Should’ve only played Wisconsin last night and not taken Vandy. Split last night lost juice on the looser. Today we have a Big 10 dog fight in store. Both of these teams are extremely physical and play superb defense. A true rock fight. NW is anywhere between 12th in defensive efficiency nationally to 22nd , depending on what site you use for capping and Illy is anywhere between 17th & 29th in defensive efficiency. Illy is overall better on offense with Shannon on the floor. Don’t think he plays tonight though. NW does own more offensive possessions per game, because they turn team overs @ a very high rate. NW won the first game in a game I had NW + the pts, and on the ML. NW has a 5 game win streak & ATS streak along the way. I capped this game Illy winning by know more than 4.32 pts, and that’s @ full strength. Illy plays excellent defense like I said. They’re 16th in the nation in 2 pt FG %. This game will not be easy to score, I’ll also cap the O/U . Under could also hit 1st half and FG. First game score was 70-63. NW is a top 10 team in rim rate. Illy is 299th in 3 pt shooting attempts. Illy does rank 9th in 2 pt defense, they are a strong team. NW will have to win in not turning the ball over , where they are only 13.0% in turnover rate, while Illy has a 16% turnover rate. This is huge. Also huge is the foul rate. NW fouls @ a 16.1% rate compared to Illy @ a 16.6% rate. Advantage NW. Both of these teams are strong. NW rates higher though. NW’s strength rate comes in @ 0.633 compared to Illy not far behind @ 0.601 rating. NW average score margin is + 6.6 & Illy is @ + 9.6 @ full strength though. Shannon averages 17.0 pts per game. Going up against a team like NW, that plays better D, Illy are going to need those 17 in my opinion. NW has held every team in the Big 10 under 63 pts per game except for Indiana, who they beat. NW Eff FG % on Defense is 40.6 % , Illy not far behind is @ 40.8 %. Both these teams have great ATS records. NW though is 4-1 ATS when dogs of over 5.5 pts or more. In the momentum category, NW is + 2.32 ( 70th best in the nation) , while Illy comes in @ - 1.48. ( 271st ) nationally. NW is 6-2 SU in rd games & 6-2 ATS in rd games . Illy’s offense @ home is not to far away from NW’s rd offense. Illy comes in @ 1.073 metrics & NW comes in @ 1.015 rd offense metrics. And those numbers are with Shannon playing in the majority of their games. Give me the team that plays better defense against a wounded team that they already dominated a month ago. NW + 5.5 , 1050/1000 GL to us all….. and again please don’t ask for extra plays if you don’t like this one. Me trying to appease people led me to cap sorry ass Vandy, when I wasn’t even on that game. Thank you
I’m sure the public will be loading up on Illini at home lol. NW is tough as nails…let’s get this one. 
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