All Forums | College Basketball

The Falcon's Model

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 86836
Posts: 693
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2010
Posts: 323
Posted: #451
Good luck and continue success!
Thank you for sharing.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #452
2-0 on Unders thus far.

During the course of a cbb season there are about 3 times that adjustments need to be made to the model... I can clearly tell it.. This is done when the books start to adjust their number. 

Good luck today guys and for the remainder of 2017.. 

Falcon
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 1003
Posted: #453
Wisconsin green bay? Is now at 164.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2004
Posts: 14064
Posted: #454
Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

Falcon's Model
21-12 (+$3875)

Dec 30

Wisconsin GB Under 160.5
$550 to win $500


CBB 13-7 (65%) I'll take that any day..

NHL 6-4
NFL 2-0
NBA 0-1

Falcon

Just a clarification that you probably meant Under 165.

PM for the skinny on the down low
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #455
The books are now over inflating the numbers, adjustment number 1. I bet this one too early.. If your going to play an Under, wait as long as possible.

Lots of Unders should cash today... 

Falcon
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 8300
Posted: #456
BOL Falcon!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2007
Posts: 494
Posted: #457
Under 169 even. Not too sure I’ve seen a 9 point move like this in a longtime. Somebody knows something is my guess. 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 195
Posted: #458
i got 160 and a half. i'm already sick.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2017
Posts: 58
Posted: #459

i actually crunched some numbers and the total number is 157.5 

I am not the Falcon but i took the under as well

Best of luck 

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2014
Posts: 2651
Posted: #460
Green Bay is on track to score 120 points based on 15 points in less than 5 minutes.

This game will need a 5-6 minute scoreless stretch.....doubt that happens.

BOL!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 290
Posted: #461
Lawton1, Can you please tell me which bookie do you use so i can also bet there ....
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2017
Posts: 88
Posted: #462

 

Falcon you're overthinking now. Bookies didn't adjust or inflate anything bro. All of these lines have been straight kenpom. Literally, I have a site that simulates the exact spread and number. Just off right now. I believe if you put your skills with people that know the teams then the killing will continue. Otherwise, it's just grabbing straws. Like the utah game you bet the other night. No way in hell were they ever going to go over 204, just being honest bro. Keep up the good fight, sit back and think it out to break your slump.

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2017
Posts: 613
Posted: #463

Quote Originally Posted by In2it:

Green Bay is on track to score 120 points based on 15 points in less than 5 minutes.This game will need a 5-6 minute scoreless stretch.....doubt that happens.BOL!

 

on track doesnt always translate game is looking much better now

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2017
Posts: 69
Posted: #464
He's fading himself now.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2013
Posts: 392
Posted: #465
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2012
Posts: 8300
Posted: #466
Easy winner 

Trust in The Falcon 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 195
Posted: #467
thank you falcon.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2017
Posts: 120
Posted: #468

Never a doubt in the Green Bay game!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2017
Posts: 208
Posted: #469
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2017
Posts: 392
Posted: #470

Quote Originally Posted by Lawton1:

The books are now over inflating the numbers, adjustment number 1. I bet this one too early.. If your0 going to play an Under, wait as long as possible.Lots of Unders should cash today... Falcon

Your doing great work for us, you got anything else today?

 

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #471
Falcon's  Model
22-12 (+$4375)
64.71% Winners

Saturday Dec 30

Duquesne Under 136
$550 to win $500


CBB 14-7


This one goes in about 50 min. Follow The Falcon


Falcon
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #472
Some of the comments are crazy above but they are amusing..

I'll just flat out tell you... I believe what I have in regards to CBB totals is the Best out there,  simple as that.. 

CBB 14-7 start....

The Falcons best to each of you... 


Falcon
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2015
Posts: 8300
Posted: #473
BOL!!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2017
Posts: 630
Posted: #474
I'm not sure if I've ever been on the KenPom website but I've heard of it...

What I do is very different than u have seen... Until the books adjust again, we will have more Unders than Overs.. 

Someone said., fading myself, how about u fade me. U would be hitting 33% right now, probably better than u could pick them..


Falcon
 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2017
Posts: 208
Posted: #475
Falcon 
All Forums | College Basketball
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.