Vegas vs KenPom Week 9

Love it AC...

This is not true.

KenPom against the spread is 48.72% or 381-401 so far in 2011-12. 

KenPom against the spread for 2010-11 was 50.40%

This is generally were these prediction models fall, usually between 47.5% to 52.5% per year.

Well, they say that 87% of all stats are made up.

Wed. Plays ... need a double check and 65 % check before betting ..

Duq - 5

Neb + 4 1/2

N ILL + 8 1/2

C Fla + 1

Tulsa - 6 1/2

Ind St + 5 

Thats it guys .. I think ..

Sweet, hit Michigan FG, and MSU for the 2nd half..

Let's go Depaul!!

Good Stuff, you know you ll have to double check the close ones cause KP updates about an hour after the last game. Usually the outcomes are much different at all but I have made this mistake before and missed a play that beaver had due to it.

Its a misconception that we all think KP is a false. I dont believe KP considers injuries in his formula. Heck I use the site, alot of great statistics on there.

I loved the Michigan play, hated the Depaul play. I did make a small play on Depaul. I ll be damn they finally came through.

Kelly Criterion Method
Tonight: 2-0 +69
Since 1/13/2012: 61% or 16-11
Total: +194.20

Week 9 Inputs
Starting bankroll: 500.00
Home, Favorite, Away (HFA) 56.4% or 42
Home, Dog, Away (HDA) 57.4% or53
Road, Fav, Away (RFA) 59.5% or 75
Road, Dog, Away (RDA) 60.2% or 82
Home, Fav, Towards (HFT) 52.8% or 4
Home, Dog, Towards (HDT) 53.9% or 16
Road, Fav, Towards (RFT) 54.5%% or 22
Road, Dog, Towards RDT) 55.5% or 33

Note, I left the starting bankroll input at 500.00 for week 9.  I'm going to wait for a full week to change this input, so all inputs will be refreshed at the start of week 10.

I checked before going to bed, I double check in the am incase I didnt give KP time to update. I have everything above except Ind. St.

Ind St  opened +5.5/ KP +8 (no play)

Plays I seen....

Morehead St O +7/ KP +10

Northeastern O +2.5/ KP +6

N. Ill O +8.5/ KP +12

Neb O +5/ KP +10

Duq O -5.5/ KP -2

Tulsa  O -7.5/ KP -3

Wyoming +1/ KP -2

UCF +1.5/ KP +4

Ofcourse too early for the 65% and I dont know if KP has updated. I ll double check in the am. Please double check my findings ofcourse.

I had it marked to recheck, I read it wrong for sure. Wyom did open at -1.   I just plain forgot to copy the vill/Okie state plays down.

Same list for me. (Thats why we double check, and then hopefully beaverfan will have a couple good lists to check off his, Thanks Flyer)

Tulsa is a no play its still at 67%.