I'm leaning hard to the Drexel/UMass under, and I think you are on the right side of the Oregon/UW total, but I want to wait on that one.
Also leaning Rice +6 and Rice over 159....... any thoughts on this game?
I also really liked Drexel tonight at -6.5. Strange line movement going to -8? Everything I'm looking at shows public on UMass.
The last two UMass games had this same characteristic and UMass won both straight up so I probably won't touch.....
Either way, I'm routing for Drexel, but I like both teams......
Like Rice as well but missed the +6 and will have to let it go. Rice's defense is very sound but they essentially have to play an up-tempo game to be successful and that could be a recipe for trouble going into a road game against Oakland. Kazemi will dominate the paint and they do have some very quick guards to try and corral Hamilton the perimeter. Frizzelle will also be back in the lineup after missing the Drake game due to a family matter. Tough game to read...
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Quote Originally Posted by MadeMan4:
BOL today JFen-
I'm leaning hard to the Drexel/UMass under, and I think you are on the right side of the Oregon/UW total, but I want to wait on that one.
Also leaning Rice +6 and Rice over 159....... any thoughts on this game?
I also really liked Drexel tonight at -6.5. Strange line movement going to -8? Everything I'm looking at shows public on UMass.
The last two UMass games had this same characteristic and UMass won both straight up so I probably won't touch.....
Either way, I'm routing for Drexel, but I like both teams......
Like Rice as well but missed the +6 and will have to let it go. Rice's defense is very sound but they essentially have to play an up-tempo game to be successful and that could be a recipe for trouble going into a road game against Oakland. Kazemi will dominate the paint and they do have some very quick guards to try and corral Hamilton the perimeter. Frizzelle will also be back in the lineup after missing the Drake game due to a family matter. Tough game to read...
Any thoughts on the over/under for Rice vs. Oakland? I'm leaning toward the under, thinking Rice will control the tempo, also knowing that Oakland's starters score all of their points. Foul trouble could kill Oakland.
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Any thoughts on the over/under for Rice vs. Oakland? I'm leaning toward the under, thinking Rice will control the tempo, also knowing that Oakland's starters score all of their points. Foul trouble could kill Oakland.
Oregon @ Washington Under 155... I knew I would be on this the moment Oregon closed out Iowa in the highest-scoring game of the postseason. It was just a matter of getting a number north of 150, which is clearly the case here. Three important reasons behind this play:
A) Familiarity- These postseason tournaments (NIT/CBI/CIT) have produced a very high number of overs. Main reason is that teams are unfamiliar with one another and typically do not have ample time to prepare for the other team's schemes. Jimmy Dykes made an interesting point during last night's MTSU/Tennessee game when he said that "out-of-bounds" plays work at an extraordinarily high rate in these tournaments because coaches are unable to cover everything in their pre-game scouting work. Also, the defensive intensity tends to be lower than during conference games and conference tournaments as many teams are simply not at the same level of focus after five consecutive months of basketball. But this is the opposite of what we have tonight with Oregon facing Washington. They played twice during the regular season with each team dominating on the home floor. There are no secrets, everything is well-scouted, and the defensive intensity will be rather high considering the rivalry and a trip to MSG on the line. We're also getting terrific line value as people are starting to notice how successful "overs" have been during this postseason and with Oregon coming off of a ridiculous shootout against Iowa.
B) Washington defends at home- UDub has a well-earned reputation for grossly underachieving on the defensive end, especially given the caliber of athlete they tend to recruit. But at home this season, the Huskies are actually showing some interest in stopping opponents. Against Northwestern a few days ago, they held an extremely efficient offense to 18/51 shooting and 5/23 from deep. Pretty impressive, especially considering they hadn't seen a scheme like it all season. When Washington wants to defend, they are a very difficult team to score on, especially with a healthy N'Diaye patrolling the paint.
C) Oregon has shooting issues on the road - Scoring isn't an issue at home for the Duckies. Last 8 home games have produced the following: 108, 96, 94, 90, 78, 82, 71, 75. Crazy efficient amidst the trees in Eugene. On the road is a whole different story. Those sharpshooters cannot seem to find the same consistency in unfriendly venues. It carries over to the free throw line, too. 72% at home, 66% on the road. The Washington defensive scheme also seems to cause issues. In the last three meetings away from Eugene, here's what Oregon has done against the UDub defense: 60, 51, 69. Not good.
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Oregon @ Washington Under 155... I knew I would be on this the moment Oregon closed out Iowa in the highest-scoring game of the postseason. It was just a matter of getting a number north of 150, which is clearly the case here. Three important reasons behind this play:
A) Familiarity- These postseason tournaments (NIT/CBI/CIT) have produced a very high number of overs. Main reason is that teams are unfamiliar with one another and typically do not have ample time to prepare for the other team's schemes. Jimmy Dykes made an interesting point during last night's MTSU/Tennessee game when he said that "out-of-bounds" plays work at an extraordinarily high rate in these tournaments because coaches are unable to cover everything in their pre-game scouting work. Also, the defensive intensity tends to be lower than during conference games and conference tournaments as many teams are simply not at the same level of focus after five consecutive months of basketball. But this is the opposite of what we have tonight with Oregon facing Washington. They played twice during the regular season with each team dominating on the home floor. There are no secrets, everything is well-scouted, and the defensive intensity will be rather high considering the rivalry and a trip to MSG on the line. We're also getting terrific line value as people are starting to notice how successful "overs" have been during this postseason and with Oregon coming off of a ridiculous shootout against Iowa.
B) Washington defends at home- UDub has a well-earned reputation for grossly underachieving on the defensive end, especially given the caliber of athlete they tend to recruit. But at home this season, the Huskies are actually showing some interest in stopping opponents. Against Northwestern a few days ago, they held an extremely efficient offense to 18/51 shooting and 5/23 from deep. Pretty impressive, especially considering they hadn't seen a scheme like it all season. When Washington wants to defend, they are a very difficult team to score on, especially with a healthy N'Diaye patrolling the paint.
C) Oregon has shooting issues on the road - Scoring isn't an issue at home for the Duckies. Last 8 home games have produced the following: 108, 96, 94, 90, 78, 82, 71, 75. Crazy efficient amidst the trees in Eugene. On the road is a whole different story. Those sharpshooters cannot seem to find the same consistency in unfriendly venues. It carries over to the free throw line, too. 72% at home, 66% on the road. The Washington defensive scheme also seems to cause issues. In the last three meetings away from Eugene, here's what Oregon has done against the UDub defense: 60, 51, 69. Not good.
Any thoughts on the over/under for Rice vs. Oakland? I'm leaning toward the under, thinking Rice will control the tempo, also knowing that Oakland's starters score all of their points. Foul trouble could kill Oakland.
I couldn't back the under here. Rice has had issues all season defending the perimeter and Oakland is as good as any team in the country shooting the ball in its own gym. Rice likes to play an up-tempo game, but it's possible Braun decides he's going to force Oakland to defend in the halfcourt. If so, it's got a shot, but I wouldn't put money on Rice being able to control tempo @ Oakland, especially with a freshman point guard. You are correct that Oakland has zero bench, while Rice is going about 10-deep at this point with Frizzelle back in the lineup. This Oakland defense is just flat-out badddd and with the pace at which this thing could be played, I'd be pretty nervous as an under backer. Good luck if you do decide to play it.
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Quote Originally Posted by CashBillings:
Any thoughts on the over/under for Rice vs. Oakland? I'm leaning toward the under, thinking Rice will control the tempo, also knowing that Oakland's starters score all of their points. Foul trouble could kill Oakland.
I couldn't back the under here. Rice has had issues all season defending the perimeter and Oakland is as good as any team in the country shooting the ball in its own gym. Rice likes to play an up-tempo game, but it's possible Braun decides he's going to force Oakland to defend in the halfcourt. If so, it's got a shot, but I wouldn't put money on Rice being able to control tempo @ Oakland, especially with a freshman point guard. You are correct that Oakland has zero bench, while Rice is going about 10-deep at this point with Frizzelle back in the lineup. This Oakland defense is just flat-out badddd and with the pace at which this thing could be played, I'd be pretty nervous as an under backer. Good luck if you do decide to play it.
Oregon @ Washington Under 155... I knew I would be on this the moment Oregon closed out Iowa in the highest-scoring game of the postseason. It was just a matter of getting a number north of 150, which is clearly the case here. Three important reasons behind this play:
A) Familiarity- These postseason tournaments (NIT/CBI/CIT) have produced a very high number of overs. Main reason is that teams are unfamiliar with one another and typically do not have ample time to prepare for the other team's schemes. Jimmy Dykes made an interesting point during last night's MTSU/Tennessee game when he said that "out-of-bounds" plays work at an extraordinarily high rate in these tournaments because coaches are unable to cover everything in their pre-game scouting work. Also, the defensive intensity tends to be lower than during conference games and conference tournaments as many teams are simply not at the same level of focus after five consecutive months of basketball. But this is the opposite of what we have tonight with Oregon facing Washington. They played twice during the regular season with each team dominating on the home floor. There are no secrets, everything is well-scouted, and the defensive intensity will be rather high considering the rivalry and a trip to MSG on the line. We're also getting terrific line value as people are starting to notice how successful "overs" have been during this postseason and with Oregon coming off of a ridiculous shootout against Iowa.
B) Washington defends at home- UDub has a well-earned reputation for grossly underachieving on the defensive end, especially given the caliber of athlete they tend to recruit. But at home this season, the Huskies are actually showing some interest in stopping opponents. Against Northwestern a few days ago, they held an extremely efficient offense to 18/51 shooting and 5/23 from deep. Pretty impressive, especially considering they hadn't seen a scheme like it all season. When Washington wants to defend, they are a very difficult team to score on, especially with a healthy N'Diaye patrolling the paint.
C) Oregon has shooting issues on the road - Scoring isn't an issue at home for the Duckies. Last 8 home games have produced the following: 108, 96, 94, 90, 78, 82, 71, 75. Crazy efficient amidst the trees in Eugene. On the road is a whole different story. Those sharpshooters cannot seem to find the same consistency in unfriendly venues. It carries over to the free throw line, too. 72% at home, 66% on the road. The Washington defensive scheme also seems to cause issues. In the last three meetings away from Eugene, here's what Oregon has done against the UDub defense: 60, 51, 69. Not good.
Great write-up. Im on the under also. Was also considering Was -5. Was was a 1pt FAV in the loss at Oregon & a 9pt FAV at home. Also seems like a good spot play. You have any liens to a side??
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Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Oregon @ Washington Under 155... I knew I would be on this the moment Oregon closed out Iowa in the highest-scoring game of the postseason. It was just a matter of getting a number north of 150, which is clearly the case here. Three important reasons behind this play:
A) Familiarity- These postseason tournaments (NIT/CBI/CIT) have produced a very high number of overs. Main reason is that teams are unfamiliar with one another and typically do not have ample time to prepare for the other team's schemes. Jimmy Dykes made an interesting point during last night's MTSU/Tennessee game when he said that "out-of-bounds" plays work at an extraordinarily high rate in these tournaments because coaches are unable to cover everything in their pre-game scouting work. Also, the defensive intensity tends to be lower than during conference games and conference tournaments as many teams are simply not at the same level of focus after five consecutive months of basketball. But this is the opposite of what we have tonight with Oregon facing Washington. They played twice during the regular season with each team dominating on the home floor. There are no secrets, everything is well-scouted, and the defensive intensity will be rather high considering the rivalry and a trip to MSG on the line. We're also getting terrific line value as people are starting to notice how successful "overs" have been during this postseason and with Oregon coming off of a ridiculous shootout against Iowa.
B) Washington defends at home- UDub has a well-earned reputation for grossly underachieving on the defensive end, especially given the caliber of athlete they tend to recruit. But at home this season, the Huskies are actually showing some interest in stopping opponents. Against Northwestern a few days ago, they held an extremely efficient offense to 18/51 shooting and 5/23 from deep. Pretty impressive, especially considering they hadn't seen a scheme like it all season. When Washington wants to defend, they are a very difficult team to score on, especially with a healthy N'Diaye patrolling the paint.
C) Oregon has shooting issues on the road - Scoring isn't an issue at home for the Duckies. Last 8 home games have produced the following: 108, 96, 94, 90, 78, 82, 71, 75. Crazy efficient amidst the trees in Eugene. On the road is a whole different story. Those sharpshooters cannot seem to find the same consistency in unfriendly venues. It carries over to the free throw line, too. 72% at home, 66% on the road. The Washington defensive scheme also seems to cause issues. In the last three meetings away from Eugene, here's what Oregon has done against the UDub defense: 60, 51, 69. Not good.
Great write-up. Im on the under also. Was also considering Was -5. Was was a 1pt FAV in the loss at Oregon & a 9pt FAV at home. Also seems like a good spot play. You have any liens to a side??
Like Rice as well but missed the +6 and will have to let it go. Rice's defense is very sound but they essentially have to play an up-tempo game to be successful and that could be a recipe for trouble going into a road game against Oakland. Kazemi will dominate the paint and they do have some very quick guards to try and corral Hamilton the perimeter. Frizzelle will also be back in the lineup after missing the Drake game due to a family matter. Tough game to read...
Rice's coach said to play up-tempo against Oakland is suicide. He's going to slow it down tonight.
Liking the first-half Under.
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Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Like Rice as well but missed the +6 and will have to let it go. Rice's defense is very sound but they essentially have to play an up-tempo game to be successful and that could be a recipe for trouble going into a road game against Oakland. Kazemi will dominate the paint and they do have some very quick guards to try and corral Hamilton the perimeter. Frizzelle will also be back in the lineup after missing the Drake game due to a family matter. Tough game to read...
Rice's coach said to play up-tempo against Oakland is suicide. He's going to slow it down tonight.
I'd been waiting all day for this line to come out in Reno. When it came out at 5.5 I was surprised...I have it capped at 2-3. By the time I got to the sportsbook it was up to 6. Yeah, it's a homer pick for me, but...
Stanford is coming off a tough, late in the night overtime game last night it barely won. Nevada will have 33 additional hours of rest before tipoff...it finished off Bucknell by 2pm Sunday. Nevada has been excellent on the road all year...just two losses. The Pack lost by four at UNLV and by six at Iona. No shame in either.
A whopping 1,800 fans turned out for Stanford last night. Nevada drew 7,000 for the win against Bucknell. I'd expect at least 500 Wolf Pack fans to make it to the game tomorrow night. Travel should be a non-issue for the team and its die-hard fans alike. Palo Alto is only about a four-hour drive.
The Reno paper reports that it's finals week at Stanford. That can't help the Cardinal.
I can't speak to Stanford's motivation in this game, but it means a ton to Nevada. Seniors Olek Czyz and Dario Hunt are firing on all cylinders. Guards Deonte Burton and Malik Story have been inconsistent, but mostly solid shooting from the perimeter. If each has an average game, the Wolf Pack has an excellent chance to win. If either or both get hot, Nevada could win by 10.
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Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Wednesday:
Nevada +5.5 @ Stanford (1 unit)
I'd been waiting all day for this line to come out in Reno. When it came out at 5.5 I was surprised...I have it capped at 2-3. By the time I got to the sportsbook it was up to 6. Yeah, it's a homer pick for me, but...
Stanford is coming off a tough, late in the night overtime game last night it barely won. Nevada will have 33 additional hours of rest before tipoff...it finished off Bucknell by 2pm Sunday. Nevada has been excellent on the road all year...just two losses. The Pack lost by four at UNLV and by six at Iona. No shame in either.
A whopping 1,800 fans turned out for Stanford last night. Nevada drew 7,000 for the win against Bucknell. I'd expect at least 500 Wolf Pack fans to make it to the game tomorrow night. Travel should be a non-issue for the team and its die-hard fans alike. Palo Alto is only about a four-hour drive.
The Reno paper reports that it's finals week at Stanford. That can't help the Cardinal.
I can't speak to Stanford's motivation in this game, but it means a ton to Nevada. Seniors Olek Czyz and Dario Hunt are firing on all cylinders. Guards Deonte Burton and Malik Story have been inconsistent, but mostly solid shooting from the perimeter. If each has an average game, the Wolf Pack has an excellent chance to win. If either or both get hot, Nevada could win by 10.
Oregon @ Washington Under 155... I knew I would be on this the moment Oregon closed out Iowa in the highest-scoring game of the postseason. It was just a matter of getting a number north of 150, which is clearly the case here. Three important reasons behind this play:
A) Familiarity- These postseason tournaments (NIT/CBI/CIT) have produced a very high number of overs. Main reason is that teams are unfamiliar with one another and typically do not have ample time to prepare for the other team's schemes. Jimmy Dykes made an interesting point during last night's MTSU/Tennessee game when he said that "out-of-bounds" plays work at an extraordinarily high rate in these tournaments because coaches are unable to cover everything in their pre-game scouting work. Also, the defensive intensity tends to be lower than during conference games and conference tournaments as many teams are simply not at the same level of focus after five consecutive months of basketball. But this is the opposite of what we have tonight with Oregon facing Washington. They played twice during the regular season with each team dominating on the home floor. There are no secrets, everything is well-scouted, and the defensive intensity will be rather high considering the rivalry and a trip to MSG on the line. We're also getting terrific line value as people are starting to notice how successful "overs" have been during this postseason and with Oregon coming off of a ridiculous shootout against Iowa.
B) Washington defends at home- UDub has a well-earned reputation for grossly underachieving on the defensive end, especially given the caliber of athlete they tend to recruit. But at home this season, the Huskies are actually showing some interest in stopping opponents. Against Northwestern a few days ago, they held an extremely efficient offense to 18/51 shooting and 5/23 from deep. Pretty impressive, especially considering they hadn't seen a scheme like it all season. When Washington wants to defend, they are a very difficult team to score on, especially with a healthy N'Diaye patrolling the paint.
C) Oregon has shooting issues on the road - Scoring isn't an issue at home for the Duckies. Last 8 home games have produced the following: 108, 96, 94, 90, 78, 82, 71, 75. Crazy efficient amidst the trees in Eugene. On the road is a whole different story. Those sharpshooters cannot seem to find the same consistency in unfriendly venues. It carries over to the free throw line, too. 72% at home, 66% on the road. The Washington defensive scheme also seems to cause issues. In the last three meetings away from Eugene, here's what Oregon has done against the UDub defense: 60, 51, 69. Not good.
0
Quote Originally Posted by JFen31:
Oregon @ Washington Under 155... I knew I would be on this the moment Oregon closed out Iowa in the highest-scoring game of the postseason. It was just a matter of getting a number north of 150, which is clearly the case here. Three important reasons behind this play:
A) Familiarity- These postseason tournaments (NIT/CBI/CIT) have produced a very high number of overs. Main reason is that teams are unfamiliar with one another and typically do not have ample time to prepare for the other team's schemes. Jimmy Dykes made an interesting point during last night's MTSU/Tennessee game when he said that "out-of-bounds" plays work at an extraordinarily high rate in these tournaments because coaches are unable to cover everything in their pre-game scouting work. Also, the defensive intensity tends to be lower than during conference games and conference tournaments as many teams are simply not at the same level of focus after five consecutive months of basketball. But this is the opposite of what we have tonight with Oregon facing Washington. They played twice during the regular season with each team dominating on the home floor. There are no secrets, everything is well-scouted, and the defensive intensity will be rather high considering the rivalry and a trip to MSG on the line. We're also getting terrific line value as people are starting to notice how successful "overs" have been during this postseason and with Oregon coming off of a ridiculous shootout against Iowa.
B) Washington defends at home- UDub has a well-earned reputation for grossly underachieving on the defensive end, especially given the caliber of athlete they tend to recruit. But at home this season, the Huskies are actually showing some interest in stopping opponents. Against Northwestern a few days ago, they held an extremely efficient offense to 18/51 shooting and 5/23 from deep. Pretty impressive, especially considering they hadn't seen a scheme like it all season. When Washington wants to defend, they are a very difficult team to score on, especially with a healthy N'Diaye patrolling the paint.
C) Oregon has shooting issues on the road - Scoring isn't an issue at home for the Duckies. Last 8 home games have produced the following: 108, 96, 94, 90, 78, 82, 71, 75. Crazy efficient amidst the trees in Eugene. On the road is a whole different story. Those sharpshooters cannot seem to find the same consistency in unfriendly venues. It carries over to the free throw line, too. 72% at home, 66% on the road. The Washington defensive scheme also seems to cause issues. In the last three meetings away from Eugene, here's what Oregon has done against the UDub defense: 60, 51, 69. Not good.
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