4.5
 
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Posted: #162
Quote Originally Posted by the-profit:

At 5 dimes West Virginia from +3 to +4.5

Opening Line was 3.5... so doesn't fit the system
 
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Posted: #163

GUYS>>>>NO PLAY ALERT

UTAH +1.5 vs COL ST would be a play BUT

here is an injury to UTAH's 32 scorer and rebounder.

I see OUT INDEF here and questionable elsewhere.

NO PLAY

 
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Posted: #164
jw=what line are you using for openinf line?
 
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Posted: #165

scoresandodds

Guys I will be heading out to the racetrack tonight....

My last post will be about 6:50 ET

FYI

 
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Posted: #166
Arkansas LR?
 
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Posted: #167

8:00 ET

#636 ARKANSAS Lil Rock -3 vs Ark St

IS a play

 
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Posted: #168
oral roberts just fell into the system
 
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Posted: #169
Quote Originally Posted by jw11:

5:15 Et

#681 NC Greensboro +6.5 vs Samford 

 

Greensboro up 20 at the half....I'm really learning something here.

1st H plays would be 18-3 or 17-4......90% winners

 
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Posted: #170
Kansas St from +11.5 to +10
 
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Posted: #171

I"m almost certain of one change to the system...

When a favorite fits...which seems to be rarely...I may only play it for the 1stH

 

thanks for the heads up Will

 
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Posted: #172
sorry -forgot the start within 6 rule
 
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Posted: #173

Quote Originally Posted by willb3rd:

oral roberts just fell into the system

I think I'll stay away from

THE SUMMIT league

and

THE IVY league Will.

gotta draw the line somewhere or I'll be playin High School soon.

LOL.

But by all means...if ya feel it....

GL

BTW ...I appreciate the post

jw11

 
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Posted: #174

I myself have used similar strategies as this one....but you gotta be careful of reverse line movement which creates the trap you're referring to.

Looking at ArkSt v ArkLR which opened at -4.5 now down to -3, when all consensus picks from the public favor ArkLR around 60%.....which would make common sense for those favoring ArkLR to even grow with a smaller line right?? The total jumped from 134 to 143 and line dropped 1.5 points....which makes me believe a lot of heavy smart $ came in on the over and ArkST late in the day, otherwise why would Vegas move the line against the majority? 

I say go against the book and take ArkSt +3. 

 
 
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Posted: #175
just played ark LR -2 first half.
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