NW + 5.5 write up

@Rolexsports

 Fantastic man, and in fact never in doubt   HoBrah  imagine a BIG10 road team covering. 
Keep it rolling Rolex. 

I did fine thanks. NW +7.5, Illinois ML in a parlay and the under (136.5) all hit (Posts #50 & 60) B1G home favorites move to 66-19. Going to respectfully decline your tips! Good luck to you 

@HockeyNight11

 GL to you as well   Honestly just curious what you saw in tonight’s line movement ? 

@wolfeman3

What do you mean “what I saw” in the movements? It sounds like Terrence Shannon jr was cleared to play late in the day and things moved in the Illini direction. Rightfully so, he was unreal. 

If anything I would have used that to further back NW based on what I had said before in one of the posts. Just because there’s heavy trends in one direction doesn’t mean every single matchup on the court will fall in line.

The Unranked home favorite over a ranked team has been a huge moneymaker. Another potential one tomorrow Seton Hall is home vs ranked Xavier. Hall doesn’t apply as of now but spread only +1.5 , could flip for sure.

Absolutely agree with you on this one…. “Just because there’s heavy trends in one direction doesn’t mean every single matchup on the court will fall in line.”  It takes Cajones to step in front of these trends.   I appreciate the explanation. Nothing more man.  

I still say “Illinois at home with the BIG10 home BIAS Stats” tonight was VERY hyped, and that was well before the injury news Holmes….in my opinion Champagne is the bottom of Big 10 as far as home advantage…Northwestern was the better team at +5.5 after +8 steam was just silly . 

Congrats again RollieX!! Ye Olde  line perception after 30 years of doing this on both sides always interests me from every angle. I hope this didn’t bring away from your thread. Hockeynight carry on bro, and  also since you bet trends and mentioned “The Unranked home favorite over a ranked team has been a huge moneymaker.” that’s been a moneymaker since 1977 and also in the NCAAF. 
“FADE The Top AP #20-25 on the road as favorites” was brilliant back in 2002. 

@HockeyNight11 

Pirates (Hall) now is sharp AF and makes great sense to me. +1.5 is telling….

   +6 for me 

Congrats Venez !! 

Yeah Wolfe, those trends come into play more than not , but a lot of these plays are coming from not just pure data , but the eye test is very critical when capping. Just like any other sport, you have to watch these games as much as possible so you’re familiar with coaching schemes, and everything else, which is a lot . No trend out there is 100 %, and can be beat any day of the week. Thanks for the love Wolfe. 

Have fun this weekend with your new girlfriend.