read the line system...spot a possible trap

Trying something completely new...

Starting point: spot one of the lowest or one of the highest totals of the day that has one sided action on both total and ats side (as per wagerline numbers).

Starting point: VCU/TOW

2nd highest total of the day ---> 59.31% on under

VCU -10.5 has 66.67% of wagerline picks

This total is very high for VCU when they lay double digits this season. Actually, the highest total associated to VCU games when VCU was a dd fave this season was 139, and they are 0-3 ATS as doudble digit faves with total 135 or higher. As for Towson, their total/line correlation is not that clear but they did have a similar line/total/situation when they hosted Old Dominion. They played that game at home, they were a double digit dog, the total in that game was just a point lower than today and wagerline crew had 56.25% of picks on under and 60.7% on odu. Towson was tied at the half in that game and lost the game by only 4 points covering the spread easily.

Handicapping:

Towson is 6-2 ATS in last 8 against VCU and last three home games VCU were very close as Towson covered all 3 losing one by 7, once by 4 (in overtime) and winning once by 2 as a big home dog. VCU had a huge game at ODU two days ago and they have a huge game against Hofstra Thursday, so this could be a trap game indeed for the Rams.

I'am taking Towson +10.5 here as my only cbb play of the day.

Let's try one more...

KAN/COL

Highest total today,set at 152.Right now 2nd highest % on under

Kansas -7.5 getting most of the attention at 62.21%

That Kansas % would be even higher had they not lose vs Texas. High totals are more common for Kansas when they are big favorits, like against Colorado State, N.Texas, Valpo. When they are favored by 10 pts or less, their totals are more like in low 140's and in 130's. They are 0-3 ATS this season with total 142.5+ when favored by single digits. These high totals are more common for Colorado and they are 5-0 ATS this season alone when their total is 147.5 or higher, and that record includes all of their three SU dog wins this season against KaSt, Missou and Indiana.

Handicapping:

Kansas had a major scare against Colorado twice in last three meetings and this Colorado team is better than any Colorado team in recent years. This is not the same Kansas team that blasted Colorado last season. Henry, Aldrich and Collins are not there any more and Taylor is not having a great season. Arizona, USC, UCLA, Michigan, Iowa State, Nebraska came close and Texas finally did it. It's Colorado's turn to prove that Kansas is not an elite team.

Kansas' game against Texas was huge and with Kansas State comming to Lawrence Saturday, this game in Colorado could be a trap game indeed for Kansas.

I'm taking Colorado +7.5 as my only cbb play today.

Care to elaborate ? Anyways, thanks for your writeup and good luck.

Hard to back Colorado, even at home here.  I have watched them play recently (SU losses to Nebraska and Oklahoma) and they are a team that settles for too many jumpers.  They also turn the ball over a hell of a lot. (averaging 16 to's in their last 4 games).  A win against an unranked KSU team was not as impressive as it should be.  They shot the lights out from deep (8-12) that game, being the difference-maker in that game.  Kansas will have a large rebounding advantage, and take an inside-out approach, should jump out to an early lead an never look back.  They are second in the country in defending the 3.  Colorado has NO POST PRESENCE.  Going to need extremely good ball movement and limit Burns' turnovers (he has 20+ in the past 4 games).  The safe play is:

KANSAS ML -310

That TOWSON play was against VCU, 2 days ago, not today !!!

I like the angle, nice work clutch

Keep it up