UCLA: 2-2, +3.80 units
Might as well get my thread on this game started.... very disappointed with my Bruins last night, let Pepperdine hang around in the 1H and then couldn't bury them to help cover the spread in the 2H. They definitely looked better in the 2H but that ain't saying much considering they needed a 10-0 run to end the 1H to get back into that thing.
My initial lean in this game? Pacific +6.5 and Pacific ML +230. UCLA has historically under Howland always, always suffered one early season game where they either barely beat or get beat by a team that has no business hanging around with them. Everything is aligning for UOP to be that team this year:
- UCLA was 2-8 last year SU in games on 2 days or less of rest.
- UCLA is going to be without their leading returning scorer, SG Malcolm Lee. He suffered a sprained ankle and will not play tonight.
- UCLA will only have 8 scholarship guys available tonight -- foul trouble could be a problem
- The Lee injury consequently means we are going to be seeing freshman Tyler Lamb starting at the 2 guard spot. Not a bad thing, but you know what is a bad thing? That means the first guard off the bench is none other than my most hated player on this team, Jerime "turnover" Anderson... and he'll be going against a zone no less! Recipe for disaster!
- If a team like Nevada was "perplexed" by Pacific's zone defense, what the hell is UCLA going to do with it?
- UOP is an experienced team starting 3 seniors. UCLA will start 2 sophomores, 2 freshman, and a first year Jr. JUCO transfer. Huge experience edge to UOP
Not gonna lock it in yet, but that is definitely what I am leaning.
What do the rest of you think?