SHIRLEY'S LINES FOR THURSDAY GAMES FOR ALL TO SEE

That's what logic would tell you right?

However, our model suggests wagering on Troy (of all teams).

Let there be no confustion, We have troy as a 1.20 favorite in this game, and they are getting 5 or so. It's an underdog 4 pts or more from our line.Our model likes this play (beats me!)

I don't particularly like this game, but I'm betting on it.

I will be out for several hours, and ill not be available to answer questions.

If I don't return before the games go off, my best wishes and BOL to all

Shirley

VV My lines are on page 1 of this thread. Go there, and jsut add 1 point to the Morehead State line and 0.30 points to the Washington line.

After that, you know what to do.

I will probably not return until after midnight.

BOL

Shirley

This is not that difficult. She has posted the teams and the number that her computer says they will win by. So when you see Troy 1.2 that means that the final score will be Troy winning by 1.2 points. If the books line has Troy as the dog, which in this case they do - by 5 - then this is the perfect play, at least according to the computer. (a dog of 4 or more). In the case of Troy tonight, we are getting a dog of 6.2. I don't know if that helped or not.

Her lines have nothing to do with the line that you are getting from you prospective books. Simply look at it as the total diffenence in the final score and compare it to the line you are getting and bet accordingly. Remember that 4 points or more is optimal either way, dog or favorite with emphasis on the dogs.

Hope this helped!

Thanks, and as always GOOD LUCK

K

Take CAL vs wash

Take TROY vs s alabama

Take WISC-MIL vs loy-chi

Yes the ********** are plays. You should look at all of the lines she has posted and compare to the lines you can get. There may be other plays as the lines change as well as non plays as the line changes. As Shirley has stated, you have to do the work yourself to see if there is a play and make a decision on your own.

K

Glad I could help!

K

At the beginning of the thread, Shirley listed all of the favorites, along with how many points they're giving.  She didn't put the negative sign in front of them because it's assumed.  Take her number as well vs. the number your book has and get the difference.  If the difference is more than 4 it's a solid play because her computer module predicted a spread at least 4 points different than vegas.  These differences arise from public consensus, among other things.  What she is doing, is finding the lines that vegas has manipulated to get even numbers on each side. 

If Shirley lists Team A 10 pts, but the book has Team A favored by 5 pts, you would take Team A b/c her computer module says they will win by 5 more points than the actual spread.

If Shirley lists Team B 5 pts, but the book has Team B favored by 10 pts, you would take the opponent (or underdog) of Team B because her computer module says they won't cover the 10 points. 

Another thing to note is that underdog's are valued more than favorites.  I cannot confirm why this is, but my guess would be because at the end of a game, the team losing is more likely to get a garbage bucket that has no outcome on the winner or loser, only the final score, or the team winning will run out the clock because another basket will not change the outcome of the game.

Hi guys, can you guys help me with these spreads according to shirlys #, from ontario and i just play our sports lottery here.

penn st - mich st   -6.5

wrst....btlr...-9.5

cali.....wash.  -13.5

fresno st.....boise  -8.5

stanford.... wash st    -8.5

gonza. -8.5.... loyl.

st marys  -6.5 .....scal

thanks guys i appreciate it

According to Shirleys numbers, you would only play two of those games: CAL +13.5 and Gonzaga -8.5

You are 100% correct!

Shirley has Troy as a 1.20 favorite in her computer model & they are a +5 dog at bookmaker making Troy a play of 4 points or more.