Reds $$$$ Method - Explained

I’m using Vegasinsider. The Trend Movement vs. Line tool is really nice once you can understand it. 

detroit +4 fits

And EVERYONE is on N.KY

Oh man. Sienna appeared to have all the makings. Not looking good at all. If you score 26 points at home in a half, that’s not a good look. 

Just looked, only thing that seems to fit is Detroit and it just barely does with only .5-1pt of movement but as a homedog boy oh boy it's nice

Sienna. I had them. They had an awful first half, couldn't make it up....smh!

I had Detroit circled, didn't fire. I guess I was scared that everyone was on the other side. 

Red when you find a team, I know you like to look at home court advantage. What other stats or angles do you like to look at when finalizing a bet? 

First off, thanks as this was a great read.  Dogs seem to be a common trend, anything on when you hit the ml or do you always take the points?

Thanks again and Detroit had an easy win tonight.  

I'll dive down a kenpom rabbit hole and find whatever I can - at quick glance strength of schedule immediately jumps out to me. Detroit's is significantly more difficult more than 3X tougher overall and 2x for non conference.   Detroit is also much better ATS than their record reflects, 3-4 of their losses ats were narrowly missed.  Northern Kentucky is great at defending the 3pt but detroits two strongest players are great inside the paint(and both rank top 100 in the nation as far as %s of possesions and shots for their team!).  Lastly TOs and RBs.  N Ky struggles protecting the ball offensively (though detroit isn't great at producing tos on defense so that may be a wash) but Detroit has milner who ranks top 10% in nation in offense & defensive rebounds while chris brandon ranks 85th in the nation on offensive boards.  Kenpom has soo much information on teams - sometimes too much haha but its a tremendous tool to use and costs only 20$/year.

I'll always take the pts but every now and then I may take a much smaller wager on the ML as well

I read through everything but cant seem to find what site you said you use for home court advantage.  Do you have a recommendation for that?  Do you only look at the current yr or look at previous trends as this season is still young?

Using Vegasinsider I still can’t figure how Sienna wasn’t a play last night. Had RLM. The line jumped from -5.5 to -7 at 10:30 AM with 81% of tickets on the other side. Eventually the money moved over to them, but only right at tip. 

Red, what did you see that I’m missing? Thank you, btw. Love this kind of stuff. 

I see a lot of possibility for today without digging deeper into the movement.

Citadel early. Del St, Kansas, NC Central, Utah,   Drake, Omaha, Arizona. 

SAW Citadel too, oklahoma could be a small play with strong home court advantage. 

It may depend on which site you are using for the betting trend. The problem I am having with this system is getting a true % that is being bet o. Each side. I have seen several instances where team A may be getting bet at a higher rate on vegasinsider but team B is getting more action on scoresandodds. I like the theory if I knew where to get an accurate %.

Clemson?

Citadel looks good, but their home court advantage is AWFUL ~326th in the country. They do have a slightly better SOS. Maybe a small play?

The Citadel line went back to -6 and tickets flipped to them. So, we pull off that, right, or do we trust what we saw before?

Yup just checked. I am not going to fire, especially with their bad home court advantage.  

Is Oklahoma a play?  I have majority of spread on KSU. Line moved .5 point 

No i dont think anythings been a play. 

By my calcs, next games would be Kansas and NC Central. 

sports insights had clemson at 39% but the line jumped from +1 to -1.5... not sure why this wasnt on anyone else's radar.

NC Central vs Florida AM. Florida AM in a let down spot after a big win and Iowa State? I might look into this one....

Doing a little research myself right now If everything holds Jackson St -6.5, Loyola Chicago -6,

On the fence on N ariz -3

Maybe central conn & odu - further research needed

Is Pacific beautiful tonight??

I’m already pacific myself based on numbers, but looked like it fit your ideal scenario