The Tar Heels are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall, are 7-1 against the number in their last eight games coming off a win and are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning record. The Blue Devils, meanwhile, are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games and have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 games when facing an opponent with a winning percentage above .600. N.Car +4 /A.Rome
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
The Tar Heels are a perfect 4-0 against the spread in their last four games overall, are 7-1 against the number in their last eight games coming off a win and are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games versus a team with a winning record. The Blue Devils, meanwhile, are 3-7 against the spread in their last 10 NCAA Tournament games and have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 games when facing an opponent with a winning percentage above .600. N.Car +4 /A.Rome
This script will write itself over 40 minutes of play this Saturday night. A blowout either way would not be a fitting ending so I am betting on a nail-biter that might just come down to which team controls the final possession.Duke 79-77/ Best N.Car +4 /By D.Schwab
Duke has won 18 of its last 19 games when facing a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
The last six meetings have produced 154 total points or more.
UNC has scored 73 points or less in six straight games when playing on a neutral court at night.
UNC has lost 1H in 14 of its last 16 games when facing an AP-ranked school.
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This script will write itself over 40 minutes of play this Saturday night. A blowout either way would not be a fitting ending so I am betting on a nail-biter that might just come down to which team controls the final possession.Duke 79-77/ Best N.Car +4 /By D.Schwab
Duke has won 18 of its last 19 games when facing a non-AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
The last six meetings have produced 154 total points or more.
UNC has scored 73 points or less in six straight games when playing on a neutral court at night.
UNC has lost 1H in 14 of its last 16 games when facing an AP-ranked school.
The under is 8-1 in the Wildcats’ last nine neutral site games, is 6-1 in their last seven games overall and is 14-3 in their last 17 games coming off an ATS win. The under is also 4-1 in Villanova’s last five NCAA Tournament games and is 4-1-1 in the Wildcats’ last six games versus a team with a winning record.
On the other side, the under has cashed in seven of the Jayhawks’ last 10 games overall, is 28-13 in their last 41 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite and is 3-1-1 in their last five NCAA Tournament games overall. The under has also cashed in seven of their last nine games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.Vill/Kansas UN 133/ By A.Rome
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The under is 8-1 in the Wildcats’ last nine neutral site games, is 6-1 in their last seven games overall and is 14-3 in their last 17 games coming off an ATS win. The under is also 4-1 in Villanova’s last five NCAA Tournament games and is 4-1-1 in the Wildcats’ last six games versus a team with a winning record.
On the other side, the under has cashed in seven of the Jayhawks’ last 10 games overall, is 28-13 in their last 41 NCAA Tournament games as a favorite and is 3-1-1 in their last five NCAA Tournament games overall. The under has also cashed in seven of their last nine games versus a team with a winning percentage above .600.Vill/Kansas UN 133/ By A.Rome
With Moore in the lineup, my best bet probably would have been Villanova ATS. I am not sure how the Wildcats will adjust on offense with him out of this game. Yet, I do see Wright dialing up the defense to compensate. This only adds value to the UNDER play.Kansas 68-63 /Best UN 133 /By D.Schwab
Kansas has won nine straight games.
Villanova has won 1H in seven straight NCAA Tournament games.
Kansas has seen 134 or more total points in six straight games when facing a Top 10 AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
Villanova has given up 65 points or less in eight straight games.
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With Moore in the lineup, my best bet probably would have been Villanova ATS. I am not sure how the Wildcats will adjust on offense with him out of this game. Yet, I do see Wright dialing up the defense to compensate. This only adds value to the UNDER play.Kansas 68-63 /Best UN 133 /By D.Schwab
Kansas has won nine straight games.
Villanova has won 1H in seven straight NCAA Tournament games.
Kansas has seen 134 or more total points in six straight games when facing a Top 10 AP-ranked school on a neutral court.
Villanova has given up 65 points or less in eight straight games.
I do think the Nova/KU game does go under but I learned a long time ago that unders can turn into overs out of no where especially in b-ball with late FT’s so I’m going to play the Duke over 151!
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I do think the Nova/KU game does go under but I learned a long time ago that unders can turn into overs out of no where especially in b-ball with late FT’s so I’m going to play the Duke over 151!
KANSAS (-190) is a little on the expensive side, but if you don’t want to worry about the points, the Jayhawks are worth a look. Villanova will really miss Moore. I feel like this game is going to get ugly rather quickly.
KANSAS -3.5 (-120) is a slam-dunk play in what is basically the undercard in New Orleans to the game everybody is talking about, UNC-Duke. The Wildcats should roll to a victory here, as Villanova is going to have a very difficult time without Moore. Kansas 71-57 / Best UN 133.5 / By K.Erickson
Yes, Villanova has owned Kansas over the years, but the Jayhawks are playing great basketball, and they’re whole. The Wildcats made the Final Four, which is great, but they’re short their second-leading scorer. That’s too much to overcome.
The UNDER 133.5 (-115) is the best play on the board.
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KANSAS (-190) is a little on the expensive side, but if you don’t want to worry about the points, the Jayhawks are worth a look. Villanova will really miss Moore. I feel like this game is going to get ugly rather quickly.
KANSAS -3.5 (-120) is a slam-dunk play in what is basically the undercard in New Orleans to the game everybody is talking about, UNC-Duke. The Wildcats should roll to a victory here, as Villanova is going to have a very difficult time without Moore. Kansas 71-57 / Best UN 133.5 / By K.Erickson
Yes, Villanova has owned Kansas over the years, but the Jayhawks are playing great basketball, and they’re whole. The Wildcats made the Final Four, which is great, but they’re short their second-leading scorer. That’s too much to overcome.
The UNDER 133.5 (-115) is the best play on the board.
This number might seem high at first glance, but these Blue Devils have been spurting out to hot starts in their recent games.
In nine of Duke’s last 10, the Blue Devils have posted 36 points or more in the first half, with only a pounding Texas Tech team keeping them below that mark.
Coach K likely wants to see his team push the pace, making Armando Bacot run the floor with Duke’s athletic bigs.
Carolina will have no problem if the game starts to pick up speed. The Heels won the last meeting at Cameron Indoor in a game that featured 75 total possessions and 175 total points.
I’m also not worried about either team — especially Duke — having trouble shooting the ball at the Superdome. The fallacy of teams shooting poorly at football stadiums has subsided, and Duke’s best shooting game of the year came in college basketball’s largest dome — the Carrier Dome at Syracuse.
The Blue Devils hung 97 points that day, their most against a power-conference foe all season. Duke 1st H TT OV 36.5/ By S.McNichol
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This number might seem high at first glance, but these Blue Devils have been spurting out to hot starts in their recent games.
In nine of Duke’s last 10, the Blue Devils have posted 36 points or more in the first half, with only a pounding Texas Tech team keeping them below that mark.
Coach K likely wants to see his team push the pace, making Armando Bacot run the floor with Duke’s athletic bigs.
Carolina will have no problem if the game starts to pick up speed. The Heels won the last meeting at Cameron Indoor in a game that featured 75 total possessions and 175 total points.
I’m also not worried about either team — especially Duke — having trouble shooting the ball at the Superdome. The fallacy of teams shooting poorly at football stadiums has subsided, and Duke’s best shooting game of the year came in college basketball’s largest dome — the Carrier Dome at Syracuse.
The Blue Devils hung 97 points that day, their most against a power-conference foe all season. Duke 1st H TT OV 36.5/ By S.McNichol
Even though the Final Four game between Villanova and Kansas may be overshadowed, it’s still a matchup of blue bloods on impressive runs.
Villanova’s second-leading scorer, Justin Moore, is out for the season with a torn Achilles. This is a major blow to the Wildcats, and they will have to find another source of scoring. That means targeting the total here seems like a good idea.
Both Kansas and Villanova boast top-20 adjusted defensive efficiencies (KenPom). Although Kansas may play at a far faster pace than the Wildcats, it does have a tendency to slow teams down.
On defense, the Jayhawks rank 269th at 17.9 seconds per possession, whereas Villanova maintains the 345th-ranked Adjusted Tempo (again, KenPom). This says that Villanova will be able to control the pace of the game, at least partially.
In addition, Nova strives from shooting and making 3s — 38.6% of its total offense has come from beyond the arc. Kansas holds opponents to less than 30% from outside on the season, so this says Villanova will need to get the ball into the interior to find buckets.
On defense, Villanova ranks 20th in Rim and 3 ShotQuality Efficiency. This means the Wildcats will force the Jayhawks to deviate from standard plans and take some unorthodox shots.
Essentially, both teams may have a slow start to contribute to this total. Kansas’ defense and Nova’s overall pace should make this go under, especially early. Vill UN 61.5 to 60 1st Half / By D.J. James
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Even though the Final Four game between Villanova and Kansas may be overshadowed, it’s still a matchup of blue bloods on impressive runs.
Villanova’s second-leading scorer, Justin Moore, is out for the season with a torn Achilles. This is a major blow to the Wildcats, and they will have to find another source of scoring. That means targeting the total here seems like a good idea.
Both Kansas and Villanova boast top-20 adjusted defensive efficiencies (KenPom). Although Kansas may play at a far faster pace than the Wildcats, it does have a tendency to slow teams down.
On defense, the Jayhawks rank 269th at 17.9 seconds per possession, whereas Villanova maintains the 345th-ranked Adjusted Tempo (again, KenPom). This says that Villanova will be able to control the pace of the game, at least partially.
In addition, Nova strives from shooting and making 3s — 38.6% of its total offense has come from beyond the arc. Kansas holds opponents to less than 30% from outside on the season, so this says Villanova will need to get the ball into the interior to find buckets.
On defense, Villanova ranks 20th in Rim and 3 ShotQuality Efficiency. This means the Wildcats will force the Jayhawks to deviate from standard plans and take some unorthodox shots.
Essentially, both teams may have a slow start to contribute to this total. Kansas’ defense and Nova’s overall pace should make this go under, especially early. Vill UN 61.5 to 60 1st Half / By D.J. James
With many of my colleagues finding ways to bet the under, I’m not breaking new territory here. However, I will specifically point out Villanova’s team total.
The Wildcats have already been a slow-tempo team, ranking 345th in pace this season, per KenPom.
In Villanova’s seven postseason games dating back to the start of the Big East Tournament, the Wildcats have averaged 63.9 points per game. Justin Moore played in all seven of those games, averaging 12.7 points and 12.0 field goal attempts over that stretch.
There’s no telling how this shallow Villanova rotation will attempt to make up for losing its second-highest usage player. Collin Gillespie will need to carry an even heavier load, with role players like Caleb Daniels and Brandon Slater expected to make a leap on the fly.
In reality, Jay Wright’s best chance to keep this game within reach is to slow Kansas down into a low-possession battle. In the half-court, Villanova can find ways to put its playmakers in successful positions.
If this game’s tempo picks up, the conditioning of the Wildcats and the effectiveness of Villanova’s little-used bench players will come into question.
When Villanova dealt with a major injury last year, Wright also looked to slow the pace. In the Wildcats’ five games without Gillespie last season, Villanova slowed the tempo, with all five games staying under 65 possessions.
The Wildcats’ final two games last year stayed under 60 possessions, including a season-ending loss to Baylor in which Villanova managed just 51 points. Vill TT UN 64.5 to 62.5 / By S.McNichol
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With many of my colleagues finding ways to bet the under, I’m not breaking new territory here. However, I will specifically point out Villanova’s team total.
The Wildcats have already been a slow-tempo team, ranking 345th in pace this season, per KenPom.
In Villanova’s seven postseason games dating back to the start of the Big East Tournament, the Wildcats have averaged 63.9 points per game. Justin Moore played in all seven of those games, averaging 12.7 points and 12.0 field goal attempts over that stretch.
There’s no telling how this shallow Villanova rotation will attempt to make up for losing its second-highest usage player. Collin Gillespie will need to carry an even heavier load, with role players like Caleb Daniels and Brandon Slater expected to make a leap on the fly.
In reality, Jay Wright’s best chance to keep this game within reach is to slow Kansas down into a low-possession battle. In the half-court, Villanova can find ways to put its playmakers in successful positions.
If this game’s tempo picks up, the conditioning of the Wildcats and the effectiveness of Villanova’s little-used bench players will come into question.
When Villanova dealt with a major injury last year, Wright also looked to slow the pace. In the Wildcats’ five games without Gillespie last season, Villanova slowed the tempo, with all five games staying under 65 possessions.
The Wildcats’ final two games last year stayed under 60 possessions, including a season-ending loss to Baylor in which Villanova managed just 51 points. Vill TT UN 64.5 to 62.5 / By S.McNichol
No, this is not a homer pick. No, this is not because I am going to watch the game live in NOLA. And no, it’s not because I want the Coach K retirement tour to end.
This pick is based on the fact that I truly believe UNC has a greater chance to dethrone Duke than the number implies.
We saw UNC get blown out by 20 in the first meeting vs. Duke this year before getting its revenge in the season finale with a 13-point win. Per ShotQuality, UNC actually lost by one in the first meeting and reaffirmed itself in the second game.
UNC decided to smother everyone else on the court not named Paolo Banchero in the second game, turning Duke into a one-dimensional scoring unit. On the flip side, UNC exposed the Blue Devils’ perimeter defense, spreading them thin and in turn, allowing Armando Bacot to cook on the inside.
UNC will once again have the advantage on the boards, as it has built an identity on crashing the glass and limiting second-chance opportunities for opposing offenses. Since Duke is one of the best offensive units in basketball, the Heels will need to limit the Blue Devils at every chance they can get.
If North Carolina can successfully crash the boards, hit open 3s, limit transition chances for Duke and stay out of foul trouble, then it will be in a prime spot to advance to the title game and bury Coach K once and for all.
You can take UNC at +4.5 as a more safe bet, but I will ride the moneyline in hopes the Tar Heels will continue their red-hot streak. N.Car ML +162 to +150 /By K.Malstrom
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No, this is not a homer pick. No, this is not because I am going to watch the game live in NOLA. And no, it’s not because I want the Coach K retirement tour to end.
This pick is based on the fact that I truly believe UNC has a greater chance to dethrone Duke than the number implies.
We saw UNC get blown out by 20 in the first meeting vs. Duke this year before getting its revenge in the season finale with a 13-point win. Per ShotQuality, UNC actually lost by one in the first meeting and reaffirmed itself in the second game.
UNC decided to smother everyone else on the court not named Paolo Banchero in the second game, turning Duke into a one-dimensional scoring unit. On the flip side, UNC exposed the Blue Devils’ perimeter defense, spreading them thin and in turn, allowing Armando Bacot to cook on the inside.
UNC will once again have the advantage on the boards, as it has built an identity on crashing the glass and limiting second-chance opportunities for opposing offenses. Since Duke is one of the best offensive units in basketball, the Heels will need to limit the Blue Devils at every chance they can get.
If North Carolina can successfully crash the boards, hit open 3s, limit transition chances for Duke and stay out of foul trouble, then it will be in a prime spot to advance to the title game and bury Coach K once and for all.
You can take UNC at +4.5 as a more safe bet, but I will ride the moneyline in hopes the Tar Heels will continue their red-hot streak. N.Car ML +162 to +150 /By K.Malstrom
#1 Seeds are 2-5 ATS L5Y • #2 Seed favs 3 > pts are 1-5 ATS • #3 Seeds are 7-1 ATS • #4 Seeds are 2-5 ATS L20Y • Dogs off an ATS loss are 6-1 ATS • Favs off a SU dog win are 4-1 ATS • Teams off 4+ ATS wins are 5-15 ATS • Teams scoring 65 < pts in Elite 8 round are 9-2-1 ATS • Dogs off BB DD SU wins are 1-7 ATS • Favs 4 > pts who scored 80 > pts in Elite 8 round are 3-11 ATS • Teams with Revenge are 5-12 ATS • Big East teams are 6-0 ATS L11Y • Pac 12 teams are 8-3 ATS • SEC favs are 0-4-1 ATS L10Y • ACC dogs are 1-4 ATS L15Y
Above is Final Four Stats
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#1 Seeds are 2-5 ATS L5Y • #2 Seed favs 3 > pts are 1-5 ATS • #3 Seeds are 7-1 ATS • #4 Seeds are 2-5 ATS L20Y • Dogs off an ATS loss are 6-1 ATS • Favs off a SU dog win are 4-1 ATS • Teams off 4+ ATS wins are 5-15 ATS • Teams scoring 65 < pts in Elite 8 round are 9-2-1 ATS • Dogs off BB DD SU wins are 1-7 ATS • Favs 4 > pts who scored 80 > pts in Elite 8 round are 3-11 ATS • Teams with Revenge are 5-12 ATS • Big East teams are 6-0 ATS L11Y • Pac 12 teams are 8-3 ATS • SEC favs are 0-4-1 ATS L10Y • ACC dogs are 1-4 ATS L15Y
In two ACC vs. ACC matchups in the Final Four since 2001, favorites are 2-0 SU and ATS, winning by double digits both times. Qualifying team: Duke. • Duke is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five Final Fours, while UNC is 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS in its last six. Big 12 • Big 12 teams are 7-4 to the Over in the national semifinals since 2002, including 5-1 when favored. Qualifying game: Kansas-Villanova. • Kansas is 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four national semifinals, with its only loss coming as a 5-point underdog to Villanova in 2018. Big East • Big East teams were on a 12-9 SU and 15-6 ATS (71.4%) run versus Big 12 teams in the NCAA Tournament, but they’re 0-3 SU and 2-1 ATS in 2022. Qualifying team: Villanova. • Villanova has scored exactly 95 points in its last two national semifinals, winning by 16 and 44 points (2018 and 2016). • Favorites are 27-14 ATS (65.9%) in the last 41 NCAA Tournament games involving Big East teams. Qualifying team: Against Villanova. • Big East underdogs in the national semifinals are 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five. Four of the five games went Under the total. Qualifying team: Against Villanova.
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In two ACC vs. ACC matchups in the Final Four since 2001, favorites are 2-0 SU and ATS, winning by double digits both times. Qualifying team: Duke. • Duke is 4-1 SU and ATS in its last five Final Fours, while UNC is 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS in its last six. Big 12 • Big 12 teams are 7-4 to the Over in the national semifinals since 2002, including 5-1 when favored. Qualifying game: Kansas-Villanova. • Kansas is 3-1 SU and ATS in its last four national semifinals, with its only loss coming as a 5-point underdog to Villanova in 2018. Big East • Big East teams were on a 12-9 SU and 15-6 ATS (71.4%) run versus Big 12 teams in the NCAA Tournament, but they’re 0-3 SU and 2-1 ATS in 2022. Qualifying team: Villanova. • Villanova has scored exactly 95 points in its last two national semifinals, winning by 16 and 44 points (2018 and 2016). • Favorites are 27-14 ATS (65.9%) in the last 41 NCAA Tournament games involving Big East teams. Qualifying team: Against Villanova. • Big East underdogs in the national semifinals are 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in their last five. Four of the five games went Under the total. Qualifying team: Against Villanova.
Final Four • Outright winners in the national semifinals are 32-6-2 ATS (84.2%) since 2001. • No. 1 seeds against lower-seeded teams are 16-5 SU and 11-9-1 ATS (55%) since 2001. Qualifying team: Kansas • On totals, the last seven games with a number of 130 points or fewer went Under. In all other games, totals are 21-14-2 to the Over (60%) since 1999. Qualifying games: Overs in both games Saturday.
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Final Four • Outright winners in the national semifinals are 32-6-2 ATS (84.2%) since 2001. • No. 1 seeds against lower-seeded teams are 16-5 SU and 11-9-1 ATS (55%) since 2001. Qualifying team: Kansas • On totals, the last seven games with a number of 130 points or fewer went Under. In all other games, totals are 21-14-2 to the Over (60%) since 1999. Qualifying games: Overs in both games Saturday.
Both Duke and Kansas checked all 8 of the boxes and look to extend the record of our 8 Elite Elements to 19-1 the last 20 years when it comes to predicting the winner of the NCAA Tournament. This is a showdown of two pedigree head coaches with Jayhawks’ mentor Bill Self sporting a 52-21 SU and 40-33 ATS career mark in this tourney, including 45-9 SU when favored by more than 2 points. Meanwhile, Villanova has surrendered the fewest points (218) in this tournament among this year’s Fab Four, but they’ve also scored the
fewest number of points (269). It’s diffi cult fading Jay Wright’s tourney- tough Wildcats as his troops are 34-13 SU and 29-18 ATS overall under
his lead in this event – but a mediocre 4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS versus No. 1 seeds. FYI: He’s never faced a top seed in a championship game. When push comes to shove, our allegiance lies with the sagacious square. By M.Lawrence
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Both Duke and Kansas checked all 8 of the boxes and look to extend the record of our 8 Elite Elements to 19-1 the last 20 years when it comes to predicting the winner of the NCAA Tournament. This is a showdown of two pedigree head coaches with Jayhawks’ mentor Bill Self sporting a 52-21 SU and 40-33 ATS career mark in this tourney, including 45-9 SU when favored by more than 2 points. Meanwhile, Villanova has surrendered the fewest points (218) in this tournament among this year’s Fab Four, but they’ve also scored the
fewest number of points (269). It’s diffi cult fading Jay Wright’s tourney- tough Wildcats as his troops are 34-13 SU and 29-18 ATS overall under
his lead in this event – but a mediocre 4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS versus No. 1 seeds. FYI: He’s never faced a top seed in a championship game. When push comes to shove, our allegiance lies with the sagacious square. By M.Lawrence
As Kenny Loggins so famously put it, “This is it” – the battle of Tobacco Road taking place in New Orleans for the right to play for all the marbles on Monday. In what is said to be the best rivalry in all of college basketball, ironically this is the fi rst meeting ever in this tournament between these two legendary basketball schools. With it, Coach Mike Krzyzewski will coach for his sixth national championship on Monday, or lose to his sworn enemy and never grace the sideline again, as he bids adieu in New Orleans this weekend. Duke is 17-3 in its last 20 games, with one of the losses a stunning home blowout loss to UNC in Coach K’s fi nal game at Cameron Arena. On the other side of the court, as ladders were set up under the baskets in preparation of North Carolina’s 21st Final Four visit, Tar Heel fans chanted: “We want Duke! We want Duke!” To which we’re reminded a bit of sage adage which is ‘be careful what you wish for’. With the Devils owning a HUGE edge in head coaching experience over UNC rookie mentor Hubert Davis, and playing with a HUGE revenge chip on their shoulder, once again we’ll look for an added assist from the SMART BOX – along with a HUGE effort from the Dukies tonight. By M.Lawrence
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As Kenny Loggins so famously put it, “This is it” – the battle of Tobacco Road taking place in New Orleans for the right to play for all the marbles on Monday. In what is said to be the best rivalry in all of college basketball, ironically this is the fi rst meeting ever in this tournament between these two legendary basketball schools. With it, Coach Mike Krzyzewski will coach for his sixth national championship on Monday, or lose to his sworn enemy and never grace the sideline again, as he bids adieu in New Orleans this weekend. Duke is 17-3 in its last 20 games, with one of the losses a stunning home blowout loss to UNC in Coach K’s fi nal game at Cameron Arena. On the other side of the court, as ladders were set up under the baskets in preparation of North Carolina’s 21st Final Four visit, Tar Heel fans chanted: “We want Duke! We want Duke!” To which we’re reminded a bit of sage adage which is ‘be careful what you wish for’. With the Devils owning a HUGE edge in head coaching experience over UNC rookie mentor Hubert Davis, and playing with a HUGE revenge chip on their shoulder, once again we’ll look for an added assist from the SMART BOX – along with a HUGE effort from the Dukies tonight. By M.Lawrence
1) A 1, 2 or 3 seed from a major conference 2) Averaged > 73 PPG 3) Allowed < 73 PPG 4) Owned an average scoring margin of 7 > PPG 5) Faced a Top 75 schedule 6) Had a coach with 6 or more NCAA tourney appearances and at least one Elite 8 game 7) Either in NCAA tourney LY or 8) Have an All-American player The
Above post 18 of last 19 NCAA Champions had these stats
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1) A 1, 2 or 3 seed from a major conference 2) Averaged > 73 PPG 3) Allowed < 73 PPG 4) Owned an average scoring margin of 7 > PPG 5) Faced a Top 75 schedule 6) Had a coach with 6 or more NCAA tourney appearances and at least one Elite 8 game 7) Either in NCAA tourney LY or 8) Have an All-American player The
Above post 18 of last 19 NCAA Champions had these stats
2 Villanova vs. 1 Kansas (-4.5), Saturday at 6:09 ET
Villanova is 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in the NCAA tournament. Kansas is 2-2 ATS in the NCAA tournament and 6-2 ATS in its past eight games.
Since 2016, Villanova is 20-3 outright and 19-4 ATS in the NCAA tournament.
Villanova is 202-133-5 ATS over the past 10 seasons (60.3%), the best mark in Division I.
Villanova is 27-17-2 ATS as an underdog in that span (2-3-1 ATS this season).
Villanova is 8-3 ATS in neutral-site games this season and 50-27-2 ATS in such games since 2014-15.
Villanova is also 52-26-3 ATS against ranked teams in the past 10 seasons and 21-10 ATS against top-10 teams. However, Villanova is 1-4 ATS against top-10 teams this season.
Villanova has been an underdog of four or more points only twice in the past three seasons (0-2 ATS, both against Baylor).
Jay Wright is 7-1 ATS against Bill Self, including 6-1 ATS and 4-3 outright as an underdog. Villanova has covered all four meetings in the past decade.
Bill Self is 6-15 ATS against Big East schools as Kansas coach.
Unders are 6-1 in Villanova's past seven games and 7-3 in Kansas' past 10 games.
Since 1992, 1-seeds are 12-4 ATS against 2-seeds in the Final Four.
Kansas (9-1) was the only team with odds shorter than 10-1 entering the tournament. Each of the past four national champions had single-digit odds entering the NCAA tournament. The last exception was Villanova in 2016 (15-1).
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[image from unapproved source]
8 North Carolina vs. 2 Duke (-4), Saturday at 8:49 ET
North Carolina is 20-16-1 ATS this season while Duke is 20-16-2 ATS this season. North Carolina games are 21-14-2 to the over, while Duke games are 21-16-1 to the over.
North Carolina is 8-2 ATS against Duke in the past 10 meetings.
The past six meetings have gone over the total.
North Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its past eight games.
North Carolina is 2-0 outright as an underdog in this tournament after going 0-5 ATS in the previous 20 NCAA tournaments.
Mike Krzyzewski is 13-8 ATS in Final Four games.
Hubert Davis is making his first Final Four appearance. Coaches making their Final Four debuts are 7-1-1 ATS in the national semifinals in the past 10 seasons.
Overs are 8-2 in Duke's past 10 games.
Since 2000, teams seeded 8 or lower are 2-7-1 ATS in the Final Four against higher seeds.
North Carolina was 100-1 entering the NCAA tournament. North Carolina would be the biggest pretournament long shot to win the NCAA tournament in over 25 years, according to SportsOddsHistory.com. The current biggest long shot in that span is 2014 UConn (95-1).
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2 Villanova vs. 1 Kansas (-4.5), Saturday at 6:09 ET
Villanova is 4-0 against the spread (ATS) in the NCAA tournament. Kansas is 2-2 ATS in the NCAA tournament and 6-2 ATS in its past eight games.
Since 2016, Villanova is 20-3 outright and 19-4 ATS in the NCAA tournament.
Villanova is 202-133-5 ATS over the past 10 seasons (60.3%), the best mark in Division I.
Villanova is 27-17-2 ATS as an underdog in that span (2-3-1 ATS this season).
Villanova is 8-3 ATS in neutral-site games this season and 50-27-2 ATS in such games since 2014-15.
Villanova is also 52-26-3 ATS against ranked teams in the past 10 seasons and 21-10 ATS against top-10 teams. However, Villanova is 1-4 ATS against top-10 teams this season.
Villanova has been an underdog of four or more points only twice in the past three seasons (0-2 ATS, both against Baylor).
Jay Wright is 7-1 ATS against Bill Self, including 6-1 ATS and 4-3 outright as an underdog. Villanova has covered all four meetings in the past decade.
Bill Self is 6-15 ATS against Big East schools as Kansas coach.
Unders are 6-1 in Villanova's past seven games and 7-3 in Kansas' past 10 games.
Since 1992, 1-seeds are 12-4 ATS against 2-seeds in the Final Four.
Kansas (9-1) was the only team with odds shorter than 10-1 entering the tournament. Each of the past four national champions had single-digit odds entering the NCAA tournament. The last exception was Villanova in 2016 (15-1).
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[image from unapproved source]
8 North Carolina vs. 2 Duke (-4), Saturday at 8:49 ET
North Carolina is 20-16-1 ATS this season while Duke is 20-16-2 ATS this season. North Carolina games are 21-14-2 to the over, while Duke games are 21-16-1 to the over.
North Carolina is 8-2 ATS against Duke in the past 10 meetings.
The past six meetings have gone over the total.
North Carolina is 7-1 ATS in its past eight games.
North Carolina is 2-0 outright as an underdog in this tournament after going 0-5 ATS in the previous 20 NCAA tournaments.
Mike Krzyzewski is 13-8 ATS in Final Four games.
Hubert Davis is making his first Final Four appearance. Coaches making their Final Four debuts are 7-1-1 ATS in the national semifinals in the past 10 seasons.
Overs are 8-2 in Duke's past 10 games.
Since 2000, teams seeded 8 or lower are 2-7-1 ATS in the Final Four against higher seeds.
North Carolina was 100-1 entering the NCAA tournament. North Carolina would be the biggest pretournament long shot to win the NCAA tournament in over 25 years, according to SportsOddsHistory.com. The current biggest long shot in that span is 2014 UConn (95-1).
Kansas vs Villanova — Kansas (32-6) ranked #4 by KenPom — Tempo: #61 — Experience: #129 — Continuity: #46 — Kansas won its last nine games. — Jayhawks are shooting 53.8% inside arc (#38) — Kansas has #27 eFG% defense. — Jayhawks are 15-2 outside Big X this season — Kansas schedule, to this point: #4 — bench minutes: #296 — Kansas is 3-0 vs Big East teams TY, winning by 20-7-5 points. — Villanova (30-7) ranked #9 by KenPom — Tempo: #345 — Experience: #49 — Continuity: #35 — Villanova won nine in row, 14 of last 15 games. — Wildcats have #39 eFG% defense in country. — 2nd-leading scorer Moore (achilles) is out this week. — Villanova lost 57-36 at Baylor of Big X back in December. — Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #11 — bench minutes: #323
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Kansas vs Villanova — Kansas (32-6) ranked #4 by KenPom — Tempo: #61 — Experience: #129 — Continuity: #46 — Kansas won its last nine games. — Jayhawks are shooting 53.8% inside arc (#38) — Kansas has #27 eFG% defense. — Jayhawks are 15-2 outside Big X this season — Kansas schedule, to this point: #4 — bench minutes: #296 — Kansas is 3-0 vs Big East teams TY, winning by 20-7-5 points. — Villanova (30-7) ranked #9 by KenPom — Tempo: #345 — Experience: #49 — Continuity: #35 — Villanova won nine in row, 14 of last 15 games. — Wildcats have #39 eFG% defense in country. — 2nd-leading scorer Moore (achilles) is out this week. — Villanova lost 57-36 at Baylor of Big X back in December. — Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #11 — bench minutes: #323
Last seven times only one #1-seed made the Final Four; the #1-seed went 5-2 in national semi-final, won four national titles. Kansas is the #1-seed here.
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Last seven times only one #1-seed made the Final Four; the #1-seed went 5-2 in national semi-final, won four national titles. Kansas is the #1-seed here.
North Carolina vs Duke — North Carolina (28-9) ranked #16 by KenPom — Tempo: #39 — Experience: #215 — Continuity: #97 — North Carolina won 16 of its last 19 games. — Tar Heels shoot 36.1% on arc (#51) — North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards. — Tar Heels are 16-6 this season vs their ACC rivals. — North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #29 — bench minutes: #344
— Duke (32-6) ranked #8 by KenPom — Tempo: #170 — Experience: #347 — Continuity: #231 — Duke won 18 of its last 21 games. — Blue Devils are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#8) — Duke has #47 eFG% defense in country. — Duke scored 79.8 ppg in first four tourney games. — Blue Devils are 18-5 against their ACC rivals. — Duke’s schedule, to this point: #52 — bench minutes: #314
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North Carolina vs Duke — North Carolina (28-9) ranked #16 by KenPom — Tempo: #39 — Experience: #215 — Continuity: #97 — North Carolina won 16 of its last 19 games. — Tar Heels shoot 36.1% on arc (#51) — North Carolina is #2 team in country on defensive boards. — Tar Heels are 16-6 this season vs their ACC rivals. — North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #29 — bench minutes: #344
— Duke (32-6) ranked #8 by KenPom — Tempo: #170 — Experience: #347 — Continuity: #231 — Duke won 18 of its last 21 games. — Blue Devils are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#8) — Duke has #47 eFG% defense in country. — Duke scored 79.8 ppg in first four tourney games. — Blue Devils are 18-5 against their ACC rivals. — Duke’s schedule, to this point: #52 — bench minutes: #314
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