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November Hoops

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Posted: #26
Good insight

BOL tomorrow 
 
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Posted: #27
Great stuff - thanks.
 
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Posted: #28

Thanks for all the thoughts on this young season.  I love me some New Mexico State tonight.  I bet them alot last year and they were very good to me.  Go Aggies.  Probably going to tail you on Appy St as your write-up has me convinced.  BOL.

 
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Posted: #29
11/12 Final Notes

Alright, one more. Both Florida Atlantic and UC Davis are stocked full of talent in the back court, this game should clearly be won on the defensive side of the ball in the backcourt. Throw out the bigs, they mean nothing here. Make no mistake about it, Taylor (who is a game time decision by the way) and Gantt are great guards for Florida Atlantic. But in terms of chemistry, leadership, experience, and size, I’m going to have to side with UC Davis here. Taylor is 5’6”. Gantt is 6’2”. Meet UC Davis guarding them with 6’8” Mark Payne and 6’8” Joe Harden. Both of whom played high school together and went their different ways. Joe Harden went to Notre Dame, then returned here last year.  Payne is the active career leader in Big West in Points. Harden is 3rd. Payne is also first in assists and steals. Harden is also 3rd in rebounds. UC Davis is coming off a loss to Academy of the Art, a Division II school. LOL. But Florida Atlantic lost to Northwood. Even up. Florida Atlantic struggled to score in both of it’s first games and that chore will get even tougher this evening facing a well-rounded defensive ball club who has height on it’s side. Also, factor in the travel on the first of a three-day tournament. I don’t want to make it seem like UC Davis is even the class of the Big West, or has a shot at it’s own title, but they have the talent to take down a Florida Atlantic team that will struggle to score this year with it’s lack of depth.

I lean to Kent State based solely on the tradition of the program and Iona’s new coaching staff coaching it’s first Division 1 basketball game on the road. Kent State has the talent in the juco transfers and experience returning, but the lack of experience has me leaving it as a lean only.


11/12 Final 

DNP: Northwestern -9, Kent State -3

Bets

UC Davis +4.5 (1 Unit)
New Mexico State PK (1 Unit)
Appy State +7 (1 Unit)
Loyola CHI -3 (1 Unit)

GL
 
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Posted: #30
Always check who you are on nropp
 
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Posted: #31
Nice Job nropp.  I'm all over New Mexico St. 
 
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Posted: #32
Nropp:

Any analysis on the UTPA-Indiana St.  I have trouble seeing any way that UTPA keeps this close.  Any opinions?
 
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Posted: #33

G
 
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Posted: #34
Quote Originally Posted by StringerBellFU:

Nropp:

Any analysis on the UTPA-Indiana St.  I have trouble seeing any way that UTPA keeps this close.  Any opinions?

Probably a favorite to win the Great West, which is usually the worst conference in all of basketball. Return a great majority if I remember correctly and sub in and out of games on a regular basis regardless of star players or not. Lost alot of close games last year, so probably win a bunch of those this year with more experience. Played at Mizzou, Miss State, Nebraska, Texas, Virginia, and Northwestern last year so no real intimidation. Think Northwestern visits them next week, so this game would be a better indication moving forward how you would want to play them at home next week (which will be their biggest home game in history).

Indiana State don't have a PG, and lost their best scorer in Marshall. Worst team in the MVC in my opinion. Just a bunch of guards that can shoot. No athleticism, no rebounding, eager to see how they fare.

GL
 
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Posted: #35
 
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Posted: #36
 
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Posted: #37
Picks Look good!  best of luck this season!
 
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Posted: #38
Nice, night, 3-1!  almost pulled out the Davis game too!
 
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Posted: #39
Any thoughts on 11/13
 
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Posted: #40
Quote Originally Posted by ibet4fun1:

Any thoughts on 11/13

Rule #2. No weekend bets for a month. Kids out of routine, crowds still into football, weird start times, and so many back-to-back games, never know if you're going to get the kids best shot on tired legs this early in season.
 
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Posted: #41
Sides: 4-1, +2.90
Totals: 0-0, +0.00
DNP: 1-1

Back Monday.

GL
 
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Posted: #42
odd rule to me, neil, considering how a lot of these teams are full of freshmen who wouldn't be accustomed to the normal activities on a game played on a weekday.

Great start, though
 
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Posted: #43
 
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Posted: #44
nropp,nice early start.How did you do last year in college hoops?Do you have your final record?  thank you paldog
 
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Posted: #45
Sides: 4-1, +2.90
Totals: 0-0, +0.00
DNP: 1-1

Short on time today, just some quick hitters:


Austin Peay and Chattanooga really aren’t interested in playing defense. Austin Peay is more of a squad built on offense. They had a nice opening win at St. Louis, scoring 64 on a tough defense. That game hit 126, this game should be more to the liking of both squads as Chattanooga’s offensive philosophy will dictate to a higher pace. Both teams are familiar with one another being so close, and both want to get out and run. Chattanooga’s squad is usually built on the premise of bringing in juco talent rather than recruiting from a younger level, so they’ll be ready to run and gun. Chattanooga is 30-3 their last 33 home openers by the way. Interested in Steve Lavin’s squad travelling to St. Mary’s, after all, how many late night St. Mary’s games did he analyze for ESPN last year? I really, really, really like Minnesota’s squad this year and there will be good spots to bet in conference play, but right now, the price is too steep for me to place a bet.

Bets
Austin Peay/Tenn Chattanooga over 142.5 (1 Unit)

DNP
Minnesota -16

GL
 
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Posted: #46
Nropp, enjoy your insights.  Any thoughts on the Austin Peay/UT Chattanooga as far as a team lean?  I was thinking UT Chatt -2 ...
 
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Posted: #47
 
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Posted: #48
Quote Originally Posted by 1ShiningMoment:

Nropp, enjoy your insights.  Any thoughts on the Austin Peay/UT Chattanooga as far as a team lean?  I was thinking UT Chatt -2 ...

Chemistry-wise, Austin Peay gets the nod. Athleticism probably goes to Chattanooga. Just can't gauge how well Chattanooga will play together as a team this early in the season with new faces. Gun to my head, I would probably side with Peay here. They take care of the basketball awfully well.

On a side note, Peay starts off with 9 games on the road, which is horrendous scheduling. Probably more value on them coming into the conference season, unless they are to over-perform in these road games to start the year.

GL
 
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Posted: #49
 
 
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Posted: #50
Quote Originally Posted by nropp11:

Sides: 4-1, +2.90
Totals: 0-0, +0.00
DNP: 1-1

Short on time today, just some quick hitters:


Austin Peay and Chattanooga really aren’t interested in playing defense. Austin Peay is more of a squad built on offense. They had a nice opening win at St. Louis, scoring 64 on a tough defense. That game hit 126, this game should be more to the liking of both squads as Chattanooga’s offensive philosophy will dictate to a higher pace. Both teams are familiar with one another being so close, and both want to get out and run. Chattanooga’s squad is usually built on the premise of bringing in juco talent rather than recruiting from a younger level, so they’ll be ready to run and gun. Chattanooga is 30-3 their last 33 home openers by the way. Interested in Steve Lavin’s squad travelling to St. Mary’s, after all, how many late night St. Mary’s games did he analyze for ESPN last year? I really, really, really like Minnesota’s squad this year and there will be good spots to bet in conference play, but right now, the price is too steep for me to place a bet.

Bets
Austin Peay/Tenn Chattanooga over 142.5 (1 Unit)

DNP
Minnesota -16

GL

I see the total just dropped to 140...

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