Posted:
#1
2011-2012 Regular Season: 312-261 (+34.5 units)
2011-2012 Postseason: 0-0
My NCAA stuff is posted in another thread. I like betting the smaller tournaments as there is much more opportunity to find soft lines, especially if you can anticipate which teams are interested in playing and which ones have mailed it in for the year.
One grab at the open. Added another unit a little bit ago
UMASS +7.5 @ Mississippi State (1 unit)
UMASS +7 @ Mississippi State (1 unit)
Classic case of a team happy to be playing versus one very disappointed to having been left out of the NCAA field. Thinking back to the beginning of the season, Mississippi State was considered a surefire NCAA team loaded with talent and capable of challenging for the SEC crown. Things looked good early, but the wheels came off in the second half of the SEC season as the traditional Mississippi State warts (lack of cohesion, infighting, malaise) came to the forefront. They'll welcome in UMASS, who at this point in the season has probably been watched a handful of times by most of the betting public. Their style is extremely unorthodox and difficult to prepare for. It's based on pressing, trapping, and shooting threes. Not all that different from the other "40 Minutes of Hell" type teams, except that Chaz Williams is a very unusual point guard. End to end, he's probably the fastest player in college basketball. UMASS had low expectations coming into the season but their guys have overachieved thanks to Coach Kellogg's persistence in installing the dribble-drive offense he learned while playing for Coach Calipari in the mid-1990's. Point is, Mississippi State hasn't seen a style like this all season, and considering how tough it is to adjust to UMASS under the best circumstances, I don't see how the Bulldogs pull themselves together for this game. There's just too much disappointment in Starkville right now. The fan base is completely disinterested and the team lacks heart and desire. I'll take my chances that Mississippi State has in fact mailed it in for the year.
2011-2012 Postseason: 0-0
My NCAA stuff is posted in another thread. I like betting the smaller tournaments as there is much more opportunity to find soft lines, especially if you can anticipate which teams are interested in playing and which ones have mailed it in for the year.
One grab at the open. Added another unit a little bit ago
UMASS +7.5 @ Mississippi State (1 unit)
UMASS +7 @ Mississippi State (1 unit)
Classic case of a team happy to be playing versus one very disappointed to having been left out of the NCAA field. Thinking back to the beginning of the season, Mississippi State was considered a surefire NCAA team loaded with talent and capable of challenging for the SEC crown. Things looked good early, but the wheels came off in the second half of the SEC season as the traditional Mississippi State warts (lack of cohesion, infighting, malaise) came to the forefront. They'll welcome in UMASS, who at this point in the season has probably been watched a handful of times by most of the betting public. Their style is extremely unorthodox and difficult to prepare for. It's based on pressing, trapping, and shooting threes. Not all that different from the other "40 Minutes of Hell" type teams, except that Chaz Williams is a very unusual point guard. End to end, he's probably the fastest player in college basketball. UMASS had low expectations coming into the season but their guys have overachieved thanks to Coach Kellogg's persistence in installing the dribble-drive offense he learned while playing for Coach Calipari in the mid-1990's. Point is, Mississippi State hasn't seen a style like this all season, and considering how tough it is to adjust to UMASS under the best circumstances, I don't see how the Bulldogs pull themselves together for this game. There's just too much disappointment in Starkville right now. The fan base is completely disinterested and the team lacks heart and desire. I'll take my chances that Mississippi State has in fact mailed it in for the year.
0
Hot Forum Topics
