read the line system...spot a possible trap

2-0 so far in so-called trap games

Today I am looking at the ODU/GAST game.

Lowest total of the day and as of now 55% of wagerline users are on the over, and it looks like that number will go up. As for the side, the % is steady in ODU's favor, currently at 64.80%.

This low total is not really common for either team but both teams play low scoring games and it was expected to see such a total.Old Dominion played 6 true road games this season and went 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS in those games. In two road games with lowest totals YTD, ODU went 0-2 SU and ATS losing as 1.5 fave at Drexel and as a 10.5 pts fave at Delaware.

Handicapping:

ODU hasn't been on the road in a while and they played 6 straight games against teams that are .500 or better in the CAA action. That 6 game stretch probably took away a lot of energy from ODU. Georgia State is a different animal when not playing on the opponent's court. They are 7-3 at home or on neutal court this season and only 1-8 on the road. Their three home losses were by 2, 2 and 3 (ot) points. They only played 3 home games compared to 8 road/neutral games since dec 22nd. They are 2-0 SU and ATS this season as home dogs beating VCU (8-1 CAA) and JMU (5-4 CAA).

I'm taking Georgia State +8 here in a possible letdown situation for ODU that played 6 straight games vs upper echelon CAA teams.

Looking at the FUR/WCAR game today...

The public is all over Furman and Under...

The total for this game is not where it usually is when Furman is expected to win on the road. In their only two road favorite games this season, the Paladins saw totals in low 140's. In all other road games their totals were lower and they were underdogs. In 4 road games where their total was 136.5 or lower they went 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS. As for Western Carolina, there is one game where their total, line and situation were extremely similar to this one. On january 8th they were a 2 pts home dog against Davidson and the total was 135.5. They won that game outright.

Handicapping:

Furman just played their biggest game of the season three days ago (won in overtime against Wofford, a team they just couldn't beat in last few years). They did it as big underdogs, getting production from only 3-4 guys. It will not be easy to play that well again on the road just a few days later. Western Carolina is hard to beat at home. Earlier this season Furman played in OT at Kent and then a few days later they went to South Carolina State and won by only 4 pts against a team that is 1-14 against Division I schools this season. Western Carolina is unbeaten at home this season (5-0) and is one of only a dozen of schools that played 5 or less home games this season. They are 32-4 in last 36 home games. Playing at home against a tired team is exactly what they need after two horrible road outings.

I am taking Western Carlina +3 in what could be a possible letdown game for Wofford.

i like w. carolina also......any more games u analy. clutch? take your time..take ur time

Quote Originally Posted by depressed:

Good call - hope some got on the +150 money line too

blowout winner, 4-0 trap plays