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Sunday "Presystem" Play

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Posted: #76

Quote Originally Posted by TBallgame:

Will you fucking guys quit w/the stupid Q's, asked over & over again.  NO NO buying pts does NOT qualify a game.  The object is to get the line as posted by the books.  JFC!!

 

Thanks for the tip.

 
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Posted: #77
What is the Pre-System's record for First Halves? Someone was tracking.

Would have been 4-2 yesterday.
 
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Posted: #78
I have something that might be worth tracking as I see almost every game winning at the half and winning outright.. I mean 1 lose came in the 2nd half yesterday. the other 2 were just loses.  It seems like most of the plays r worthy of a 1st half bet and even a moneyline 1st half. sounds crazy but good $ could be made by the past 10-15 system/presystem plays that I've follow.  If someone would backtrack this year to see how 1st halfs would of done it be interesting..


 
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Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by chasman:

KP: Realize that there are no 'pre-system' plays today, but are there games that you like?

As always thanks     



Marist +7 is a presystem play (and I liked that play even if it didn't fit the presystem). 

I have a bigger than usual play on OVER 124 St.Peter's/Canisius (grabbed it right when it opened on Matchbook)
 
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Posted: #80
GL.
 
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by smatt721:

Great work KP..... I've been following but not commenting in the thread to clog it up. I have a couple of questions & thoughts.

Yesterday I read where u said some tout services had posted the UL-Monroe play & recognized the larger than usual volume of plays on that game via.....pregame.com. Does anyone here know if these same tout services had posted the La Tech play last night??

Pregame had posted ....5601 # of plays on the Monroe game with 78% ATS backing of Monroe.....the line opened @ +11/ & moved up to 12/ before setting @ 12 @ tip.

I also noticed last night...3764 # of plays on the La Tech game with 67% backing on La tech...the line opened @ +6 & moved to +8 before setting @ +7/ @ tip...

Might I suggest we continue to watch these type of movements on pre system plays, because they could develop a trend that these reverse moves on the public are the plays with the highest loss rates???

I'm not saying @ this point to not play them, however I did lower the Units I placed on La Tech because of what I saw with the move of the line......

From what I have seen on these smaller games, typically they average 1500 to 2700 # of plays.

Sorry for such a long response, I'm just curious what ur thoughts are reguarding whom is putting out what & the potential to identify system plays that should require lower units placed on them..

 



I don't follow line movement and such as I have found its a waste of time for me.  For every time the line movement means one thing, then there is another time when the line movement means something else.  I'm of the opinion that the players decide the games and not the wagers put on either side, it keeps things simpler that way.
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by newbanger2011:

I had to register just to say thanks and keep up the good work. I saw today you like the following:

Marist if it goes to +6.5

maybe the following:

FSU at +7
over under on ND game.


Marist +7
OVER 124 St Peters/Canisius
and considering under 141ish in the UNC/FSU

That will probably be all for me
 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by tonislug:

love the system kp, but if you look at how the lines dived on all your games after you posted the last couplew of days this system will become less and less profitable because more and more people are using the system.  ur thoughts?


Noone likes betting on these teams that fits the system so either after a couple of bad days or one or two blowout losses, lots of people will abandon it so I'm not worried. 

On days were there are only 1 or 2 plays it might be a bit less profitable especially if the pay touts give out the games as to their clients.

On days like Saturday were there are tons of games and all the ranked teams are playing etc., I suspect that all the lines will continue to move up, just as they did for us yesterday.  People love betting favorites and that will never change
 
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Posted: #84

[Quote: Originally Posted by TBallgame] Will you fucking guys quit w/the stupid Q's, asked over & over again.  NO NO buying pts does NOT qualify a game.  The object is to get the line as posted by the books.  JFC!! [/Quo you te]

Agree. Guys, take the TIME to simply read. If do the majority of your questions will be answered. KP has answered the same questions many times. He has posted links to the system. It is EXTREMELY simple to follow

Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #85
wow - St peters total is up to 126 at my book.....
 
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Posted: #86
Going to be out the rest of the day and of course watching the Super Bowl.  Good luck with your plays today.  I think Marist could win this game straight up or possibly even lose by 20+, but that is a risk that I personally willing to take.  If the line pushes up to 7.5 on Matchbook that is, of course, the number that I will be playing. 

If you are new to the thread - PLEASE read the link I posted on page 1, it will answer most of your questions.  I back to real life tomorrow and my 2 jobs as San Antonio shouldn't see freezing weather again for a long time so I won't be on here nearly as often, I feel confident that you understand the perimeters of the system and can now use the principles to find others games to play as well. 

If anything fits the presystem for tomorrow, I'll post it later tonight


 
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Posted: #87
All games in this series since 1997
MARIST is 14-9 against the spread versus NIAGARA since 1997
NIAGARA is 18-12 straight up against MARIST since 1997
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games over the last 3 seasons
MARIST is 4-2 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 4-2 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NIAGARA since 1997
MARIST is 6-3 against the spread versus NIAGARA since 1997
NIAGARA is 10-2 straight up against MARIST since 1997
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1997
Games played at NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons.
MARIST is 2-0 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
NIAGARA is 2-0 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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Posted: #88
hey kine, not sure if u anwered this question, but i believe it to be a important one..when u see a team like la tech last nite open at 7..do u always wait hoping it will go up, or do u pull the trigger then,,because i see that u seem to almost always be on the right side of line movement..although u stated it doesn't mean much for you..u said u got 8 on that game which meant u had to wait later on in the day to play it..i followed and waited on lines yesterday figuring they would go up...ul mon +12.5 SE Mizz +10, unc Green +12,, etc ...Except i got La tech at 7.5 ,,,i never saw 8 and i use multi books.. Like 2day for example have u already locked in Marist at +7 or r u gonna possible wait for 7.5....Just curious, i believe this is a big factor, as we all have seen sometimes it comes down to the last possesion for these covers..Thanks for ur time and sharing ur knowledge..
 
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Posted: #89
marist and niagara both have 4-20 records.  something has to give today fellas.  my line hasn't hit above 6 yet but lets go Marist
 
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Posted: #90
someone bet bodog to 7 please.  thanks.
 
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Posted: #91
whats niagaras kenpom rank?
 
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cc247 fucking up the thread
 
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cc247 fucking up the thread
 
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cc247 fucking up the thread
 
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cc247 fucking up the thread
 
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cc247 fucking up the thread
 
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almost to the next page, don't post anymore shit in here like that cc247
 
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cc247 fucking up the thread
 
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cc247 fucking up the thread
 
 
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Posted: #100

GL today!

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