Another Jacks game on the schedule and this time the Jacks fresh off a BS loss in North Dakota State take on the UMKC Kangaroos. UMKC is off a road loss as a road favorite against the conference doormat. The line is -9 and has not moved all day. I have no doubt the Jacks win but do they cover the nine as well is the question. Based on their matchups the past two years, the way the Jacks of played of late and the way UMKC has play as of late I would assume so but note that I am not extremely confident. Normally I would take the home dog and hope for the best but the Jacks coming off a conference loss, last road game before returning home next week, against a far inferior opponent. I lean the opposite.
I also look at the fact that UMKC does not have that much senior leadership, are undersized, has a worst offense and worst defense than the Jacks. This also supports my lean.
Finally, I do worry about a backdoor cover. Like I said the Jacks are going to hit UMKC with a vengence. They have the tendency of covering 1H lines. In the last three matchups the Jacks had between a 22 point to 8 point lead at half time. This being their last road game of the past six straight they have covered the 1H line in every game but one I believe.
Therefore, my play is SDSU -5 1H for 1 unit
Depending upon how the lines moves I might add more to this and/or have a 2H play too. BOL!
PS I still wish I could get totals in the Summit League games. Starting to really pi$$ me off.
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