Thats all it is. Situations are situations and I dont believe in numbers when it comes to capping. I want to hit this hard but I cant with UK on deck for AUB...
This is a horrible spot for us. We've struggled against Auburn's athleticism and I don't see that being any different tonight. I see your point about UK being on deck and that has me a little trigger shy at this point also. Good luck to you tonight UNC, always look forward to your posts!
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Quote Originally Posted by UNCforever:
Thats all it is. Situations are situations and I dont believe in numbers when it comes to capping. I want to hit this hard but I cant with UK on deck for AUB...
This is a horrible spot for us. We've struggled against Auburn's athleticism and I don't see that being any different tonight. I see your point about UK being on deck and that has me a little trigger shy at this point also. Good luck to you tonight UNC, always look forward to your posts!
Guys on the SMC game is comes down to the ZAGS poor defense these last couple of games. Seem to me they are losing it or its the fact they have been traveling from the midwest to west coast. Not sure but you guys can say all you want that SMC has not played anyone yet well they are about to shut you the fuck up tonight. I dont care if Duke came to this gym SMC would light them up this team is the best home scoring team in division 1.
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Guys on the SMC game is comes down to the ZAGS poor defense these last couple of games. Seem to me they are losing it or its the fact they have been traveling from the midwest to west coast. Not sure but you guys can say all you want that SMC has not played anyone yet well they are about to shut you the fuck up tonight. I dont care if Duke came to this gym SMC would light them up this team is the best home scoring team in division 1.
UNC great work.....But I too notice that you can make money going against some of your researched plays.....
For instance.....last night you talked your way out of 2 plays particularly Texas and UNC.....both of which failed to cover the spread......and UNC lost horribly....which you predicted in your thread to another poster that this may happen.....So my question to you is do you ever play on the researched games, even when they dont support your early leans???
In other words....you have an early lean....but then back off that play depending on your research.....well that research may pay off in the long run betting against your early leans if it calls for it.....So your inital leans on UNC and Texas were boshed.....but the other teams covered......So it may be something to look into.....to go against your initial leans if indeed the research you do suggests it......What are your thoughts on this?? Because it seems like a waste of time to do the great research you do and just bosh your early leans......just a thought......GL with your plays tonight....
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UNC great work.....But I too notice that you can make money going against some of your researched plays.....
For instance.....last night you talked your way out of 2 plays particularly Texas and UNC.....both of which failed to cover the spread......and UNC lost horribly....which you predicted in your thread to another poster that this may happen.....So my question to you is do you ever play on the researched games, even when they dont support your early leans???
In other words....you have an early lean....but then back off that play depending on your research.....well that research may pay off in the long run betting against your early leans if it calls for it.....So your inital leans on UNC and Texas were boshed.....but the other teams covered......So it may be something to look into.....to go against your initial leans if indeed the research you do suggests it......What are your thoughts on this?? Because it seems like a waste of time to do the great research you do and just bosh your early leans......just a thought......GL with your plays tonight....
UNC great work.....But I too notice that you can make money going against some of your researched plays.....
For instance.....last night you talked your way out of 2 plays particularly Texas and UNC.....both of which failed to cover the spread......and UNC lost horribly....which you predicted in your thread to another poster that this may happen.....So my question to you is do you ever play on the researched games, even when they dont support your early leans???
In other words....you have an early lean....but then back off that play depending on your research.....well that research may pay off in the long run betting against your early leans if it calls for it.....So your inital leans on UNC and Texas were boshed.....but the other teams covered......So it may be something to look into.....to go against your initial leans if indeed the research you do suggests it......What are your thoughts on this?? Because it seems like a waste of time to do the great research you do and just bosh your early leans......just a thought......GL with your plays tonight....
I really am trying to keep the cards small buddy. I want them to be even smaller. I understand what you are saying on those games I feel most will come right down to the wire. I try to pick out the best ones that I hope atleast give me a shot to cover.
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Quote Originally Posted by jlb442:
UNC great work.....But I too notice that you can make money going against some of your researched plays.....
For instance.....last night you talked your way out of 2 plays particularly Texas and UNC.....both of which failed to cover the spread......and UNC lost horribly....which you predicted in your thread to another poster that this may happen.....So my question to you is do you ever play on the researched games, even when they dont support your early leans???
In other words....you have an early lean....but then back off that play depending on your research.....well that research may pay off in the long run betting against your early leans if it calls for it.....So your inital leans on UNC and Texas were boshed.....but the other teams covered......So it may be something to look into.....to go against your initial leans if indeed the research you do suggests it......What are your thoughts on this?? Because it seems like a waste of time to do the great research you do and just bosh your early leans......just a thought......GL with your plays tonight....
I really am trying to keep the cards small buddy. I want them to be even smaller. I understand what you are saying on those games I feel most will come right down to the wire. I try to pick out the best ones that I hope atleast give me a shot to cover.
I play the ranked opponent @ unranked favorite side a lot.. It's an old Wayne Root rule.. However, if you look it up, it is only about 53%.. I like your picks UNC, we have a very similar style.. I've been dying to bet against Tennessee and they will be a good 5 game fade
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I play the ranked opponent @ unranked favorite side a lot.. It's an old Wayne Root rule.. However, if you look it up, it is only about 53%.. I like your picks UNC, we have a very similar style.. I've been dying to bet against Tennessee and they will be a good 5 game fade
Love the Indiana pick bro. I had to drop a little on the ML simply because +800 is a ridiculous number for a team thats already won this game 2 weeks ago. Different venue on the road and all, 8-1 is too much value imo. Line should be -5.5 or 6 so I'm getting 2X what I think the ML is worth.
nice day yesterday
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Love the Indiana pick bro. I had to drop a little on the ML simply because +800 is a ridiculous number for a team thats already won this game 2 weeks ago. Different venue on the road and all, 8-1 is too much value imo. Line should be -5.5 or 6 so I'm getting 2X what I think the ML is worth.
I play the ranked opponent @ unranked favorite side a lot.. It's an old Wayne Root rule.. However, if you look it up, it is only about 53%.. I like your picks UNC, we have a very similar style.. I've been dying to bet against Tennessee and they will be a good 5 game fade
Thanks but it is way past 53%....
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Quote Originally Posted by RyanRebman:
I play the ranked opponent @ unranked favorite side a lot.. It's an old Wayne Root rule.. However, if you look it up, it is only about 53%.. I like your picks UNC, we have a very similar style.. I've been dying to bet against Tennessee and they will be a good 5 game fade
UNC. I haven't ever posted in your threads. But I look at them and consider them in my analysis every day. You have greatly helped me out at no cost to me. I appreciate your hard work, dedication, honesty, and integrity. You are truly a valued resource and a great capper. Thanks
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UNC. I haven't ever posted in your threads. But I look at them and consider them in my analysis every day. You have greatly helped me out at no cost to me. I appreciate your hard work, dedication, honesty, and integrity. You are truly a valued resource and a great capper. Thanks
play on Utah St was def not played on by stats, took em +3 and ml, good thing i didnt rely soley on statistics, at least for that one gl with ur plays today UNC, on St Marys as well
btw, idk if i would play anymore tarheel games as well... im such a huge Chapel Hill fan, so obviously im going to be biased with who im going to side for, whether its a big impact or small, but everybody assumes UNC is going to be absolutely dominate year in and year out, but the fact is that their too inconsistant to bet on this year... beatin down Mich st then losin to CofC and the embarrassment last night, u cant count on them to bring their A game at any point... im just gonna lay off them and wait til next year when all these youngsters grow up and mature as well as when we get the best recruitin class ever next year
bol to u tonight brotha
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play on Utah St was def not played on by stats, took em +3 and ml, good thing i didnt rely soley on statistics, at least for that one gl with ur plays today UNC, on St Marys as well
btw, idk if i would play anymore tarheel games as well... im such a huge Chapel Hill fan, so obviously im going to be biased with who im going to side for, whether its a big impact or small, but everybody assumes UNC is going to be absolutely dominate year in and year out, but the fact is that their too inconsistant to bet on this year... beatin down Mich st then losin to CofC and the embarrassment last night, u cant count on them to bring their A game at any point... im just gonna lay off them and wait til next year when all these youngsters grow up and mature as well as when we get the best recruitin class ever next year
Ive watched 2 of Zags last 3 games against Oklahoma, Ill, and Portland. They have gotten out to big leads in first half then faded in second half and got outplayed. I cant see them getting out to a big first half lead in this game. Also Sacre had been very good in the Oklahoma and Illinois games and really gave that team a boost. I think he is going to struggle with foul trouble here and Samhan will take over. St. Mary's then has some very good free throw shooters (4 who shoot about 80% or more including Dellavedova who shoots 92%). Also Samhan shoots 76% and has had made 33 of his last 36. If St. Marys can keep it close in first half or even better maintain a lead, I see them knocking down free throws in second half and not allowing the Zags back in the game.
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Ive watched 2 of Zags last 3 games against Oklahoma, Ill, and Portland. They have gotten out to big leads in first half then faded in second half and got outplayed. I cant see them getting out to a big first half lead in this game. Also Sacre had been very good in the Oklahoma and Illinois games and really gave that team a boost. I think he is going to struggle with foul trouble here and Samhan will take over. St. Mary's then has some very good free throw shooters (4 who shoot about 80% or more including Dellavedova who shoots 92%). Also Samhan shoots 76% and has had made 33 of his last 36. If St. Marys can keep it close in first half or even better maintain a lead, I see them knocking down free throws in second half and not allowing the Zags back in the game.
play on Utah St was def not played on by stats, took em +3 and ml, good thing i didnt rely soley on statistics, at least for that one gl with ur plays today UNC, on St Marys as well
btw, idk if i would play anymore tarheel games as well... im such a huge Chapel Hill fan, so obviously im going to be biased with who im going to side for, whether its a big impact or small, but everybody assumes UNC is going to be absolutely dominate year in and year out, but the fact is that their too inconsistant to bet on this year... beatin down Mich st then losin to CofC and the embarrassment last night, u cant count on them to bring their A game at any point... im just gonna lay off them and wait til next year when all these youngsters grow up and mature as well as when we get the best recruitin class ever next year
bol to u tonight brotha
[/Quote
They will be fine. They just arent a team to bet on in hostile environments as this point. Clemson's attack style was just not a good matchup for them.
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[Quote: Originally Posted by EX4life]
play on Utah St was def not played on by stats, took em +3 and ml, good thing i didnt rely soley on statistics, at least for that one gl with ur plays today UNC, on St Marys as well
btw, idk if i would play anymore tarheel games as well... im such a huge Chapel Hill fan, so obviously im going to be biased with who im going to side for, whether its a big impact or small, but everybody assumes UNC is going to be absolutely dominate year in and year out, but the fact is that their too inconsistant to bet on this year... beatin down Mich st then losin to CofC and the embarrassment last night, u cant count on them to bring their A game at any point... im just gonna lay off them and wait til next year when all these youngsters grow up and mature as well as when we get the best recruitin class ever next year
bol to u tonight brotha
[/Quote
They will be fine. They just arent a team to bet on in hostile environments as this point. Clemson's attack style was just not a good matchup for them.
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u n c ........................
gl with ur plays today UNC, on St Marys as well 
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